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Forums » Still No Sign Of The Exaflood » Headline and words at odds in this story
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TKJunkMail
Enjoy the sun
Premium
join:2002-03-03
Avalon, NJ
·Sprint Mobile Broa..
·Comcast

 Headline and words at odds in this story

Headline:
Still No Sign Of The Exaflood

Actual quote by the expert:
"Traffic growth is still quite fast, so in some sense you could say yes, we’re on the way to the exaflood or we’re already in it.

Also past activity is not a prediction. All data plots look the same - until the trend hits a knee in the curve. Just because the plot is now linear doesn't mean it will stay that way. The PREDICTED growth in delivered video could throw the curve vertical very soon. The good professors analysis of past events doesn't deal with the future.
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Millenniumle

join:2007-11-11
Fredonia, NY

Oddly, though, ISP's already distribute their own video content over the pipes and this doesn't seem to concern them or produce any adverse affects. It's only internet hoggish, network choking naughtiness when it's a competitors video content bein' desired.

I really only see two things; gouging out competition and just plain gouging. They want to hand out non-proprietary content bandwidth with a dropper instead of a glass and charge like its gallons.


mrchris
We don't miss you Bush
Premium
join:2002-10-01
North Babylon, NY
reply to TKJunkMail
GREED

They're just being too lazy to increase network infastructure, those greedy bastards!

andre2

join:2005-08-24
Brookline, MA

reply to TKJunkMail
Re: Headline and words at odds in this story

said by TKJunkMail See Profile :

Headline:
Still No Sign Of The Exaflood

Actual quote by the expert:
"Traffic growth is still quite fast, so in some sense you could say yes, we’re on the way to the exaflood or we’re already in it.

Also past activity is not a prediction. All data plots look the same - until the trend hits a knee in the curve. Just because the plot is now linear doesn't mean it will stay that way. The PREDICTED growth in delivered video could throw the curve vertical very soon. The good professors analysis of past events doesn't deal with the future.
Demand for video (or pretty much any other internet application) is highly elastic. If the capacity doesn't currently exist for everyone to watch real-time HD video, then most people will settle for lower-res (or the ones who really need the high-def fix will let it buffer first) for the time being. For this reason predictions of the tubes clogging are highly unlikely.
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