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Comments on news posted 2007-04-30 09:45:02: Verizon has released their earnings report, which indicates the company's first-quarter earnings fell 8.4% to $1.5 billion -- largely thanks to the spinoff of their directories business and their sale of Puerto Rican assets. ..

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JeepMatt
Delaware Fios
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join:2001-12-28
Wilmington, DE
I helped!

And I was one of those 141,000 additions!
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ColorBASIC
8-bit Fun
Premium
join:2006-12-29
Corona, CA
Question would be

Are they replacing all the lost revenue from the fleeing POTS customers bailing to cellular, cable telephony and indy VoIP?

NYC Girl
Premium
join:2007-02-04
Bronx, NY
·Optimum Online
·Optimum Voice

HA, HA!!! They started airing those "always on" commercials when I switched to cable VoIP back in January, that was the last straw for them, me leaving, LOLOLOLOL.

My Digital Phone is always on as well and I have no intention of going back to Verizon. If anything, I will use another VoIp provider if necessary.


ColorBASIC
8-bit Fun
Premium
join:2006-12-29
Corona, CA

I switched to Viatalk during that 2 years for 1 promotion and have been pretty happy. I have cell as a backup and my home alarm system already had a cellular backup module (because the NID is accessable from the front yard side of my fence) so even if Viatalk not totally reliable it won't bother me much. Time Warner offers digital phone service but it's pretty expensive. It isn't much cheaper than POTS.


ColorBASIC
8-bit Fun
Premium
join:2006-12-29
Corona, CA
reply to JeepMatt
Re: I helped!

I was thinking from switching to FiOS TV from E* but read that some people like you were having occasional trouble with their HD feeds. Did your pixelation issues go away?


TKJunkMail
Enjoy the sun
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join:2002-03-03
Avalon, NJ
·Sprint Mobile Broa..
·Comcast

 Capital expenditures as % of revenues is the key

The key difference going forward is how much each company is reinvesting a part of their revenues in their business.

AT&T had capital expenditures in their last reported quarter of $3.3 billion from $29 billion in revenue. That is 11.4% of revenue reinvested.

Verizon had capital expenditures in their last reported quarter of $4.2 billion from $22.6 billion in revenue. That is 18.6 % of revenue reinvested.

Now the question is - how long will the Verizon shareholders be willing to delay a better return on their investment? Theoretically, they will get a better return down the line due to future higher profits on the capital expenditures. So it comes down to - do they believe Verizon management's promises or not.

Verizon EPS - 51 to 56 cents/share depending on special items
AT&T EPS - 45 to 46 cents/share depending on special items

Given the above earnings/share info, Verizon's plan still appears to be working and will give them an advantage over AT&T in the long run with a reduced chance of major complaints from shareholders. A little grumbling maybe, but no shareholder revolt is in sight yet.
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Camelot One
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Sarasota, FL
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The problem is that we are comparing two companies that don't compete with each other. Verizon is expanding FIOS rollouts, but their new customers are coming from Cable, not from AT&T. So AT&T really has nothing to fear from Verizon offering a better/faster/cheaper product, and their earnings are in no way effected by it.
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NYC Girl
Premium
join:2007-02-04
Bronx, NY
reply to ColorBASIC
Re: Question would be

Yeah, the taxes are less than POTS, though, and actually is a little cheaper with my triple play bundle. It comes to $33.91 instead of 39.99. I was paying $65.79 w/Verizon.

DP works w/my alarm system.


TKJunkMail
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Avalon, NJ
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reply to Camelot One
Re: Capital expenditures as % of revenues is the key

said by Camelot One See Profile :

The problem is that we are comparing two companies that don't compete with each other.
But they do compete with each other(and many others) in the stock market when looking for sources of investment money. Mutual funds, institutional investor companies, & brokerages look to invest their money in various sectors and when balancing their portfolios and looking to invest a piece in the communications sector, AT&T and Verizon are very definitely competitors.
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infolynx
Infolynx
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I was one of the 2nd quarters new adds

This is a great service so far


Camelot One
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join:2001-11-21
Sarasota, FL
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reply to TKJunkMail
Re: Capital expenditures as % of revenues is the key

Right, but that was my point. Verizon is spending money, and thus turning a lower return, so that they can beef up their network. AT&T is sitting back doing nothing (or little to nothing) and thus showing better returns. If the two companies competed for sales, to where the money VZ was spending would eat into the customer base of AT&T, it might balance out.
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TKJunkMail
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Avalon, NJ
·Sprint Mobile Broa..
·Comcast

said by Camelot One See Profile :

Verizon is spending money, and thus turning a lower return, so that they can beef up their network. AT&T is sitting back doing nothing (or little to nothing) and thus showing better returns.
The main thing that matters to investors is EPS. And Verizon is still beating AT&T there.

