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ghostpainter
I Write for the Apocalypse
Premium,MVM
join:2002-05-25
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| TS NANGKA (FERIA) crossing Samar Island
Typhoon2000 (T2K) NEWS (Tue June 23 2009):
Currently issuing 6-hrly advisories on Tropical Storm NANGKA (FERIA) as it heads towards Masbate-Ticao Area...Storm Warning Signal #2 now raised over parts of Visayas & Bicol
NANGKA (FERIA) MAX WIND SPEED PER AGENCY:
+ Philippines (PAGASA/10-min avg): 75 km/hr
+ USA (JTWC/1-min avg): 65 km/hr
+ Japan (JMA/10-min avg): 65 km/hr
+ Korea (KMA/10-min avg): 65 km/hr
+ Beijing (NMC/2-min avg): 65 km/hr
+ Taiwan (CWB/10-min avg): 65 km/hr
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TROPICAL STORM NANGKA [FERIA/04W/0904]
T2K EMAIL ADVISORY NUMBER 005
As of 6:00 PM PST (10:00 GMT) Tue 23 June 2009
Source: JTWC WARNING #004 (US Navy/Air Force) / T2K XTRAPOLATION
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Tropical Storm NANGKA (FERIA) made landfall over Samar Island awhile ago and has jogged slightly NW-ward...now in the vicinity of Northern Samar.
*Residents and visitors along Visayas and Bicol Region should closely monitor the progress of NANGKA.
*Kindly refer to your local warnings & bulletins issued by your country's official weather agency. This advisory is intended for additional information purposes only.
+ Forecast Outlook: NANGKA is expected to track WNW and slowly intensify as it traverses the islands of Ticao and Masbate around 1-2 AM tomorrow. The 2-day Medium Range Forecast shows NANGKA making its 2nd landfall over Batangas-Southern Quezon Area, passing very close to Lucena City tomorrow evening and cross Batangas and Cavite before moving into Bataan on early Thursday morning w/ winds of 95 kph. It shall move across the Zambales Mountains, passing over Subic-Olongapo City Thursday morning before moving out into the coast of La Union thru Lingayen Gulf on Thursday afternoon, June 25.
+ Effects: NANGKA's circulation continues to improve and expand. Its inner bands continue to spread across Samar, Leyte and Masbate...Winds of up to 85 kph with moderate to heavy rains can be expected along the inner bands. Meanwhile, outer bands of NANGKA continues to spread across the whole of Visayas, Northern Mindanao, Bicol Region has begun spreading across the Southern Tagalog Provinces. Light to moderate to sometimes heavy rains with winds & squalls plus thunderstorms can be expected along the outer bands. 1-day rainfall accumulations of 100 up to 150 mm can be expected along the storm's rain bands...with isolated accumulations of up to 200 mm near the center. People living around the slopes of Mayon Volcano in Albay & of Bulusan Volcano in Sorsogon - especially along the areas where possible MUDFLOWS (LAHAR) FLOWS (mixture of volcanic mud and water) are located must stay alert as moderate to heavy rains associated by this system are likely to affect the area today. Residents in low-lying areas & steep slopes must remain alert & seek evacuation for possible life-threatening flash floods, mudslides & landslides due to the anticipated heavy rains brought about by this system. Precautionary measures must be initiated if necessary.
[Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast outlook, effects, current monsoon intensity, & tropical cyclone watch changes every 6 to 12 hrs!]
