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ghostpainter
I Write for the Apocalypse
Premium,MVM
join:2002-05-25
Rancho Cucamonga, CA
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1 edit | TS LINFA (03W (td) 03w (three) Taiwan Tropical depression (td) 03w (three) located approximately 330 nm
southwest of kaohsiung, Taiwan, has tracked northwestward at 03
knots over the past six hours. Due to newly available microwave
satellite imagery, the 17/0600z position was relocated approximately
45 nm north-northeast of the previous warning position. The
relocated center position does not affect the previous forecast
philosophy. The system is expected to continue to track slowly to
the west-northwest through tau 36 before recurving to the northeast.
Vertical windshear is expected to continue hampering intensification
throughout the forecasat period. For more in-depth discussion of the
forecast and forecast philosophy refer to the associated prognostic
reasoning (wdpn31 pgtw 171500). Maximum significant wave height at
171200z is 7 feet.
--
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»earthlogii.blogspot.com/
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Why is it that people who never pay attention to the weather are always the first to complain.
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ghostpainter
I Write for the Apocalypse
Premium,MVM
join:2002-05-25
Rancho Cucamonga, CA
clubs:
| Re: TS LINFA (03W (td) 03w (three) Taiwan Typhoon2000 (T2K) NEWS (Thu June 18 2009):
Currently issuing 6-HOURLY UPDATES (except 12 Midnight) ON TS LINFA (03W)
-------------------
LINFA (03W) MAX WIND SPEED PER AGENCY:
+ USA (JTWC/1-min avg): 75 km/hr
+ Japan (JMA/10-min avg): 65 km/hr
+ Korea (KMA/10-min avg): 65 km/hr
+ Beijing (NMC/2-min avg): 65 km/hr
+ Taiwan (CWB/10-min avg): 65 km/hr
+ Philippines (PAGASA/10-min avg): 65 km/hr
+ Hong Kong (HKO/10-min avg): 55 km/hr
-------------------
TROPICAL STORM LINFA (03W/0903)
T2K PUBLIC ADVISORY NUMBER 004
As of 6:00 PM PST (10:00 GMT) Thu 18 June 2009
Source: JTWC WARNING #005 (US Navy/Air Force) / T2K XTRAPOLATION
------------------
Tropical Storm 03W is now internationally known as LINFA...almost stationary over the South China Sea, just outside of the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR)...may affect Extreme Northern Luzon this weekend.
*Residents and visitors along Ilocos Norte, Abra, Northern Cagayan, Batanes-Calayan Group, Hong Kong and Southern Taiwan should closely monitor the progress of LINFA.
*Kindly refer to your local warnings & bulletins issued by your country's official weather agency. This advisory is intended for additional information purposes only.
+ Forecast Outlook: LINFA is expected to remain quasi-stationary w/in the next 6 hours before starting to drift ENE to NE-ward, entering PAR tomorrow afternoon. The 2 to 5-day Long-Range Forecast shows LINFA reaching its peak winds of 95 kph, passing very close to the Batanes and Calayan Group of Islands by late Saturday evening, June 20th. It shall then weaken into a Tropical Depression as it approaches the Okinawa-Ryukyu Islands by early Tuesday morning, June 23rd. *Alternate Forecast Scenario: There's a possibility that LINFA shall track more to the North and pass along Taiwan Strait. This scenario remains poor at this time.
+ Effects: LINFA's main circulation continues to improve & remains over the northern part of South China Sea. Its circulation is not yet affecting any land areas at this time.
+ Current Monsoon Intensity: Southwest (SW) Monsoon currently being enhanced by LINFA continues to affect Luzon...becoming more intense along the western parts including Metro Manila & Mindoro. Cloudy skies with passing drizzle to occasional rains and thunderstorms/squalls with SW'ly winds not exceeding 40 km/hr can be expected today. Possible landslides, mudslides, mudflows (lahars) and life-threatening flash floods are likely to occur along steep mountain/volcanic slopes, river banks, low-lying & flood-prone areas of the affected areas.
+ Tropical Cyclone Watch:
(1) Tropical Disturbance 90W (LPA) currently east of Extreme Northern Luzon...has been relocated near lat 18.9N lon 124.9E...about 340 km ENE of Aparri, Cagayan...with 1-min maximum sustained winds of 35 kph...currently moving North slowly.
