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ghostpainter
I Write for the Apocalypse
Premium,MVM
join:2002-05-25
Rancho Cucamonga, CA
kudos:3

Tropical Low in Bay of Campheche. Western Caribbean.

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 PM EDT MON JUN 22 2009

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE SOUTHWESTERN GULF OF MEXICO AND
BAY OF CAMPECHE ARE ASSOCIATED WITH A WEAK SURFACE TROUGH.
DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM...IF ANY...IS EXPECTED TO BE SLOW TO
OCCUR AS THIS SYSTEM MOVES SLOWLY WEST-NORTHWESTWARD. THERE IS A
LOW CHANCE...LESS THAN 30 PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A
TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL
IS POSSIBLE OVER AREAS OF EAST-CENTRAL AND NORTHEASTERN MEXICO
DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER BLAKE/BRENNAN
--
»www.insidetheie.com/
»earthlogii.blogspot.com/
»vietaffairsvets.blogspot.com/

Why is it that people who never pay attention to the weather are always the first to complain.


Hayward
K A R - 1 2 0 C
Premium
join:2000-07-13
Key West, FL
kudos:1

4 edits

And given a 30% chance of aounting to anything....and VERY Unlikely

Just hhad to be sensatioana; hunh?

Thats barely over will it 20 min raiin or not.

Are you REALY that bored out West?

OK you got a very early hit MX baely TD not even approachinhing TS and you panties are already in a knots?

And again that is Not real bad bit not orror El Ninio for YOU out west... GOOD thing for us in the Carribian/W ATL area
--
»haywardm.com (Hayward's Key West)



ghostpainter
I Write for the Apocalypse
Premium,MVM
join:2002-05-25
Rancho Cucamonga, CA
kudos:3

Hey I just post them as i receive them and yes, looking at the next 120 dry hot days with no major weather events we do get bored. So bored we start hoping for earthquakes.



SmokChsr
Who let the magic smoke out?
Premium
join:2006-03-17
Saint Augustine, FL
Reviews:
·Clearwire Wireless

reply to ghostpainter
That one is a bit interesting. Looking at the floater pics as of this writing, it looks like the upper convection was blown off by Easterly shear, it is a bit unusual. Once the top was off, it looks like there is a fairly well defined (uncovered) low level circulation at W96.8 N22.8 (as of the 0445UTC shot). I'd expect it to be in Mexico by the time the sun comes up.


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