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NetAdmin
CCNA

join:2008-05-22

reply to voipdabbler
Re: I got bit by this

said by voipdabbler See Profile :

IMHO, "cloud computing" is a fad that will fail within the next 3 years. Why? Large enterprises aren't going to touch it--thankfully, there are some existing legal standards that require handling of data in certain ways to protect data, such as financial information (I can only hope those standards get strengthened.
Without enterprises coming onboard, this will remain a niche market with individual consumers as clients.
You've completely forgotten about small business, of which there are, from the number I last heard, several million. While you correctly point out that large business won't adopt cloud computing widely, small businesses are going to be the biggest users of it. Right off the bat, the can save a good bit on upfront licensing fees. It also makes life much easier when adding new users and systems as the business grows - all the new machine needs is an OS and a web browser.

However, for cloud computing to really catch on, there needs to be a vast improvement in the ability of the applications offered to match the performance and flexibility of applications that typically run on a desktop - databases, spreadsheets, etc.
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Over ten plus years of carrying The Clue Bat...

voipdabbler

join:2006-04-27
Kalispell, MT

reply to Dogfather
IMHO, "cloud computing" is a fad that will fail within the next 3 years. Why? Large enterprises aren't going to touch it--thankfully, there are some existing legal standards that require handling of data in certain ways to protect data, such as financial information (I can only hope those standards get strengthened. Then, you have the added responsibility of proper handling to maintain potential privileges for certain information, should it ever be sought in discovery during litigation. You also must properly handle your intellectual property to be able to protect it. Most corporate clients that I have worked with just aren't going to park their data anywhere other than in-house servers.

Without enterprises coming onboard, this will remain a niche market with individual consumers as clients. Even with ad-based revenue, for this type of service to survive it will need to charge those individual consumers at some point, and, well I don't see most people being willing to pay. (I also suspect you're going to see data emerging about identity theft via hacking of these type of services.)
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