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openbox9

join:2004-01-26
Alexandria, VA
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Re: Anti CC fans ?

said by Gbcue:

You don't see "caps" on the highway systems.... Speed limits, that's good. A cap on how far you can drive in a month? Bad.
Be careful. Highways are metered in the sense that you purchase gas, which is taxed to sustain the roads. Do you want metered usage instead of caps?

Gbcue
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Re: Anti CC fans ?

said by openbox9:

said by Gbcue:

You don't see "caps" on the highway systems.... Speed limits, that's good. A cap on how far you can drive in a month? Bad.
Be careful. Highways are metered in the sense that you purchase gas, which is taxed to sustain the roads. Do you want metered usage instead of caps?
Since when was broadband free? I considered paying my monthly rate part of the tax to sustain the network, but we all know most of that money goes straight into the investors' pockets and none actually go towards infrastructure upgrades.
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openbox9

join:2004-01-26
Alexandria, VA
kudos:2

Re: Anti CC fans ?

said by Gbcue:

Since when was broadband free? I considered paying my monthly rate part of the tax to sustain the network
The monthly fee you pay for Internet service is equivalent to the annual road-use tax that you pay. It gets you on the road, but doesn't get you anywhere. Taxing gasoline to generate revenue for road repair and expansion is a more effective means to sustain the roadway system based on actual usage.
said by Gbcue:

but we all know most of that money goes straight into the investors' pockets and none actually go towards infrastructure upgrades.
Actually, that's not true. Look at various ISPs' financial statements.

Gbcue
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Re: Anti CC fans ?

said by openbox9:

Actually, that's not true. Look at various ISPs' financial statements.
You mean the $$$$$ profits?
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openbox9

join:2004-01-26
Alexandria, VA
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Re: Anti CC fans ?

No, I mean your claim that, "none actually go towards infrastructure upgrades."

Gbcue
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Re: Anti CC fans ?

said by openbox9:

No, I mean your claim that, "none actually go towards infrastructure upgrades."
Well if they actually upgrade their infrastructure, what's with all the talk about caps, metering, sandvine, DPI, etc.?
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openbox9

join:2004-01-26
Alexandria, VA
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1 edit

Re: Anti CC fans ?

I'm sure your question was rhetorical, but I'll answer it anyway.

There's two main philosophies that I believe most relevant. One, growth is outpacing infrastructure upgrades and the capacity to perform the upgrades. The other, most of the main ISPs are also in the business of reselling content, so the caps serve to keep in check other potential competing content distribution means. I believe the truth is somewhere in the middle.

Gbcue
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Re: Anti CC fans ?

The real question is, why is growth outpacing infrastructure upgrades?

Not enough $
or
Not enough manpower
or
Lazy upper management wanting to milk what they have
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openbox9

join:2004-01-26
Alexandria, VA
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Re: Anti CC fans ?

said by Gbcue:

The real question is, why is growth outpacing infrastructure upgrades?

Not enough $
or
Not enough manpower
or
Lazy upper management wanting to milk what they have
I don't what you mean by not enough manpower, and I most definitely wouldn't call upper management lazy, but I'd assume growth is outpacing upgrades due to not enough money and management's attempt to ring every last bit of performance out of a tool before replacing it.

Gbcue
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Re: Anti CC fans ?

By not enough manpower, I mean not able to hire physical bodies to do the work/current workforce is overworked (work/upgrades is backlogged).
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openbox9

join:2004-01-26
Alexandria, VA
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Re: Anti CC fans ?

I'd say maybe to a certain degree. But given the current environment, I'd suggest that's due to the cost of hiring the workforce....and that goes for a majority of companies these days.
sonicmerlin

join:2009-05-24
Cleveland, OH
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1 edit
said by openbox9:

I'm sure your question was rhetorical, but I'll answer it anyway.

There's two main philosophies that I believe most relevant. One, growth is outpacing infrastructure upgrades and the capacity to perform the upgrades. The other, most of the main ISPs are also in the business of reselling content, so the caps serve to keep in check other potential competing content distribution means. I believe the truth is somewhere in the middle.
Uh, no it's not. That is a complete and utter lie. There is ample evidence out there to suggest growth has flat-lined or dropped at 30-35%/year.