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Time/Date: 6:00 PM PST Tue June 23 2009
Location of Center: 12.3º N Lat 124.9º E Lon
Distance 1: 40 km (21 nm) SSE of Catarman, N.Samar
Distance 2: 125 km (67 nm) SE of Sorsogon City
Distance 3: 140 km (75 nm) East of Masbate
Distance 4: 160 km (85 nm) SE of Legazpi City
Distance 5: 165 km (90 nm) SSE of Virac, Catanduanes
Distance 6: 205 km (110 nm) SE of Gota Beach
Distance 7: 235 km (127 nm) SE of Metro Naga/CWC
MaxWinds (1-min avg): 65 kph (35 kts) near the center
Peak Wind Gusts: 85 kph (45 kts)
Saffir-Simpson Scale: Tropical Storm
Coastal Storm Surge Height: 0-3 feet [0-0.9 m]
Central Pressure: 996 millibars (hPa)
Recent Movement: WNW @ 17 kph (09 kts)
General Direction: Masbate-Ticao Area
Size (in Diameter): 555 km (300 nm) / Average
Max Sea Wave Height (near center): 9 ft (2.7 m)
T2K TrackMap (for Public): 6 PM PST Tue June 23
JTWC Ship Avoidance TrackMap: 06Z Tue June 23
Multi-Agency Forecast TrackMap: 2 PM Tue June 23
TSR Wind Probabilities: Current to 120 hrs lead
Zoomed Satellite Pic: Near Real-Time
Wunderground Animation: 6-12 hr. GIF Loop
PHILIPPINE STORM WARNING SIGNAL # TWO (2)
In Effect: BICOL REGION, TICAO ISLAND, BURIAS ISLAND, MARINDUQUE, ROMBLON, SOUTHERN QUEZON, ORIENTAL MINDORO, SAMAR, LEYTE, BILIRAN ISLAND, NORTHERN ILOILO, NORTHERN NEGROS, NORTHERN CEBU, AKLAN, & CAPIZ.
The above areas will experience stormy weather tonight & tomorrow (with winds of up to 85 kph for #02). Coastal waters will be rough to very rough and extremely dangerous to all types of seacrafts.
PHILIPPINE STORM WARNING SIGNAL # ONE (1)
In Effect: METRO MANILA, BULACAN, BATAAN, CUYO ISLAND, CALAMIAN GROUP, POLILLO ISLAND, NORTHERN QUEZON, RIZAL, LAGUNA, CAVITE, BATANGAS, LUBANG ISLAND, OCCIDENTAL MINDORO, BOHOL, REST OF CEBU, REST OF NEGROS, GUIMARAS, SOUTHERN ILOILO, ANTIQUE, SIQUIJOR, SURIGAO DEL NORTE, SIARGAO ISLAND, DINAGAT AND CAMIGUIN ISLANDS.
The above areas will have rains and winds of not more than 60 kph tonight & tomorrow. Coastal waters will be moderate to rough.
Residents living in low-lying and mountainous areas under Public Storm Warning Signal Numbers 1 & 2 are alerted against flashfloods, mudflows, mudslides and landslides.
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
12, 24, 48 & 72 HR. FORECAST:
2 AM (18 GMT) 24JUNE: 12.1N 123.8E / 75-95 KPH / WNW @ 19 KPH
2 PM (06 GMT) 24 JUNE: 13.1N 122.1E / 85-100 KPH / NW @ 19 KPH
2 PM (06 GMT) 25 JUNE: 15.9N 120.0E / 85-100 KPH / N @ 17 KPH
2 PM (06 GMT) 26 JUNE: 19.6N 119.7E / 75-95 KPH / NNE @ 28 KPH
REMARKS: 2 PM (06 GMT) 23 JUNE POSITION: 11.3N 125.8E.
^TROPICAL STORM (TS) 04W (FOUR) CONTINUED TO TRACK TO THE WEST
ALONG THE SOUTHERN PERIPHERY OF A SUBTROPICAL RIDGE DEVELOPING NORTH
OF TS 04W. OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS THE SYSTEM HAS SEEN A DECREASE IN
THE TRACK SPEED AS IT HAS APPROACHED THE PHILIPPINES, WITH A FURTHER
REDUCTION IN TRACK SPEED EXPECTED AS IT MOVES ACROSS THE SOUTHERN
PORTION OF THE PHILIPPINES. THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE (STR) HAS
CONTINUED TO BUILD TO THE WEST, CAUSING A MORE WESTWARD TRACK THAN
PREVIOUSLY FORECAST. WARNING NR 03 IS THE FIRST WARNING AS A
TROPICAL STORM. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL IMAGERY SHOWS DEEP CONVECTIVE
BANDING THAT HAS STARTED TO DEVELOP OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS
--
»www.insidetheie.com/
»earthlogii.blogspot.com/
»vietaffairsvets.blogspot.com/
Why is it that people who never pay attention to the weather are always the first to complain.
| |
| 
ghostpainter
I Write for the Apocalypse
Premium,MVM
join:2002-05-25
Rancho Cucamonga, CA
clubs:
| TS Nangka to miss metro Manilla >>
Get the latest 3-hrly SMS Storm Alerts on FERIA!