Verizon EPS - 51 to 56 cents/share depending on special items
AT&T EPS - 45 to 46 cents/share depending on special items
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morbo
Complete Your Transaction

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reply to Camelot One
said by Camelot One See Profile :

So AT&T really has nothing to fear from Verizon offering a better/faster/cheaper product, and their earnings are in no way effected by it.
i think the AT&T and Verizon comparison is a great comparison of different strategies for running a company: short term profits vs. long term viability.

cable will eat AT&T's lunch in a few years. waiting...

JSRoman
Premium
join:2005-03-10
Callahan, FL

reply to ColorBASIC
Re: Question would be

said by ColorBASIC See Profile :

Are they replacing all the lost revenue from the fleeing POTS customers bailing to cellular, cable telephony and indy VoIP?
"In the first quarter, Verizon lost 925,000 lines from year-end levels -- meaning it has lost 7.9% of the lines it had at March 31, 2006. The cancellation rate is up from 7.6% in the fourth quarter and 6.9% a year ago. "

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NPGMBR

join:2001-03-28
Arlington, VA
reply to infolynx
Re: I was one of the 2nd quarters new adds

Well I'm gonna have FIOS when I move to my new apartment June 1. I can't wait!


ColorBASIC
8-bit Fun
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join:2006-12-29
Corona, CA
reply to JSRoman
Re: Question would be

Looks then like the answer would be no.


richardpor
Fur it up

join:2003-04-19
Portland, OR

reply to TKJunkMail
Re: Capital expenditures as % of revenues is the key

As much as Verizon EPS is sweeter, my own sentiment is to sell Verizon and buy AT&T
To me when expenditures jump higher and profit fall, red lights start going off in my head. I have to confess I more cynical since the dot com bust when to much emphasis was placed on growth and none on expenditures and profitability. I been told too many times by companies to ignore their expresses (oh excuse me capital investment) and look into the future for some pie in the sky profitability just to see the company go bust.

If I were the CEO I would never had put money into Fiber until I am sure I can reach maximum penetration of the market. For me is no fiber in the ground until we can reach both single occupancy home AND multi-dweller units. I also would drop the idea of become a media company. Instead, I would sell connections to other companies to provide video and cable services to my customers, leaving it to them to handle franchising and dealing with media providers like Viacom. I would put my effort in improving the network.

Ahrenl

join:2004-10-26
North Andover, MA
·Verizon FIOS


2 edits
reply to TKJunkMail
Another thing to consider is what will be the need of either company to raise money in the equity markets in the near to mid future. I'd say, not very great, since further acquisitions will be legislative & political minefields.

This means they only need to be able to re-finance their unsecured debt, where EPS is secondary to interest coverage and cash flow. As long as they can maintain their credit ratings/metrics then neither company will have short term worries.

Long term, AT&T will be in trouble, unless they see a game changing technology coming down the pipes (some type of wireless) that they're going to leap frog the entire wired network paradigm with. Somehow I think whitacre hasn't been interested in looking that far, seeing as how he's not going to be there.

cwh

join:2006-05-14
San Antonio, TX

That all depends. Verizon made the correct technological decision without a doubt, however ATT may have very well have made the correct economical decision. IF ATT gets similar take rates for u-verse as verizon get for fios, the winner is going to be ATT by a large margin as they spent far less.


batterup
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join:2003-02-06
Netcong, NJ
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·Verizon Online DSL

reply to richardpor
said by richardpor See Profile :

As much as Verizon EPS is sweeter, my own sentiment is to sell Verizon and buy AT&T
......................................................................I would sell connections to other companies to provide video and cable services to my customers, leaving it to them to handle franchising and dealing with media providers like Viacom. I would put my effort in improving the network.
Buy low sell high is correct.

Letting the leaches in when Verizon spent so much money killing them is incorrect.
Forums » Verizon 1Q Earnings Reportpage: 1 · 2


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