The 2006 mandate is not totally true. There is a shut off valve. It's been a couple of years since I've read it, but the FCC can not force the stations to give up their analog frequencies until 60% (I believe) of house holds have DTV. If someone remembers the number, plz let me know. I'll have to pull it again.
85%. If you count all the cable, satellite and digital Over-the-Air set-top boxes the digital 85% line may already have been reached. Cable and satellite will just use the digital Over-the-Air signal instead of the analog Over-the-Air signal to provide local channels.