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baineschile
2600 ways to live
Premium
join:2008-05-10
Sterling Heights, MI

reply to PhoenixDown

Re: Flate rate is also easier to forcast

I think per-byte billing is inevitable; but most companies will offer an unlimited option


insomniac84

join:2002-01-03
Schererville, IN

No way. The issue with it will be cost. Companies will only move to it if it ensures them more money.

If you are paying 40 bucks a month right now for unlimited and they cap that at 10gb and charge 1 dollar for each additional GB, your bill is going to go up. No one would save anything.

The fact that there are stock based companies makes it illegal for them to change their billing in any way that involves the customers paying less money.

I would hope customers will continue to oppose metered billing for these obvious reasons.



baineschile
2600 ways to live
Premium
join:2008-05-10
Sterling Heights, MI
Reviews:
·Comcast
·magicjack.com

said by insomniac84:

If you are paying 40 bucks a month right now for unlimited and they cap that at 10gb and charge 1 dollar for each additional GB, your bill is going to go up. No one would save anything.
Assuming that you use more than 10gb, yes


AlfredNewman

@bankone.com

reply to baineschile

Re: Flate rate is also easier to forecast

I can understand where you're coming from baineschile but
as the title states, its neither necessary nor inevitable. If anything history, other countries, and consumers has taught us is that flat-rate is the way of broadband. It always comes back full-circle to it. It's simpler and cheaper and that is what the average American is looking for. Not to mention all of the internet-able devices out there that thrive on the ability to use that broadband connection for streaming movies, medical information, downloading/playing video games, ,VoIP, video conferencing, VPN for work at home users, etc... I believe not only do you stifle innovation but you also say you're willing to financially rape consumers for something that an ISP pays pennies on a dollar for during a recession but if you're killing to do teired services you better be prepared to either deduct the amount owed for what I didn't use or let me carry over what amount I did not use to the next month with no cut-off dates.


CylonRed
Premium,MVM
join:2000-07-06
Bloom County

reply to insomniac84

Re: Flate rate is also easier to forcast

If they price it right - unlimited can be a top tier for those folks wanting it and they can do metered below. If they can price it that they make more money while customers are willing to pay for it (kinda like cell service now) then yes - it will happen and the companies will make more money.
--
Brian

"It drops into your stomach like a Abrams's tank.... driven by Rosanne Barr..." A. Bourdain


r81984
Fair and Balanced
Premium
join:2001-11-14
Katy, TX
Reviews:
·AT&T U-Verse
·AT&T DSL Service
·row44

1 edit

The problem is the cell phone companies build the network, they do not pay per byte so it makes no sense to charge customers per byte.

Paying per byte does not allow more users since everyone can still flood the network at the same time.
The only benefit for paying per byte is the company makes more money.
There is no benefit to customers who now have to pay more for usage.

Also, do not forget that per byte billing is crazy since you have no control over the size of the websites you go to and then you can't use any streaming services like radio (xm), tv (hulu), or streaming movies (netflix).

If it is up to customers they will never charge per byte.
--
Democrats are not Socialists any more than Republicans are.



CylonRed
Premium,MVM
join:2000-07-06
Bloom County

quote:
The only benefit for paying per byte is the company makes more money.
There is no benefit to customers who now have to pay more for usage.
Of course the only benefit to per byte is more money for the company - kinda the reason it is in business.

If they price unlimited high enough to make a good amount more while people perceive the value is worth it - then it will be done.

So far - I have yet to see a company have all, or even a majority, of its customers leave when per byte billing has been implemented. As such - it won't be going away soon. Prices are very rarely solely up to the customer.
--
Brian

"It drops into your stomach like a Abrams's tank.... driven by Rosanne Barr..." A. Bourdain


nixen
Rockin' the Boxen
Premium
join:2002-10-04
Alexandria, VA

reply to baineschile

said by baineschile:

I think per-byte billing is inevitable; but most companies will offer an unlimited option
Yes, but as we've seen, over and over, "unlimited" is rarely unlimited in the sense that most people understand the term to mean.
--
The trouble with the world is that the stupid are cocksure and the intelligent are full of doubt. -- Bertrand Russell


r81984
Fair and Balanced
Premium
join:2001-11-14
Katy, TX

reply to CylonRed
Customers can't leave because most ISPs are monopolies and they work together with competitors to be able to charge more.
--
Democrats are not Socialists any more than Republicans are.



nixen
Rockin' the Boxen
Premium
join:2002-10-04
Alexandria, VA

reply to CylonRed

said by CylonRed:

So far - I have yet to see a company have all, or even a majority, of its customers leave when per byte billing has been implemented. As such - it won't be going away soon. Prices are very rarely solely up to the customer.
How long you been using the internet?