Backbone operators repeatedly express the view that they have had absolutely no trouble maintaining growth of the backbone. The only "scarcity" is at the last mile, and that's more a result of ISPs' lack of investment.

For some real evidence, look here:
»arstechnica.com/old/content/2008···ning.ars

The main point that Odlyzko wants to hammer home from his body of research is that Internet traffic growth is slowing (overall traffic itself is increasing, of course). On the MINTS site, he points out that this can be counterintuitive, even for those in the industry.

That's substantial growth, yes, but it's hardly a flood. Odlyzko tells me that traffic growth is more akin to a gale than a hurricane, and he says that "with a gale, you shorten your sails and you can still steer to some extent." The whole problem with a loaded term like "exaflood" is that "it implies that we're getting overwhelmed, which I don't see happening."

I can't believe you're using the exaflood theory open. It's been debunked over, and over, and over again.
openbox9

join:2004-01-26
Alexandria, VA
kudos:2

Re: Anti CC fans ?

Do you actually read posts before responding? I did not, nor have I ever, suggested that the "exaflood" theory is real. You call me a liar, but yet you agree with me that bandwidth consumption is still growing. It may not be rampant, but the growth is still there. Furthermore, you highlight the shortcoming in the last mile and suggest that's an issue with the lack of ISPs sufficiently reinvesting in their infrastructure. If you read my post that you responded to, you'd see that I stated that ISPs aren't keeping up with infrastructure upgrades. So, before you pop off again, please read. This is a recurring theme with your responses.
sonicmerlin

join:2009-05-24
Cleveland, OH
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Re: Anti CC fans ?

said by openbox9:

Do you actually read posts before responding? I did not, nor have I ever, suggested that the "exaflood" theory is real. You call me a liar, but yet you agree with me that bandwidth consumption is still growing. It may not be rampant, but the growth is still there. Furthermore, you highlight the shortcoming in the last mile and suggest that's an issue with the lack of ISPs sufficiently reinvesting in their infrastructure. If you read my post that you responded to, you'd see that I stated that ISPs aren't keeping up with infrastructure upgrades. So, before you pop off again, please read. This is a recurring theme with your responses.
No you're right. I misread your comment. My mistake.

funchords
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said by Gbcue:

said by openbox9:

Actually, that's not true. Look at various ISPs' financial statements.
You mean the $$$$$ profits?
C'mon, you're being rather silly here and openbox9 See Profile is being very patient.

Fact is, that Comcast has an operational profit somewhere just under 20% of revenue and that figure drops to somewhere under 8% after paying long-term debts. That's not "all" or even "half" of the money you pay.

You should also know that Comcast is one of a handful of successful cable companies -- the others operate at a loss or barely break even.

We could play a long blame game in this paragraph, but no matter how I paint it, we end up here at today.

Cable Internet, particularly as part of a double-play or triple-play package, is an extremely lucrative venture. It would be ridiculously profitable if they could just run today's system and bill for it. But they can't quit paying off old debts, can't quit repairing, can't quit answering customer service or technical support calls, and they can't quit upgrading/splitting. It's still very profitable, but it's no cakewalk.
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sonicmerlin

join:2009-05-24
Cleveland, OH
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Re: Anti CC fans ?

said by funchords:

said by Gbcue:

said by openbox9:

Actually, that's not true. Look at various ISPs' financial statements.
You mean the $$$$$ profits?
C'mon, you're being rather silly here and openbox9 See Profile is being very patient.

Fact is, that Comcast has an operational profit somewhere just under 20% of revenue and that figure drops to somewhere under 8% after paying long-term debts. That's not "all" or even "half" of the money you pay.

You should also know that Comcast is one of a handful of successful cable companies -- the others operate at a loss or barely break even.

We could play a long blame game in this paragraph, but no matter how I paint it, we end up here at today.

Cable Internet, particularly as part of a double-play or triple-play package, is an extremely lucrative venture. It would be ridiculously profitable if they could just run today's system and bill for it. But they can't quit paying off old debts, can't quit repairing, can't quit answering customer service or technical support calls, and they can't quit upgrading/splitting. It's still very profitable, but it's no cakewalk.
Keep in mind they're spending a significant one-time upgrade fee to move their entire user base to DOCSIS 3.0. Once that is finished with their profits will increase significantly.