For more details: Text T2K TYPHOON to
2800 (Globe/TM) | 216 (Smart/TNT) | 2288 (Sun)
*only P2.50 (Smart/Globe) / P2.00 (Sun) per msg received.
powered by: Synermaxx
---------------------
Typhoon2000 (T2K) NEWS (Wed June 24 2009):
T2K 6PM Track Chart just loaded...the 3-hrly SMS updates & 6-hrly web advisories on TS NANGKA (FERIA) continues.
--------------------
NANGKA (FERIA) MAX WIND SPEED PER AGENCY:
+ USA (JTWC/1-min avg): 75 km/hr
+ Philippines (PAGASA/10-min avg): 75 km/hr
+ Japan (JMA/10-min avg): 75 km/hr
+ Korea (KMA/10-min avg): 75 km/hr
+ Hong Kong (HKO/10-min avg): 75 km/hr
+ Beijing (NMC/2-min avg): 75 km/hr
+ Taiwan (CWB/10-min avg): 75 km/hr
--------------------
TROPICAL STORM NANGKA [FERIA/04W/0904]
T2K EMAIL ADVISORY NUMBER 008
As of 6:00 PM PST (10:00 GMT) Thu 25 June 2009
Source: JTWC WARNING #008 (US Navy/Air Force) / T2K XTRAPOLATION
--------------------
Tropical Storm NANGKA (FERIA) has weakened slightly after crossing the rugged terrain of Northern Mindoro this afternoon, and passing very close to Puerto Galera...now off the NW coast of Mindoro. Its small core or the non-eye area known as Central-Dense overcast (CD0) continues to lash Northwestern Mindoro and Batangas...threat to Metro Manila and Cavite still persist through the night.
*Residents and visitors along Southern Tagalog Provinces, Mindoro, Metro Manila and SW Luzon should closely monitor the progress of NANGKA.
*Kindly refer to your local warnings & bulletins issued by your country's official weather agency. This advisory is intended for additional information purposes only.
+ Forecast Outlook: NANGKA is expected to turn NW and pass near the coasts of Batangas-Cavite-Bataan tonight...and shall slightly intensify. It shall be near the west coast of Zambales and Pangasinan by tomorrow. The 2 to 5-day Long-Range Forecast shows NANGKA turning more to the NNW across the South China Sea on Thursday evening, June 25 thru Friday, June 26. It shall reach its peak forecast winds of 100 kph by then. NANGKA shall start to recurve towards the NNE on Saturday June 27 and shall pass across Taiwan Strait as a weakening system on Saturday evening. It shall be over the East China Sea, near the coast of Eastern China on Sunday afternoon, June 28th.
+ Effects: NANGKA's main core remains small and is currently affecting Batangas, Lubang Is. and Northern Mindoro and might affect Cavite and Bataan later tonight. Its inner bands continue to spread across the rest of Mindoro, Laguna, and shall reach Metro Manila later tonight...Winds of up to 95 kph with moderate to heavy rains can be expected along the inner bands especially along the core or central-dense overcast (CDO) of the system. Meanwhile, outer bands of NANGKA continues to affect parts of Central Luzon, Southern Quezon, Western Bicol, parts of Northern Visayas and the Calamian Group of Islands. Light to moderate rains with winds & squalls plus thunderstorms can be expected along the outer bands. 1-day rainfall accumulations of 100 up to 150 mm can be expected along the storm's rain bands...with isolated accumulations of up to 200 mm near the center. Improving weather can be expected across the rest of Bicol Peninsula and Rest of Visayas as the storm moves farther away. Residents in low-lying areas & steep slopes must remain alert & seek evacuation for possible life-threatening flash floods, mudslides & landslides due to the anticipated heavy rains brought about by this system. Precautionary measures must be initiated if necessary.
