KrK
Heavy Artillery For The Little Guy
Premium
join:2000-01-17
Tulsa, OK | They're dreaming
If they think Americans are going to have 1Gbps connections in 7 years..... I strongly suspect most the USA will be stuck in the 20 mbps and under range for a long, long time.
And they'll be capped, too. |
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Nightfall
My Goal Is To Deny Yours
Premium,MVM
join:2001-08-03
Grand Rapids, MI
 ·AT&T Midwest
 ·Comcast
 ·Site5.com
| said by KrK  :If they think Americans are going to have 1Gbps connections in 7 years..... I strongly suspect most the USA will be stuck in the 20 mbps and under range for a long, long time. And they'll be capped, too. Being as that broadband to the home has only been mainstream for about 8-9 years now, thats a pretty bold statement. The technology is changing so fast. Who knows what the standards will be in 8 more years. |
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KrK
Heavy Artillery For The Little Guy
Premium
join:2000-01-17
Tulsa, OK
·AT&T Yahoo
·AT&T DSL Service
·Cox HSI
·AT&T Southwest
| Well true... but based on advances in my area.... DSL first started in the area late 1999. Uverse is coming, they'll allow 25mbps, and Cox currently has close to 20.
So that's some improvement in 9 years, but nothing as dramatic as 20-50X faster then first DSL... From 6 max to 25ish. Course, as you say it is changing, but based on the entrenched providers, I *seriously* doubt it's going to go to 1Gbps in the next 7.
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"Regulatory capitalism is when companies invest in lawyers, lobbyists, and politicians, instead of plant, people, and customer service." - former FCC Chairman William Kennard (A real FCC Chairman, unlike the current Corporate Spokesperson in the job!) |
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Nightfall
My Goal Is To Deny Yours
Premium,MVM
join:2001-08-03
Grand Rapids, MI
·AT&T Midwest
·Comcast
·Site5.com
| said by KrK :Well true... but based on advances in my area.... DSL first started in the area late 1999. Uverse is coming, they'll allow 25mbps, and Cox currently has close to 20. So that's some improvement in 9 years, but nothing as dramatic as 20-50X faster then first DSL... From 6 max to 25ish. Course, as you say it is changing, but based on the entrenched providers, I *seriously* doubt it's going to go to 1Gbps in the next 7. The current technology that we are using, cable and dsl, may give way to FIOS or wireless for that matter. Just as in previous years, dialup gave way to ISDN. ISDN gave way to cable/dsl. Will cable/dsl give way to new technology?
You are right though, that kind of dramatic increase seems hard to believe.
Course, back in 1994 when I got my 486 DX with a HUGE 250mb hard drive, I never thought 14 years later I would be using a quad core processor with dual 1 terrabyte hard drives. I can't imagine what kind of hard drives will be out 14 years from now. Maybe 25 terrabyte hard drives? Heck, 250mb hard drives to a 1 tb drive is about a 1000x difference. Maybe we are looking at petabyte drives? The mind reels. |
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KrK
Heavy Artillery For The Little Guy
Premium
join:2000-01-17
Tulsa, OK
·AT&T Yahoo
·AT&T DSL Service
·Cox HSI
·AT&T Southwest
| I think one day, yeah.... but in the next 7 years I can't see it happening. Even if AT&T suddenly had a change or heart (or Cox) and said "We're going FTTH!" I still see it taking longer then that to deploy--- and even when deployed I doubt they'll be wanting to give you a Gbps 
--
"Regulatory capitalism is when companies invest in lawyers, lobbyists, and politicians, instead of plant, people, and customer service." - former FCC Chairman William Kennard (A real FCC Chairman, unlike the current Corporate Spokesperson in the job!) |
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attsbcisgay
join:2003-03-18
Beverly Hills, CA
| said by KrK :I think one day, yeah.... but in the next 7 years I can't see it happening. Even if AT&T suddenly had a change or heart (or Cox) and said "We're going FTTH!" I still see it taking longer then that to deploy--- and even when deployed I doubt they'll be wanting to give you a Gbps in 7 years it would be a miracle if the world is wired for broadband
in 7 years there will be more user with faster speed but they are still in the minority...
not a big deal
many user will still crawl at a measly 1.5mbps
3mbps
5mbps or other silly speed that seem to never improve
due to
1. regulation
2. patents
3. profits based on an obsolete model that will never change as long as it makes the provider lots of money namely dialup and slow ancient dsl not broadband is really slowband imho. \outandover/ancientchina |
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