 swhx7Premium
join:2006-07-23
Elbonia | reply to PDXPLT
Re: NOPE I basically agree with you all, but I think there's a better way to sum up the HD-DVD and Blu Ray prospects: cost-benefit ratio.
The quality improvement over DVD really is impressive when you look at a well-mastered, true-HD source (not just upscaled DVD resolution) on a true HD monitor (not just widescreen).
But there are two other factors: DVD is "good enough" for many people even though true HD is dazzling; and the cost factor.
Most people will upgrade to better displays, either in the next few years or at least when their old TVs die. But this is not the only cost factor. It will take a while for player prices to come down; and for those who collect disks instead of renting they're going to be very resistant to replacing collections.
So migrations will take years - but the hardware makers don't have that long with HD-DVD or Blu Ray. Both are going to fail unless the format war gets decided, and that's not going to happen until people start buying. Thus, I am very skeptical about either HD-DVD or Blu Ray succeeding. |
