said by fAcEtIOUs:Headline:
Still No Sign Of The Exaflood
Actual quote by the expert:
"Traffic growth is still quite fast, so in some sense you could say
yes, we’re on the way to the exaflood or we’re already in it.Also past activity is not a prediction. All data plots look the same - until the trend hits a knee in the curve. Just because the plot is now linear doesn't mean it will stay that way. The PREDICTED growth in delivered video could throw the curve vertical very soon. The good professors analysis of past events doesn't deal with the future.
Demand for video (or pretty much any other internet application) is highly elastic. If the capacity doesn't currently exist for everyone to watch real-time HD video, then most people will settle for lower-res (or the ones who really need the high-def fix will let it buffer first) for the time being. For this reason predictions of the tubes clogging are highly unlikely.
