Hayward
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join:2000-07-13
Key West, FL
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Re: Hurricane preparedness the comment thread
Just to nudge this back up... there is a not so little disturbance in the SW Carribean... only a 30% chance of development... and from that spot most likely to go straight up into the Gulf.
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jmpenguin
Jmpenguin
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join:2004-01-16
Labelle, FL
| Hayward what do you think about your emergency managers?
Are they finally listening to people like you?
John
Florida Keys may ease hurricane-evacuation policy
With better forecasting and communications, emergency managers consider easing up on evacuating tourists for every hurricane threat.
»www.miamiherald.com/news/southfl···787.html
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Hayward
K A R - 1 2 0 C
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join:2000-07-13
Key West, FL
3 edits | said by jmpenguin  :Hayward what do you think about your emergency managers? Are they finally listening to people like you? John Florida Keys may ease hurricane-evacuation policy With better forecasting and communications, emergency managers consider easing up on evacuating tourists for every hurricane threat. » www.miamiherald.com/news/southfl···787.html No not at all... just because there is a HUGE difference between new comers who have no clue.... even for a 1 or 2 cat... and been through many. Cat thres is definately the Edge.... actually intended to leave for Wilma, but loosing wallet didn't... That is about the most I ever want to be through.... 70& of island under feet of salt water.... but not old town that is why it is where it is.
But just auto evacuating... because they say so.... NOOOOO.
IKE a prime example many it coming at us as Cat 4, were real scared, but again with modern WX teck, saw it diving south into Cub.... that would much diminish it.... and did... passed through our south here Cat 1-min 2 winds.... as I could see it would likely do...... and at teh sam time being a little FAT isnd a surge is most like to just flow around us (or Wilma maybe even worse)
But you are on shore with nothing but high land about you what do thing is going to happen just like Katrina a HUGE pile up and fluch back.
And lets go back to the 2004 Indiaqn Ocean Tsunami.... where it hit high main land major impact and devestation.... when it could actualy be warned about..... Kenya was evacuated, probably because of the BS politics Somalia was not.... muct bigger fatality.
And the another possibility was the Maldavia Islands.... much like the Keys.... middle of water, and easy to flow around... or QUICKLY was over.....and not pile up and not backwash too.
Which is what got us with Wilma the very shallow Gulf/FL Bay.... hurricane was over, but when Wilma hit Mainland (of course at high tide..... all that surge came washing bach down the bay with few outlets.
Also a good thing at least when the flood happened didn't have to deal with hurricane force winds as well.
Again many TV Doc's I have seen on it never heard of major impacts or deaths on the Maldavia's.
Now the MORONS in Galviston, with nothng in the way (but oil rigs) and with nay ways out (we have ONE 150 road often into a storm coming from the east) As most in NO in 2005 didn't is mind boggling.
ANd Katria could have been MUCH worse.... at leat it dropped back to Cat 3 min 4 form the 5 it was.... when it took its unexpected detour to KW going 1-2.... and ONLY time ever not a tourisdt evacuation... unless you were up after midnight no one knew it was coming.
And just to prove you can NEVER please a tourist.... what do you mean there is no power for under 24 hours.... at least you were't chased out... OK no AC anywhere but still pleny of Generator ice and cold drinks what's the big issue???
And with modern forecasting that is just it PAY ATTENTION.....
Keys have no had a storm fatality sing Hurricane Georges in 98 and both were people being stupid in mid storm... trying to save a boat ets.
But the again pardon my language 100's of MORONS in NO, and Galviston with many l;ast ways out did not.... obvoiusly guess they never took high shool physics.
Water does not compress and has no way to go it piles up, and up as long as wind pushes it.... no question about it, again vs a small island it might flow around or short term flood.
Our worst was Wilma on the flood count in MANY, many years, beut because of the geography came and went in uder 6 hours.
VERY Major damage even then.... but not like Katrina or or IKE.... people just not paying attention to physics and reality... and again with nay ways out not just ONE road, often into the approaching storm (US 1)
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