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« [SWX] Tornado Warning Southern Calif. Deserts  
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ghostpainter
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3 edits
Special Tropical Notice;Tropical Storm EDOUARD



Special Tropical Disturbance Statement
Nws Tpc/National Hurricane Center Miami Fl
1100 Am Edt Sun Aug 3 2008

Satellite Imagery And Surface Observations Indicate That A Low
Pressure Area Has Formed In The Northern Gulf Of Mexico About 150
Miles South Of Pensacola Florida. Environmental Conditions Are
Marginally Favorable For Additional Development...And A Tropical
Depression Could Form During The Next Day Or So As The System Moves Towards The West. An Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter Aircraft
Is Scheduled To Investigate The Area This Afternoon. Interests In
The Northwestern Gulf Of Mexico Should Monitor The Progress Of This
System.

$$
Forecaster Beven


ghostpainter
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2 edits
Tropical Storm EDOUARD forms moves towards Texas

Click for full size
TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIVE ADVISORY NUMBER 1

NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL052008

400 PM CDT SUN AUG 03 2008

...TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIVE FORMS IN THE NORTHERN GULF OF

MEXICO...WARNINGS AND WATCHES ISSUED...

AT 4 PM CDT...2100 UTC...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR

THE LOUISIANA COAST FROM THE MOUTH OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER

WESTWARD TO INTRACOASTAL CITY. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT

TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA

WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

AT 4 PM CDT...2100 UTC...A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT WEST OF

INTRACOASTAL CITY TO PORT OCONNOR TEXAS. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH

MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH

AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE

INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED

BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AT 400 PM CDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIVE WAS

LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 28.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 88.1 WEST OR ABOUT 85

MILES...140 KM...SOUTHEAST OF THE MOUTH OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER AND

ABOUT 415 MILES...665 KM...EAST OF GALVESTON TEXAS.

THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 6 MPH...10 KM/HR...AND

A GENERAL MOTION TOWARD THE WEST OR WEST-NORTHWEST IS FORECAST

DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER

OF THE CYCLONE WILL MOVE PARALLEL TO THE LOUISIANA COAST TONIGHT

AND MONDAY...AND APPROACH THE UPPER TEXAS COAST ON TUESDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER

GUSTS. SLOW STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24

HOURS...AND THE DEPRESSION IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A TROPICAL STORM

LATER TONIGHT OR ON MONDAY.

THE LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY AN AIR FORCE RESERVE

HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT IS 1007 MB...29.74 INCHES.

TIDES OF 2 TO 4 FT ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS CAN BE EXPECTED IN THE

WARNING AREA IN AREAS OF ONSHORE FLOW.

THE TROPICAL DEPRESSION IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN

ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES ALONG THE THE LOUISIANA COAST WITH

POSSIBLE ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 3 INCHES. ONCE THE SYSTEM

MOVES TO THE UPPER TEXAS COAST...TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF 2 TO 4

INCHES WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 6 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER

SOUTHEAST TEXAS.

REPEATING THE 400 PM CDT POSITION...28.2 N...88.1 W. MOVEMENT

TOWARD...WEST NEAR 6 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH.

MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB.

AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE

CENTER AT 700 PM CDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 1000

PM CDT.
--
My Bloggs,
»www.insidetheie.com/ »earthlogii.blogspot.com/ »vietaffairsvets.blogspot.com/
A Forecaster for HinghamWX on EarthLogIIWX.
Why is it that people who don't care about the weather are the first to bitch about it when it changes

SmokChsr
Who let the magic smoke out?
Premium
join:2006-03-17
Saint Augustine, FL

I wasn't paying any attention the the weather, yet as traveled to Austin Tx. to teach a radio class, when I got into the Huston area, I quickly noticed that all the message boards on the highway had this message up, "Storm forming in gulf" - "Fill your tanks" Depending on which way it goes it might make for a wet day in Austin about Wed..


Budster
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Saint Amant, LA
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reply to ghostpainter
Re: Special Tropical Notice;Tropical Storm EDOUARD

I wasn't paying attention and of all places to be... I'm in Pensacola LOL
--
Laissez le bon temps rouler, encore!


ghostpainter
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Hurricane Watch Posted for Parts of Texas Coast


Tropical Storm Edouard Advisory Number 5
Nws Tpc/National Hurricane Center Miami Fl Al052008
1000 Am Cdt Mon Aug 04 2008

...Tropical Storm Warning Extended Westward...

At 10 Am Cdt...1500 Utc...The Tropical Storm Warning Is Extended
Westward To Port Oconnor Texas. A Tropical Storm Warning Is Now In
Effect From The Mouth Of The Mississippi River Westward To Port
Oconnor.

A Hurricane Watch Remains In Effect From West Of Intracoastal City
Louisiana To Port O'Connor Texas.

For Storm Information Specific To Your Area...Including Possible
Inland Watches And Warnings...Please Monitor Products Issued
By Your Local Weather Office.

At 1000 Am Cdt...1500Z...The Center Of Tropical Storm Edouard Was
Located Near Latitude 28.2 North...Longitude 90.6 West Or About 160
Miles...260 Km...South-Southeast Of Lafayette Louisiana And About
265 Miles...425 Km...East-Southeast Of Galveston Texas.

Edouard Is Moving Toward The West Near 8 Mph...13 Km/Hr. A Turn To
The West-Northwest Is Expected Later Today...Which Would Bring The
Center Of Edouard Very Near The Upper Texas Coast Or The Coast Of
Southwestern Louisiana By Tuesday Morning.

Maximum Sustained Winds Are Near 45 Mph...75 Km/Hr...With Higher
Gusts. Some Increase In Strength Is Expected During The Next 24
Hours...And Edouard Could Be Nearing Hurricane Strength Before
Reaching The Coastline.