This system will be closely monitored for possible development into significant Tropical Cyclone.
[Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast outlook, effects, current monsoon intensity, & tropical cyclone watch changes every 6 to 12 hrs!]
-------------------
Time/Date: 6:00 PM PST Thu June 18 2009
Location of Center: 17.6º N Lat 116.0º E Lon
Distance 1: 465 km (250 nm) West of Vigan City
Distance 2: 490 km (265 nm) WSW of Laoag City
Distance 3: 545 km (295 nm) SSE of Hong Kong
Distance 4: 695 km (375 nm) WSW of Basco, Batanes
MaxWinds (1-min avg): 75 kph (40 kts) near the center
Peak Wind Gusts: 95 kph (50 kts)
Saffir-Simpson Scale: Tropical Storm
Coastal Storm Surge Height: 0-3 feet [0-0.9 m]
Central Pressure: 993 millibars (hPa)
Recent Movement: WSW @ 02 kph (01 kt)
General Direction: South China Sea
Size (in Diameter): 370 km (200 nm) / Average
Max Sea Wave Height (near center): 14 ft (4.2 m)
Wunder TrackMap (for Public): 2 PM PST Thu June 18
JTWC Ship Avoidance TrackMap: 06Z Thu June 18
Multi-Agency Forecast TrackMap: 2 PM Thu June 18
TSR Wind Probabilities: Current to 120 hrs lead
Zoomed Satellite Pic: Near Real-Time
Wunderground Animation: 6-12 hr. GIF Loop
--
»www.insidetheie.com/
»earthlogii.blogspot.com/
»vietaffairsvets.blogspot.com/
Why is it that people who never pay attention to the weather are always the first to complain.
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ghostpainter
I Write for the Apocalypse
Premium,MVM
join:2002-05-25
Rancho Cucamonga, CA
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| TROPICAL STORM LINFA (03W/0903)
T2K PUBLIC ADVISORY NUMBER 007
As of 6:00 PM PST (10:00 GMT) Fri 19 June 2009
Source: JTWC WARNING #009 (US Navy/Air Force) / T2K XTRAPOLATION
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Tropical Storm LINFA (03W) continues to pick-up steam just outside of the Philippine Area of Responsiblity (PAR)...now drifting slowly northward.
*Residents and visitors along Southern China, Hong Kong and Taiwan including Batanes Group of Islands should closely monitor the progress of LINFA.
*Kindly refer to your local warnings & bulletins issued by your country's official weather agency. This advisory is intended for additional information purposes only.
+ Forecast Outlook: LINFA is expected to move NNE to NE-ward for the next 5 days and shall enter PAR tomorrow. The 5-day Long-Range Forecast shows LINFA reaching its peak winds of just 100 kph, making landfall near Kaohsiung City in Southern Taiwan on Sunday morning & passing to the North of Batanes Group of Islands on late Sunday afternoon, June 21st. It shall then weaken slowly as it transform into an Extratropical Cyclone while passing to the south of Southern Japan on Tuesday evening, June 23rd.
+ Effects: LINFA's circulation continues to organize over the northern part of South China Sea. Its circulation is not yet affecting any land areas at this time.
+ Current Monsoon Intensity: Weak Southwest (SW) Monsoon currently being enhanced by LINFA continues to affect Western Luzon...becoming more intense along the Zambales, Pangasinan, La Union & Ilocos Provinces. Cloudy skies with passing drizzle to occasional rains and thunderstorms/squalls with SW'ly winds not exceeding 40 km/hr can be expected today. Possible landslides, mudslides, mudflows (lahars) and life-threatening flash floods are likely to occur along steep mountain/volcanic slopes, river banks, low-lying & flood-prone areas of the affected areas.
+ Tropical Cyclone Watch:
(1) Tropical Disturbance 92W (LPA) remains drifting across Micronesia west of the Island of Chuuk...located near lat 7.5N lon 149.7E...about 845 km SSE of Hagatna, Guam...with 1-min maximum sustained winds of 30 kph...currently moving West slowly.
This system will be closely monitored for possible development into significant Tropical Cyclone within the next few days.
