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SoCal Phone Rate Increases »
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aztecnology
O Rly?
Premium
join:2003-02-12
Murrieta, CA
·Verizon FIOS


1 edit
reply to dogma
Re: Home Values going down the toliet?

said by dogma See Profile :

said by USA TODAY :
WASHINGTON (AP) — Mortgage finance company Freddie Mac (FRE) will no longer buy subprime mortgages that have a "high likelihood" of payment shock and foreclosure, a surprise move that came amid a deteriorating market for subprime loans affected by slumping home prices and rising interest rates, the company announced Tuesday.

The median price of an existing home sold in January dropped to $210,600, a decline of 3.1% from a year ago. It marked the sixth straight month that the median price has been down compared with a year ago. The January decline was the third-biggest drop in history.
The end of subprime lending is at hand, coupled with the third biggest drop in home prices for the Month of January in HISTORY.

Since "subprime" (under a 660 FICO I think) has been the market, the driving component that has pushed home values past reality over the past 10 years. And considering 70% or so of potential home buyers fall into the subprime category, this move effectively locks them out of the market. Add the increasing mortgage default rates rose 67% and bankruptcies rose 9.6% during Q4 2006. (BTW, BK's are pretty much irrelevant nowadays due to the BK laws being rewritten by the "BigLending" cartels)

In a Filing footnote, I find: Freddie Mac renegotiates the terms of the loan with someone who is delinquent, then, voila, that person is no longer delinquent. It seems to me that since about June of 2006, Freddie Mac is struggling to keep this Ponzi scheme afloat...at least until today. So we may see foreclosures quadruple month over month by years end.

It is pretty clear we are looking at a 40% value drop in home value over the next 2-4 years, IMO. And moreover, as was mentioned yesterday by Alan Greenspan, a major economic recession is headed our way by years end...which may have helped precipitate the massive DOW/S&P 500 sell off today.

What do you think?
2007, the year of the reckoning...

We've got 1 foot in the recession bucket

The market dropped 400+ points today

NOD's are up

Foreclosure's are up

Property tax lates are up

Prices are coming down (Don't be fooled by the MEDIAN price)

Subprime mortgage lenders are imploding and going bankrupt

Freddie and Fannie will lead the way in the credit crunch

The fed is in a catch 22, battling recession/printing money they probably can't do anything meaningful with interest rates

Lenders came up with a grey area called Alt-A (620-680) which now sits between prime and subprime, and for the most part subprime is considered as anything below 620

Bubbles eventually correct to their historical trend line, always, and tend to over correct at that
--
"Independent thinkers tend to ALWAYS have someone not agreeing with them. It's The non-thinkers that always come in legions." John Callari .:|:. Say no to the IRS Yes to the Fair Tax


81399672
Premium
join:2006-05-17
Los Angeles, CA

Yes 400 lost but it may not mean much actually. Most you going to see is 10% correction. I understand you want prices to go down but chances of that happening right now are that high. This month buying/selling will show us the picture which i predict will be that sale of houses have slowdown but prices is still going up
--
i am not a lawyer but I do play one on tv
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