A 5-10% profit margin is considered healthy. The fact that they can achieve this with poor customer service and one of the lowest customer satisfaction ratings of any industry, all while conducting the DOCSIS upgrades speaks to how much they overcharge their customers and benefit from their near monopoly status.

Furthermore, any rational economist will tell you a company with little to no competition for years and years will become increasingly bloated and inefficient. I can't imagine how much is wasted on overhead, excessive executive compensation, and how much is saved by *not* spending enough on customer service.
openbox9

join:2004-01-26
Alexandria, VA
kudos:2

Re: Anti CC fans ?

said by sonicmerlin:

Keep in mind they're spending a significant one-time upgrade fee to move their entire user base to DOCSIS 3.0. Once that is finished with their profits will increase significantly.
That's absolutely no different than every other service provider. But what you're not thinking about is the design and engineering for the follow-on upgrades that will be necessary in another couple of years. Just because an upgrade is complete, doesn't mean a provider can sit back and relax.
sonicmerlin

join:2009-05-24
Cleveland, OH
kudos:1

Re: Anti CC fans ?

Um, no? R&D is usually done by other companies that hope to sell the DOCSIS technology to the cable co's. The big investment is up-front, converting everything to be compatible with DOCSIS 3.

RR User

@rr.com

Re: Anti CC fans ?

said by sonicmerlin:

Um, no? R&D is usually done by other companies that hope to sell the DOCSIS technology to the cable co's. The big investment is up-front, converting everything to be compatible with DOCSIS 3.
R&D is BEFORE product deployment, the design and engineering Openbox is talking about is the ongoing upgrades needed to keep up with subscriber and usage growth AFTER the "big investment" done for initial product deployment . You know that 50% GROWTH rate per year (i.e. 1 more CMTS and related support equipment for every 2 needed to serve the same customers the year before or a doubling of bandwidth the last mile every 2 years...) written about in your linked article.

You know... the upgrades you alluded to here:
»Re: Anti CC fans ?
said by sonicmerlin :

Caps are meaningless when it comes to preventing usage, and that's why Comcast's cap has been a "soft" one. They know it does nothing for them, and they're still forced to split their nodes according to peak usage statistics.

What they want is to throttle people's speeds, and according to the article this is exactly what they're accomplishing.

But the problem with throttling is that it simply allows you to *put off* 1 cycle of upgrades. Unfortunately from then on you're stuck with throttling and you *still* have to upgrade with the same frequency as before.
sonicmerlin

join:2009-05-24
Cleveland, OH
kudos:1

Re: Anti CC fans ?

The growth rate is consistent from year to year, and thus the money they spend on network management and upgrades is also constant (or in the case of Time Warner and AT&T actually decreasing). This is reflected in their financial statement both *previous* to and after their DOCSIS 3 upgrades.

My point about their financial situation was that they are maintaining healthy profits even with the one-time up-front cost of DOCSIS 3 upgrades. So a more accurate view of their financial situation requires looking at their bottom line before and after the upgrades. Obviously they have to spend money on new capex and upgrades, but they did that even before DOCSIS 3.

NSA_CIA

@charter.com

Re: Anti CC fans ?

said by sonicmerlin:

Obviously they have to spend money on new capex and upgrades, but they did that even before DOCSIS 3.
...and they have BILLIONs in debt to show for it.

BTW, "healthy" profits are not a bad thing. For Comcast, it's less than $6 per customer per month out of the $115 they collect from the average customer. It keeps them financially stable, able to afford upgrades, able to pay off existing loans, and helps keep future loan interest rates lower.
openbox9

join:2004-01-26
Alexandria, VA
kudos:2
Sigh.... Engineering and network design are not R&D. Please read before responding.
sonicmerlin

join:2009-05-24
Cleveland, OH
kudos:1
Your analogy is so nonsensical I don't even feel like debunking it. Why do you side with large businesses over and over again in the face of ample evidence concerning their lies and deceit?

Why do you constantly espouse your own inappropriate analogies to defend ISPs' misrepresentation of reality?

I just don't understand.
openbox9

join:2004-01-26
Alexandria, VA
kudos:2

Re: Anti CC fans ?

And I don't understand why you continually roll out the "I'd show you the evidence, but you won't read it, so I won't bother to prove my point" cop out. As soon as you want to present a valid and relative argument, then we can discuss.

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