--
»www.insidetheie.com/
»earthlogii.blogspot.com/
»vietaffairsvets.blogspot.com/
Why is it that people who never pay attention to the weather are always the first to complain.
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ghostpainter
I Write for the Apocalypse
Premium,MVM
join:2002-05-25
Rancho Cucamonga, CA
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| >>
Get the latest 6-hrly SMS Storm Alerts on LINFA!
For more details: Text T2K TYPHOON to
2800 (Globe/TM) | 216 (Smart/TNT) | 2288 (Sun)
*only P2.50 (Smart/Globe) / P2.00 (Sun) per msg received.
powered by: Synermaxx
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Typhoon2000 (T2K) NEWS (Thu June 18 2009):
Currently issuing 6-HOURLY UPDATES (except 12 Midnight) ON TY LINFA (03W)
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
LINFA (03W) MAX WIND SPEED PER AGENCY:
+ USA (JTWC/1-min avg): 110 km/hr
+ Korea (KMA/10-min avg): 110 km/hr
+ Japan (JMA/10-min avg): 100 km/hr
+ Hong Kong (HKO/10-min avg): 95 km/hr
+ Philippines (PAGASA/10-min avg): 95 km/hr
+ Beijing (NMC/2-min avg): 85 km/hr
+ Taiwan (CWB/10-min avg): 85 km/hr
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
TYPHOON LINFA (03W/0903)
T2K PUBLIC ADVISORY NUMBER 009
As of 12:00 PM PST (04:00 GMT) Sat 20 June 2009
Source: JTWC WARNING #012 (US Navy/Air Force) / T2K XTRAPOLATION
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
LINFA (03W) becomes the 3rd Typhoon of the 2009 Season...11AM satellite analysis, reveals a newly-formed ragged Eye - using Dvorak Classification Technique T-number of 4.5 to justify the upgrading of this system...now increases its threat to Fujian Province of China and the Strait of Taiwan.
*Residents and visitors along Southeastern China and Taiwan should closely monitor the progress of LINFA.
*Kindly refer to your local warnings & bulletins issued by your country's official weather agency. This advisory is intended for additional information purposes only.
+ Forecast Outlook: LINFA is expected to accelerate North to NNE for the next 2 days and shall reach its peak strength later tonight before it weakens slowly. The 5-day Long-Range Forecast shows LINFA passing in between Fujian Province and Taiwan or across the Strait of Taiwan tomorrow morning, June 21. It shall further accelerate across the East China Sea on Monday June 22, before zooming across the NW Pacific or to the south of Kyuhsu, Shikoku and Honshu in Japan on Wednesday & Thursday (June 23-24). LINFA is expected to become Extratropical on Thursday or Friday (June 24-25).
+ Effects: LINFA's circulation remains over the northern part of South China Sea. However, its Northern Outer bands is likely to reach the Western part of Taiwan and the coastal areas of Fujian Province of China later tonight. Increasing winds of up to 60 kph with light to moderate rains can be expected along these bands. Deteriorating weather conditions can be expected along SE China and Western Taiwan tomorrow as the typhoon approaches.
+ Current Monsoon Intensity: Weak Southwest (SW) Monsoon currently being enhanced by LINFA is affecting Northwestern Luzon...becoming more intense along Ilocos Provinces. Cloudy skies with passing drizzle to occasional rains and thunderstorms/squalls with SW'ly winds not exceeding 40 km/hr can be expected today. Possible landslides, mudslides, mudflows (lahars) and life-threatening flash floods are likely to occur along steep mountain/volcanic slopes, river banks, low-lying & flood-prone areas of the affected areas.
+ Tropical Cyclone Watch:
(1) Tropical Disturbance 92W (LPA) remains drifting across Micronesia to the south of Guam...located near lat 8.9N lon 146.8E...or about 545 km SSE of Hagatna, Guam...with 1-min maximum sustained winds of 30 kph...currently moving WNW slowly.
This system will be closely monitored for possible development into significant Tropical Cyclone within the next few days.
--
»www.insidetheie.com/
»earthlogii.blogspot.com/
»vietaffairsvets.blogspot.com/
Why is it that people who never pay attention to the weather are always the first to complain.
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