 AxillaFinger, FingerPremium,Mod
join:2001-03-26
Schofield, WI
Mediacom
Weather
| reply to ghostpainter
Re: [SWX] TS Fay said by ghostpainter:Not that Florida doesn't have enough troubles with Fay but add in about 126 reports of tornadoes and water spouts and it gets downright ugly. The above is a photo of a tornado which hit Lake Wales, Florida this afternoon Looks like a water spout to me in that picture. |
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 ghostpainterI Write for the ApocalypsePremium,MVM
join:2002-05-25
Rancho Cucamonga, CA
kudos:3 | Surface observations and WSR-88D radar data show that the center of
circulation has continued moving west-northwestward over the
Florida Panhandle...with an initial motion estimate of 285/7. Rain
bands have become relatively few and far between over water...and
all available data suggest that sustained winds of tropical storm
force are no longer occurring. Fay is downgraded to a depression
with maximum winds of 30 kt...although rather gusty conditions
persist even over land areas. Since Fay is forecast to remain over
land...the intensity forecast indicates slow weakening...although
due to its proximity to the Gulf of Mexico...Fay could remain a
tropical depression for a few more days.
The downgrade based on winds does not change the fact that this
slow-moving system will continue to pose a significant rainfall and
flooding hazard for several days to come...along the northern Gulf
Coast and adjacent areas well inland. The depression is forecast
by all models to continue moving in a general westward direction
for the next day or two in response to a weak mid-level ridge to
its north. After that...however...most models forecast the
steering currents to collapse...leaving Fay to perhaps meander or
even remain stationary in a couple of days...further exacerbating
the rainfall and flooding potential. Models greatly disagree on
what becomes of Fay in the 3 to 5 day time frame...with some...such
as the GFS...forecasting a brisk motion toward the northeast ahead
of the next mid-latitude trough...but with others calling for Fay
to hang around the Gulf Coast states through 120 hours. The
official forecast remains a compromise...showing a very slow
northeastward motion late in the forecast.
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»www.insidetheie.com/ »earthlogii.blogspot.com/ »vietaffairsvets.blogspot.com/
A Forecaster for HinghamWX on EarthLogIIWX.
Why is it that people who don't care about the weather are the first to bitch about it when it changes |
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ghostpainterI Write for the ApocalypsePremium,MVM
join:2002-05-25
Rancho Cucamonga, CA
kudos:3 | reply to Axilla
this is the official news release that we finally got.
A tornado touched down in Lake Wales this evening, damaging four mobile homes and a bridge, Polk County public safety officials say. Nobody was injured. One of the mobile homes was damaged significantly enough that the homeowner must be displaced, county public safety spokeswoman Heather Smith said. The three other homes, which generally only are occupied on weekends, had roof damage. The twister touched down at 3000 Camp Rosalie Road about 6:37 p.m., Smith said. The displaced homeowner was on scene when the tornado came through. "The Red Cross is trying to ascertain what his needs are and they are trying to help him out," she said. Paul Close of the National Weather Service said the tornado could have started out as a waterspout, but once waterspouts come on land they are considered tornadoes. » www2.tbo.com/content/2008/aug/22···-county/
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My Bloggs,
»www.insidetheie.com/ »earthlogii.blogspot.com/ »vietaffairsvets.blogspot.com/
A Forecaster for HinghamWX on EarthLogIIWX.
Why is it that people who don't care about the weather are the first to bitch about it when it changes |
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 SmokChsrWho let the magic smoke out?Premium
join:2006-03-17
Saint Augustine, FL
 ·Clearwire Wireless
| reply to ghostpainter
I covered one tornado that made a very quick swipe at Hastings Fl. It was obviously just a small F0, or just a funnel that got really close to the ground. I also saw a couple others but was unable to get a camera on them in time. The ones I saw were very quick you would see the funnel starting to form, it would drop and dissipate all in less than a minute. |
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 Budster6 DigitPremium
join:2001-01-05
Carlsbad, NM | reply to Axilla
Looks like Fay has decided to come over here and leave a few inches of rain too.
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Laissez le bon temps rouler, encore! |
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Reviews:
 ·Charter
| reply to Axilla
»www.hpc.ncep.noaa.gov/discussion···at1.html
SELECTED STORM TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS IN INCHES THROUGH 700 AM CDT
...ALABAMA...
VALLEY 0.4 NNW 7.12
CAMDEN 1.0 NNE 6.83
CLIO 0.2 SSW 6.38
ELFAULA 1.0 SSE 6.26
TROY 1.5 ESE 6.21
WETUMPKA 5.0 SE 6.14
CLOPTON 0.1 SW 5.96
LADONIA 13.2 SSW 5.90
ALEXANDER CITY 10.0 SW 5.77
PINE HILL 3.6 WSW 5.76
SYLACAUGS 9.2 S 5.65
TROY 5.60
OZARK 5.36
DOTHAN 4.17
AUBURN 4.04
MONTGOMERY 3.81
BIRMINGHAM 3.28
ALABASTER 2.77
ANNISTON 2.14
EVERGREEN 2.14
TUSCALOOSA 2.10
...FLORIDA...
