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jsz0
Premium
join:2008-01-23
Jewett City, CT

Most likely scenario:

IMO here's what will probably happen:

ISP charges a processing fee per incident on top of whatever monetary punishment the RIAA is requesting of the customer. Paid directly to the ISP while the RIAA charge is paid directly through the RIAA via whatever process they setup.

Assuming the average infraction takes 15-30 minutes the charge would be somewhere near $5-$10 to offset the time required by the ISP's employee(s) to deal with paper work, phone calls, etc.

This would replace the "3 strikes" rule many ISPs currently implement. If the customer is willing to pay the RIAA settlement and the ISP processing fee the ISP can make a reasonable argument that they are justified in having safe harbor protection and there would be no need to drop the customer.

Customers who refused to pay the processing fee might get a "3 strike" offer but at some point the cost of processing the consequences of the customer's action will make them unprofitable and the ISP will choose to drop them.

Ultimately I don't see it as being a question of copyright violation being right or wrong but instead a question of getting caught. The copyright holders understand they'll never stop piracy but they can push it back to the fringes of people who are technically literate enough to avoid getting caught.

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