said by Nightshade:So did I. And there is no statistical models that project when the knee in a curve may happen. And that is what you can't predict based purely on past trends.
I took statistics and probability. If there's anything I learned out of that class is that statisticians look at past data to make predictions about future trends. Without past data, there is no baseline for them to show future trends.
You can't have one without the other. You got to have past data to create any statistical trends at all regardless if the trend is accurate or not, period.