| reply to bicker
Re: Isn't customer averaging the cell model? said by bicker:I think the issue is the fact that different services we're talking about have vastly different load models. We're not comparing 10 hours of voice to 100 hours of voice. We're comparing 10 hours of voice to 100 hours of video. That's many orders of magnitude of a difference, rather than just one or two orders of magnitude. Load models are the same, only different in determining the busy hour on the network topologies (which do differ).
Magnitudes matter not...a 1.54mbps DS1 to the internet once ran, and still does in some places, a few hundred, vs well, any 20 dollar internet connection (expensive for a 1.5 connect). We are dealing in packets vs circuits on the off-net side of any infrastructure provider's business.
10 hours of voice on dedicated connections are dirt cheap on packet/shared connections, then again, none of us are really interested in going back to party lines to save a buck, are we?
The network capacity in the provider world is built around peak, not around their highest priced customer's needs. If everyone is viewing 10 hours per internet connection or cell connection, how does it really differ from when everyone began using 240 long distance minutes per month on average?
You seem to be caught up on time...I guess I don't get it. I can easily "view", i.e. view while caching, 10 hours of video in significantly less time depending upon the encoding techniques.
Back to the original question/response....everything delivered to the mass market is typically "averaged". More expensive to try to maintain individual contracts with everyone than to just average it out. We, as people, do fit the averaging model rather nicely, generally.
The cellular ppl are all ex telco ppl, they've got the averaging covered quite well in their pricing models today, but the marketing ppl are still trying to figure out how to keep up the charade that is the current pricing...network engineering is still just network engineering, they are still designing around the busy hour. Any reason we should believe differently? |
