 fiberguyMy views are my own.Premium join:2005-05-20 kudos:3 | Well... hmmm.. let's see. I'm not sure where you got those numbers from.. 35/70 demand in less than 3 years? I don't buy that..
Most consumers shop by price, not speed. They shop for perceived value, not speed. Your subject should have read, SOME subs will... not sure why you said "A sub" but anyway.. the numbers are strange.
Being that it may be anyway... cable still has the advantage over verizon. What people don't get is this.. DOCSIS 3.0 is still easier for them to deploy than a fiber rebuild. You are right that cable can push fiber that last mile to the home quicker than VZ can rebuild. HOWEVER, VZ still can't touch apartments.. cable can. In alot of the markets that VZ serves, there are TONS of apartments that are out of reach for them.. but not for cable and 3.0.
Right now, VZ is making headlines.. their turning on light.. it's good for them.. this will continue for another year or so before their project becomes old news. Cable will flip the switch on 3.0 and instantly, system to system, have access to 3.0 benefits, in virtual terms, pretty much over night.
To be honest, this is why cable puts their money in 3.0 rather than fiber. Once you go fiber, in an established network, the installations get longer, more of them come at you faster, more room for even more errors, more equipment to chase around in an established system..etc. This is similar, for cable, as it was when some systems launched digital phone and the RSU was introduced to the side of the house. (Similar to a ONT) Cable can play play the up-man game easier and THEN figure out if they want to push fiber out farther at a more relaxed pace.
One last thing that I've said many times over.. I don't root for cable and I don't root for phone.. I root for both. They keep each other in reasonable check. People call for the elimination of cable.. what good is that? Phone will just start abusing people again. Phone is playing the good guy now because it's convenient and their turn. With out cable, phone would continue it's history of customer abuse. Take phone away, and cable gets even more bold. They BOTH need to be there other wise you don't see advance.. the very reason cable merged was to be competitive with phone.. it worked. When the cable co's merged, more was put out to the consumer.. now phone is reacting.
Will you see your faster speeds? I'd say most people in larger cities will have access to at least 15mb or 25 mb by 2010...maybe more.. depending on 3.0. -- "Complaining is the least path of resistance for the self-reitchous and lazy ... those who also never take the time to point out a good fortune when the opportunity presents itself. It says a lot about one's moral character." - Unknown |
 elios join:2005-11-15 Springfield, MO | question.
HOW can cable "turn on 3.0 overnight" when most people barely have 2.0 compliant modems?
are thay going to just mass mail every one a new modem or run 2.0/3.0 at the same time
even then what about the people that have 1.1 or less modems when there net just stops working one day?
i can see the calls now
joe sixpack: my net doesnt work cable rep: were sorry we upgraded the network youll have to pay $X more for a new modem
yea... not going to happen very fast now is it? |