MELBOURNE BEACH 3.9 SSE 25.28
COCOA BEACH 24.38
CAPE CANAVERAL 22.83
DELTONA 22.69
SATELLITE BEACH 22.40
PALM SHORES 1.4 W 21.44
DELTONA 2.9 SE 20.94
MELBOURNE 7.0 NW 20.57
ORANGE CITY 19.81
HILLIARD 5.4 NW 19.70
TALLAHASSEE 5.7 SE 19.17
MALABAR 2.9 NNW 19.00
WACISSA 1.1 SW 18.09
SANFORD 0.4 ENE 18.03
LAKEWOOD PARK 0.5 SW 17.90
DE LAND 4.5 NW 17.20
COCOA 5.8 NW 16.77
MICCO 4.5 NW 16.26
LONGWOOD 2.3 WNW 15.70
EUSTIS 1.2 SE 15.56
HOBE SOUND 3.9 NW 15.01
SANFORD 14.97
PALM BAY 14.89
NORTH MAPLES 7.3 E 14.42
JACKSONVILLE 7.3 SW 14.40
DE LEON SPRINGS 0.4 SE 14.23
FORT PIERCE 11.58
JACKSONVILLE 11.58
...GEORGIA...
VALDOSTA (MOODY AFB) 8.54
ALBANY 4.92
SAVANNAH (HUNTER AAF) 4.41
ALMA 3.99
FORT BENNING 3.66
SAVANNAH 3.16
COLUMBUS 3.15
BRUNSWICK 2.89
MACON 1.49
...LOUISIANA...
LAFAYETTE 1.31
NEW ORLEANS (NEW) 1.24
BOOTHVILLE 1.16
...MISSISSIPPI...
JACKSON (WFO) 3.92
MERIDIAN (NAS/MCCAIN) 3.74
COLUMBUS (AFB) 3.39
MERIDIAN 2.54
GREENWOOD 2.43
JACKSON 2.40
NATCHEZ 2.15
VICKSBURG 1.37
TUPELO 1.31
...SOUTH CAROLINA...
BEAUFORT 5.34
CHARLESTON 2.67
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There's so much to be thankful for...How can anyone be sad?
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Budster6 DigitPremium
join:2001-01-05
Carlsbad, NM | reply to Axilla
Overall, I think our National Hurricane Center did a fine job tracking this storm.
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Laissez le bon temps rouler, encore! |
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| At the middle to end yes. Their beginning forecasts took it West of Tampa for a very long time when it was evident it would be East of Tampa. Crucial. |
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69742511Premium
join:2003-08-09
Costa Mesa, CA | Not to toot anyone else's horn but this speaks for itself.
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 wxbossThis is like Deja vu all over again.Premium
join:2005-01-30
Jacksonville, FL | reply to 75307788
The problem with this system early on was, 1) its intensity - or lack thereof, 2) the other atmospheric players that could have a potential impact on the storm.
Tracking Fay early on was synonymous to a rollercoaster ride. I believe the NHC did the best with what they had at the time. |
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Budster6 DigitPremium
join:2001-01-05
Carlsbad, NM | reply to Axilla
Have you ever had make a decision to pack up your family and haul them across the country at the last minute because it could mean the difference between life and death? Have you ever had to stand in line for hours to pick up important material to try and save your property only to leave it and not knowing if you had a home to come back to?
Give me a break!
That cone of probability very much informed everyone inside of it to be prepared for the worse cast scenario in which everything I see was effected. This is not some game, this is something we take very seriously.
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Laissez le bon temps rouler, encore! |
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wxbossThis is like Deja vu all over again.Premium
join:2005-01-30
Jacksonville, FL | reply to Axilla
Adhering only to the 'thin line' tracking mentality will always leave people vulnerable. The NHC very clearly stated that anyone within the cone of probability needed to take precautions. |
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SmokChsrWho let the magic smoke out?Premium
join:2006-03-17
Saint Augustine, FL Reviews:
·Clearwire Wireless
| reply to Axilla
Currently the remnants of Fay look to be stalled again bringing heavy rain into the Mobile Al area. It has already dropped over 5" by radar estimates in the Selma Al. area. Selma was seriously flooded by a stalled tropical storm about 10 years ago. I hope it's not going to do that to them again. |
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 TheGiantNext Year Is Here.
join:2001-03-28
Augusta, GA | reply to Axilla
NWS just issued a Flood watch for East TN. Looks like we are in for alot of rain. Great we need it. |
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 NETSHGo GatorsPremium
join:2002-11-06
united state
·Comcast
 ·AT&T U-Verse
| »www.tcpalm.com/photos/galleries/···un/5189/
Some aftermath pics from Port Saint Lucie.
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print "Hello, World!\n"; |
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