Rick5
, we have the same old crap coming from you as we did when verizon was in the news. funny how you only open your mouth to spout pro-comcast, anti-telco drivel. it makes me wonder what your real motive (and the motive of comcast really is). some utopian wet dream of cable (comcast) dominance with no threat from outside competition (be it from the telcos or from indie-sources), perhaps?
funny, in trying to find some information regarding *comcasts* footprint, i was looking through the old comcast press releases. funny that in q3 2003, you were actually *concerned* with penetration rates and providing that information to your stockholders (as can be referenced
here). however, q3 2008 gives a different picture, one that is only given by "how much the customer is spending" and "how much we are making as our shareholders". after fumbling around your website, i found
this page. this page states that you have this penetration
Customers: As of September 30, 2008, Comcast served customers in 39 states and the District of Columbia.
•24.4 million cable customers
•14.7 million high-speed Internet customers
•6.1 million voice customers
now, assuming that all voice customers are *more than likely* all hsi customers, and that most hsi customers are video subs, its safe to say that you have ~25 million customers total. now, you have penetration in 39 states and the dc. follow me on some math now...
total us population is around 320 million people. given that most big msos only cover the "densely populated" areas, i feel that we could assume a pretty standard distribution of people in relation to comcasts footprint. if we divide the 320 million people evenly distributed across all 50 states and multiply that number by the 39 states that comcast has footing in, we get about 250 million people. dividing this number by 25 million gives about 10%. this is very rough but (a) i am assuming that if comcast has a presence in a state, then it covers the whole state (b) the use of (a) cancels out the fact that i am using a standard average distribution of the population across all states.
now, the last mention i could find of comcat mentioning its penetration rates was on this page here:
Comcast Cable added 1.664 million high-speed Internet subscribers in 2003, a pro forma increase in net additions of 38.7% over the same period last year. Comcast finished the year with nearly 5.3 million subscribers, representing a penetration rate of 15.2%. More than 87% of the homes in Comcast's footprint, or over 34.7 million homes, now have access to High-Speed Internet service.
(from »
www.comcast.com/About/Pr ··· ootprint)
now Rick5
, granted this mentions hsi penetration in q4 2004, but your company is *purposely* hiding all of the relevant information from more current years. given this hsi penetration of 15%, i would be more than willing to give you around 6 or 7 percent on top of what i had already figured (but just goes to show that my figures were *not* that far off).
so, we can decide on around 17 or so percent of penetration for comcast. how many *millions* of customers saying "no" does that represent Rick5
?
for ease of comparison, 1/16 is about 6.25%. given that it is a new technology, i'd say u-verse isn't doing too bad now. comcast has had how many years to push its hsi product (as well as digital voice and cable)?
again, this is just more of the same comcast-shill that spews on regular intervals from your mouth anytime a telco is discussed.
said by Rick5:That's how I see those numbers. And it is PATHETIC at best.
And spells the END of AT&T..at worst.
so how soon before comcast flops, given the numbers above Rick5
?
said by Rick5:Because you simply cannot lose as many landlines as they have..and take almost HALF your DSL customers to try to fill in those uverse gaps and expect this company to survive.
i'm sure that att would have loved to have been able to add an anti-competitive cap to prevent outside sources from taking away business. do you really think that if a customer was on a docsis3 line that they would *really* need a cable line for video? i wouldn't.
said by Rick5:What we have going on here is similar to if mcd's posted quarter after quarter about how their HAMBURGERS and FRY's customers were abandoning them left and right..and they hoped that hot pumpkin pies at Halloween would somehow fill the gap.
drop the burgers and fries Rick5
. if you haven't been to a mcdonalds lately, they offer salads, chicken selections, and deserts that *bolster* sales. its not just a big mac anymore.
said by Rick5:I wish I knew what could save them. 2 years ago when I first began foretelling of this great American disaster approaching..I had ideas.
well, verizon is looking at fiber to the home rollouts, which will be a total infrastructure upgrade (similar to what you and your touted msos did 10 years ago running fiber to the node). you praise msos but ridicule verizon. att is using their current infrastructure and you ridicule them. which is it Rick5
? more contradictory statements from the cable industry, nothing new.
said by Rick5:What ever happened to this company? What happened is they never saw or cared about the threat that began developing over a decade ago. Didn't care enough to improve their network the way they needed to to compete in this new world of hdtv and very high speed broadband. Cared too deeply about growing this relic of a company even larger..by adding just more of the same. Cared about their profits and dividends. And never saw the nukes coming at them.
comcast in ten years. planning your funeral yet, Rick5
?
said by Rick5:Where in the world did you ever read into my post(s) that I hate competition?
do you really want me to copy and paste your anti-competitive comments regarding verizon's entry into comcast's home town? very few of us here have amnesia.
said by Rick5:Quite the reverse. I'd just like to see something competitive is all...not a next generation disaster.
so what you are saying is that you'd like competition, but not on a product based on something that *you think* will fail. doesn't the upstart rogue company most often provide the impetus for change? not to say that att is an upstart, but many companies count on ideas to fail (such as vdsl or ftth), but when the subscriber base actually responds positively, it is the doomsayers that are really screwed.
said by Rick5:Sad ..but true.
nope, only your anti-telco spin that you seem to quote for truth. is this what a comcast staff meeting looks like? i'd love to have recordings to cheer me up and make me laugh. sell them. it would be added revenue to comcast.
said by Rick5:You have NINTY FIVE PERCENT of people who can get this service right now...
saying NO to it.
That is NOT a winning product no matter how you try to slice and dice it.
i would daresay that there is a very select few that can afford high end cars (bentley, ferrari, lambo, etc) but they seem to be doing well.
said by Rick5:And that 5 percent who are saying YES includes ALL The built up anticipation of their die hard fans who get to finally say..It's HERE. I can switch from cable.
again, u-verse is a buzzword. it gets attention. people wouldn't be willing to switch if cable provided a better product with more satisfaction, now would they?
said by Rick5:That's my prediction..has been my prediction..and I'm sticking to it unless something dramatic happens.
like comcast folding and they shut the doors and they give you walking papers and a boot in the ass?
said by Rick5:But the telco's are losing their mainstay business at the same time. What you're saying would be similar to saying comcast is gaining 5% market share in landlines..while having their cable tv business wiped out.
will never happen because comcast will lower the cap if their digital video subs start to hemorrhage.
said by Rick5:And again..that 5% is coming from half their own customers moving up from dsl based products.
based solely on a fact that you *made up* in a previous post...
said by Rick5:And so..in reality..you're probably really looking at something like a 2 1/2% success..conversion rate from cable.
see. you're assuming again.
now, i applaud you on one fact. you are attacking the *real* concern. but again, i will echo the sentiments of an above poster (there is always a first time for everything...)
said by ninjatutle:What are you (comcast) afraid of?
because its true. there is a quote from a song...
"if you still hate me, you're thinking of me".
you try *soooo* hard to rag on telcos. is that because you are really scared sh!tless?
q.
edited to fix a hanging quote. did everything from the qreply box