1 edit | reply to Axilla
Re: [SWX] TS Fay I'm about done with Fay due to the fact it is actually not a true tropical system to me. It's acting like a CUTOFF LOW and has a deep core to it like one. It is ANYONES guess where it will go and no one can claim such anymore. But this is the best I have right now.
Tropical Weather Service
Tropical-Scale-Discussion
Ontario, California
August 21, 2008– 8:30am PDT
CURRENT - OFFICIAL
Source:»www.owsweather.com/tsd1.html
Fay is one annoying storm for all meteorologists including myself. It is anyone's guess where she will head next but we can do the shorter term. As of now Fay's track is still going through Northern Florida. The only weird thing about this is now it is leaving Florida into Georgia or will try to go more North?
Fay is not catching up to the parent upper low and may be subject to fall behind to be pressed North. We will see what happens with this, but as far as I am concerned, Fay will go into Northern Florida in the short term. If it does take this track, Fay will be done with and turn into a tropical depression rather quickly.
Fay's track has been easy to forecast in the shorter term. However, due to this parent low hanging around her she is not having much of a decision to move many places.
NHC's track takes it further South than we have it now. So if you want to blend both forecasts then do so. We are very close to NHC's track on the OWS models until about mid point Northern FL where we divide.
We will discuss more on Fay on the radio show this evening. |
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 ghostpainterI Write for the ApocalypsePremium,MVM
join:2002-05-25
Rancho Cucamonga, CA
kudos:3 | Any storm that has the potential to drop another two feet of rain and retain its tropical charactertists is not to excused lightly. Fay will be be done with when she disappears over Mississippi.
As for tracking, the Bermuda High, the high in the mid Atlantic states and the low are all interplexing. Fay remains on a course that will take it ashore sometime tomorrow morning. If Fay were another 100 miles off of the coast we would have to worry about her becoming a Hurricane.
She will follow a course dictated by the highs and lows to the north of her. I think she will track just off shore and come ashore near New Orleans then move north and dissipate still dropping large amounts of rain.
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Why is it that people who don't care about the weather are the first to bitch about it when it changes |
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| She's already coming ashore.
She won't stick for very long. At this point no one can say the track. I'm officially almost done with Fay. |
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vasta
join:2003-04-07
Orlando, FL | its worse here now then it was 2 days ago
we needed teh rain |
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