+ Current Monsoon Intensity: Southwest (SW) Monsoon currently being enhanced by NANGKA is affecting Palawan, Cuyo Is., Sulu Sea and Western Visayas. Cloudy skies with occasional rains and thunderstorms/squalls and SW'ly winds not exceeding 40 km/hr can be expected tonight and tomorrow. Possible landslides, mudslides, mudflows (lahars) and life-threatening flash floods are likely to occur along steep mountain/volcanic slopes, river banks, low-lying & flood-prone areas of the affected areas.
[Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast outlook, effects, current monsoon intensity, & tropical cyclone watch changes every 6 to 12 hrs!]
---------------------
Time/Date: 6:00 PM PST Wed June 24 2009
Location of Center: 13.6º N Lat 120.5º E Lon
Distance 1: 45 km (25 nm) WNW of Puerto Galera
Distance 2: 65 km (35 nm) WSW of Batangas City
Distance 3: 80 km (43 nm) SSW of Tagaytay City
Distance 4: 90 km (48 nm) South of Corregidor Island
Distance 5: 115 km (63 nm) WSW of Lucena City
Distance 6: 120 km (65 nm) SSW of Metro Manila
Distance 7: 135 km (73 nm) South of Subic/Olongapo City
Distance 8: 290 km (157 nm) West of Metro Naga/CWC
MaxWinds (1-min avg): 75 kph (40 kts) near the center
Peak Wind Gusts: 95 kph (50 kts)
Saffir-Simpson Scale: Tropical Storm
Coastal Storm Surge Height: 0-3 feet [0-0.9 m]
Central Pressure: 993 millibars (hPa)
Recent Movement: WNW @ 19 kph (10 kts)
General Direction: Batangas Coast
Size (in Diameter): 665 km (360 nm) / Avg/Large
Max Sea Wave Height (near center): 12 ft (3.6 m)
T2K TrackMap (for Public): 6 PM PST Wed June 24
JTWC Ship Avoidance TrackMap: 06Z Wed June 24
Multi-Agency Forecast TrackMap: 2 PM Wed June 24
TSR Wind Probabilities: Current to 120 hrs lead
Zoomed Satellite Pic: Near Real-Time
Wunderground Animation: 6-12 hr. GIF Loop
PHILIPPINE STORM WARNING SIGNAL # TWO (2)
In Effect: METRO MANILA, MARINDQUE, SOUTHERN QUEZON, MINDORO, LUBANG IS., BATANGAS, LAGUNA, CAVITE, BATAAN, RIZAL...and is now hoisted over PAMPANGA, BULACAN, ZAMBALES, TARLAC.
The above areas will experience stormy weather tonight and tomorrow (with winds of up to 100 kph). Coastal waters will be rough to very rough and extremely dangerous to all types of seacrafts.
PHILIPPINE STORM WARNING SIGNAL # ONE (1)
In Effect: CAMARINES PROVINCES, CALAMIAN GROUP, CUYO IS., BURIAS, NORTHERN QUEZON, POLILLO IS., SOUTHERN AURORA, NUEVA ECIJA, PANGASINAN, AKLAN, NORTHERN ANTIQUE.
Now lowered: ALBAY, SORSOGON, MASBATE, OTHER PARTS OF NORTHERN VISAYAS.
The above areas will have rains and winds of not more than 60 kph tonight and tomorrow. Coastal waters will be moderate to rough.
Residents living in low-lying and mountainous areas under Public Storm Warning Signal Numbers 1 & 2 are alerted against flashfloods, mudflows, mudslides and landslides.
--------------------
12, 24, 48 & 72 HR. FORECAST:
2 AM (18 GMT) 25 JUNE: 14.3N 120.1E / 85-100 KPH / NNW @ 20 KPH
2 PM (06 GMT) 25 JUNE: 16.2N 119.0E / 95-120 KPH / NNW @ 20 KPH
2 PM (06 GMT) 26 JUNE: 20.0N 117.7E / 100-130 KPH / NNE @ 15 KPH
2 PM (06 GMT) 27 JUNE: 22.9N 118.8E / 95-120 KPH / NNE @ 22 KPH
REMARKS: 2 PM (06 GMT) 24 JUNE POSITION: 13.0N 121.5E.