Tropical Storm Force Winds Extend Outward Up To 35 Miles...55 Km
From The Center.

Estimated Minimum Central Pressure Is 1002 Mb...29.59 Inches.

A Storm Surge Of 2 To 4 Ft Above Normal Tide Levels Can Be Expected
In The Warning Area In Areas Of Onshore Winds.

Edouard Is Expected To Produce Total Rain Accumulations Of 3 To 5
Inches In Some Louisiana Coastal Counties And Southeastern Texas.
Isolated Maximum Amounts Of 10 Inches Are Possible Over
Southeastern Texas.

Isolated Tornadoes Are Possible Over Portions Of Southern Louisiana
And The Upper Texas Coast Later Today And Tonight.

Repeating The 1000 Am Cdt Position...28.2 N...90.6 W. Movement
Toward...West Near 8 Mph. Maximum Sustained Winds...45 Mph.
Minimum Central Pressure...1002 Mb.

An Intermediate Advisory Will Be Issued By The National Hurricane
Center At 100 Pm Cdt Followed By The Next Complete Advisory At 400
Pm Cdt.

$$
Forecaster Franklin
--
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»www.insidetheie.com/ »earthlogii.blogspot.com/ »vietaffairsvets.blogspot.com/
A Forecaster for HinghamWX on EarthLogIIWX.
Why is it that people who don't care about the weather are the first to bitch about it when it changes


ghostpainter
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reply to ghostpainter
Tropical Storm EDOUARD


Edouard could become a minimal Hurricane just as it approaches the Texas Coast. One good thing about this storm, is if heads west into Texas it will pass some areas that hard hit by Drought.


seqrets
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Nederland, TX
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·RoadRunner Cable

Just guessing here, but, it seems to want to keep making a norttherly jog at or just east of Morgan City,La. Ghost do you see anything similar?

»cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/tropic/real-···4hrs.gif

»www.goes.noaa.gov/HURRLOOPS/gulfvs.html


ghostpainter
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join:2002-05-25
Rancho Cucamonga, CA
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1 edit
you have to remember that each time it rotates it wobbles and those wobbles can be as much as 150 miles to either side of its direction. Just the nature of the storm. Another reason that New Orleans city proper was missed by the eye. If it had moved to the west at just the right time the storm might have passed over the city.

This wobble is caused by the earths movement as well as the right front side of the storm usually being the strongest side.

If you live in the Houston area, or the Channel area I would be packing and leaving as this might only be a mininal Hurricane as it hits the rain is going to flood everything in the area.
--
My Bloggs,
»www.insidetheie.com/ »earthlogii.blogspot.com/ »vietaffairsvets.blogspot.com/
A Forecaster for HinghamWX on EarthLogIIWX.
Why is it that people who don't care about the weather are the first to bitch about it when it changes


seqrets
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Nederland, TX
clubs:
·RoadRunner Cable


3 edits
Click for full size
Gun shy from Rita, I know and yes I am! LOL
I have too much to lose Ghost!

Two more models have shifted to the land fall to a more easterlty direction...

CLP5, CMC and NGPS.

»www.ih2000.net/ira/bmt-wth.htm

It wobbled alright. LOL Right into my backyard! LOL!

Attachment from 0539 hrs 8-5-08.

Just wanted to add that as of right now it's not that bad. Not that much rain or wind at least not right now!



Budster
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Saint Amant, LA
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·Cox HSI
·Eatel

reply to seqrets
Hows it going over there in Nederland this morning? I was there last year when Humberto went through there last year. The funny story about that was that I was working a 7 day/Commissioning T/A there and I was not to miss work.. when the eye passed, I went in... I was told to leave the plant as soon as I got there and got hit big time on the way back... It was such a mess.. I felt like I had some big wrestler rocking my car side to side... try driving that! It will scare you.
--
Laissez le bon temps rouler, encore!


seqrets
Premium
join:2001-05-03
Nederland, TX
clubs:
·RoadRunner Cable

said by Budster See Profile :

Hows it going over there in Nederland this morning?
One heck of a lot better than I than I thought! LOL

I worked the dayshift that Humberto came through and it dummped a scoot load of rain. The Chemical plant that I used to work for has containment levees around it and for one reason or another, there was a good 6-8" of water standing in the unit! It made for a real nice day! LOL

As for Ed, little wind but, outside of the duration the front that came through Sunday was a lot worse at least as for wind speed! Not a whole lot of rain either.

I really appreciate all of ya'll who take the time to post weather info here! I really do!

Thank You all!


seqrets
Premium
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Nederland, TX
clubs:
·RoadRunner Cable

reply to ghostpainter
Re: Special Tropical Notice;Tropical Storm EDOUARD

Houston looks to be getting the worst of it!


ghostpainter
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Rancho Cucamonga, CA
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Rain fall rates along the right front quadrant are what we expected...Right about 1.50 to 2.10 per inch in the Houston area and back over towards Lake Charles, as much as 3 inches have fallen.

The storm continues on a NWN track and will start to turn towards the NNN then wrap around the high Pressure dome that is building. The areas under the dome wont see any rain depending on which way it shifts. Right now a shift west into New Mexico and Arizona is expected with heavy monsoonal rains building over the MT's and Deserts.

It might even push into southern California and produce heavy thunderstorm activitiy in the eastern areas of San Bernardino, San Diego and Riverside Counties. That is an area equal to 15 eastern states.
--
My Bloggs,
»www.insidetheie.com/ »earthlogii.blogspot.com/ »vietaffairsvets.blogspot.com/
A Forecaster for HinghamWX on EarthLogIIWX.
Why is it that people who don't care about the weather are the first to bitch about it when it changes
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