Technical > Weather > [SWX] TS Fay

reply to Budster

Re: [SWX] TS Fay

I have a feeling its going to surprise a lot of people....We are not done with Fay yet.

This could be my last write up on this. Finally. Get her inland.

Tropical Weather Service
Tropical-Scale-Discussion
Ontario, California
August 22, 2008– 10:00am PDT
CURRENT - OFFICIAL

Fay is finally on the move. Finally? Because it just wouldn't move for days! It almost made a campsite out of the Southeastern USA. But this morning it is finally morning again. Currently nearing the Eastern extent of the Florida Panhandle, Fay is still a tropical storm with winds of 45 mph. these will continue to weaken and it will become a tropical depression over the next day or so.
Tracks from NHC take fay back over the extreme Northwestern Gulf Of Mexico. This could allow additional strengthening and it is the Southern most track of the OWS models. Since Fay has been able to move some, the OWS models are trying to figure out where she will go finally.
All OWS models have Fay going in a West-Northwestern direction through the Florida Panhandle. Where they end up is the key. None end up over the Gulf Of Mexico. They take Fay into Alabama and Mississippi. Where it goes it most likely a sharp turn to the Northeast as it is finally swept up.

Two tropical waves are out in the Atlantic right now and show signs of additional development. None are expected to pose a danger to land in the next couple days so we will wait for more development on those to figure paths out.

Updates to come.

K. MARTIN

reply to ghostpainter