^TROPICAL STORM (TS) 04W (NANGKA) HAS CONTINUED TO TRACK
WEST-NORTHWESTWARD OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS ALONG THE SOUTHWESTERN
PERIPHERY OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE AND HAS MAINTAINED AN
INTENSITY OF 45 KNOTS. INTENSITY IS MAINLY BASED ON CONTINUITY AND
IS SUPPORTED BY A SAB DVORAK ESTIMATE OF 45 KNOTS. INTENSITY HAS
ALSO BEEN MAINTAINED BY STEADILY IMPROVING EQUATORWARD OUTFLOW
AS WELL AS A DEVELOPING POLEWARD OUTFLOW CHANNEL INTO A TROPICAL
UPPER TROPOSPHERIC TROUGH. A 232301Z 91GHZ SSMIS IMAGE SUPPORTS THE
240000Z POSITION AND CURRENT BEST TRACK. THE IMAGE ALSO SHOWS VERY
DEEP, CENTRAL CONVECTION WITH CONVECTIVE BANDING FROM THE
SOUTHWEST
--
»www.insidetheie.com/
»earthlogii.blogspot.com/
»vietaffairsvets.blogspot.com/
Why is it that people who never pay attention to the weather are always the first to complain.
| |
|
ghostpainter
I Write for the Apocalypse
Premium,MVM
join:2002-05-25
Rancho Cucamonga, CA
clubs:
| NANGKA (FERIA) Final Update for Friday, 26 June 2009 [9:38 AM PST]
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
>>
Get the latest SMS Storm & Weather Alerts!
For more details: Text T2K HELP to
2800 (Globe/TM) | 216 (Smart/TNT) | 2288 (Sun)
*only P2.50 (Smart/Globe) / P2.00 (Sun) per msg received.
powered by: Synermaxx
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Typhoon2000 (T2K) NEWS (Fri June 26 2009):
The Final T2K Track Map on NANGKA now available...Just added T2K ADVISORY ARCHIVES link, located just below the T2K PUBLIC ADVISORY header.
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
NANGKA (FERIA) MAX WIND SPEED PER AGENCY:
+ USA (JTWC/1-min avg): 75 km/hr
+ Beijing (NMC/2-min avg): 75 km/hr
+ Korea (KMA/10-min avg): 70 km/hr
+ Japan (JMA/10-min avg): 65 km/hr
+ Hong Kong (HKO/10-min avg): 65 km/hr
+ Taiwan (CWB/10-min avg): 65 km/hr
+ Philippines (PAGASA/10-min avg): 65 km/hr
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
TROPICAL STORM NANGKA [FERIA/04W/0904]
T2K EMAIL ADVISORY NUMBER 013 **FINAL**
As of 6:00 AM PST (22:00 GMT) Fri 26 June 2009
Source: JTWC WARNING #014 / T2K ANALYSIS
View: Advisory Archives (2004-2009)
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Tropical Storm NANGKA (FERIA) has moved out of the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR) while heading NW in the direction of Southern China.
*This is the Final Email Advisory on TS NANGKA.
*Kindly refer to your local warnings & bulletins issued by your country's official weather agency. This advisory is intended for additional information purposes only.
+ Forecast Outlook: NANGKA is expected to turn to the north and shall make landfall off Southern China near the Guangdong-Fujian border early tomorrow morning. After landfall, NANGKA shall recurve to the NE and dissipate along the rugged terrain of Fujian Province on Sunday, June 28.
+ Effects: NANGKA's circulation has slightly improved over the South China Sea but is partially exposed with most of its rain-cloud convection south of the center. The moderate to slightly high vertical wind shear (upper level winds) over the South China remains one of the inhibiting factors on NANGKA's development.
+ Current SW Monsoon Intensity: WEAK >> Partly Cloudy skies w/ light occasional rains & some passing thunderstorms w/ squall plus light to moderate SW winds not exceeding 40 kph can be expected over the following affected areas: MINDORO & WESTERN LUZON.
--
»www.insidetheie.com/
»earthlogii.blogspot.com/
»vietaffairsvets.blogspot.com/
Why is it that people who never pay attention to the weather are always the first to complain.
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