Back in the mid 90s, most ISPs were charging for connect time (not bytes). Any time one or more ISPs in the area offered an unlimited connect time, people BAILED on the connect time chargers.

Then again, people used to have quite a few choices of providers in many markets. Now? There's mostly, at best, duopolies. People *can't* bail. And, even if they can, it makes no sense to do so because the two "competitors" have pretty much the same rate structures in place.

So, yeah, with the markets the way they are, now, you won't see much migration when a company does something egregious. Doesn't mean customers wouldn't leave if they had other, real options.
--
The trouble with the world is that the stupid are cocksure and the intelligent are full of doubt. -- Bertrand Russell


espaeth
Digital Plumber
Premium,MVM
join:2001-04-21
Minneapolis, MN
kudos:2
Reviews:
·Clear Wireless

reply to r81984

said by r81984:

The problem is the cell phone companies build the network, they do not pay per byte so it makes no sense to charge customers per byte.
This is one of the reasons that broadband and wireless data is lagging behind backbone infrastructure. At the carrier level you pay by commit level and 95th percentile utilization, or you pay full circuit unmetered rates. Usage-based pricing at the carrier level created a system by which escalating usage created increasing levels of cash flow which provided the necessary funding to rapidly build to meet demand.

Flat, fixed-rate pricing provides you with consistent income, but your upgrade cycles are fixed -- you don't have a rapid inflow of cash should demand outpace predicted growth, and the opportunity to fall short is ever present.

said by r81984:

Also, do not forget that per byte billing is crazy since you have no control over the size of the websites you go to and then you can't use any streaming services like radio (xm), tv (hulu), or streaming movies (netflix).
That's a scare tactic that's frequently thrown out, but it's not true at all. People are using these services today and ISPs are paying their upstream network providers based on usage. The cost of electricity didn't stop people from buying more electrical appliances; if a technology has merit it will still be used.


espaeth
Digital Plumber
Premium,MVM
join:2001-04-21
Minneapolis, MN
kudos:2
Reviews:
·Clear Wireless

reply to nixen

said by nixen:

Back in the mid 90s, most ISPs were charging for connect time (not bytes). Any time one or more ISPs in the area offered an unlimited connect time, people BAILED on the connect time chargers.
That's because there was more money to be made selling "unlimited" services at $19.95 to the average person rather than billing the average subscriber $9/mo in usage charges. Sure, there are people that spent well above that, but the average subscriber paid much more under flat rate billing than they would otherwise.

Peace of mind is a lucrative business. Just look at all the money companies make selling "extended warranties." For every 1 person that comes out well ahead there are at least 100 people that lose money in the interest of "financial safety."


r81984
Fair and Balanced
Premium
join:2001-11-14
Katy, TX
Reviews:
·AT&T U-Verse
·AT&T DSL Service
·row44

reply to espaeth

said by espaeth:

said by r81984:

The problem is the cell phone companies build the network, they do not pay per byte so it makes no sense to charge customers per byte.
This is one of the reasons that broadband and wireless data is lagging behind backbone infrastructure. At the carrier level you pay by commit level and 95th percentile utilization, or you pay full circuit unmetered rates. Usage-based pricing at the carrier level created a system by which escalating usage created increasing levels of cash flow which provided the necessary funding to rapidly build to meet demand.

Flat, fixed-rate pricing provides you with consistent income, but your upgrade cycles are fixed -- you don't have a rapid inflow of cash should demand outpace predicted growth, and the opportunity to fall short is ever present.

said by r81984:

Also, do not forget that per byte billing is crazy since you have no control over the size of the websites you go to and then you can't use any streaming services like radio (xm), tv (hulu), or streaming movies (netflix).
That's a scare tactic that's frequently thrown out, but it's not true at all. People are using these services today and ISPs are paying their upstream network providers based on usage. The cost of electricity didn't stop people from buying more electrical appliances; if a technology has merit it will still be used.
That makes no sense. You are getting usage and customers mixed up.
With a flat rate when they get an influx of new customers and they will make more money right away from the flat rate fees.
Also, electricity rates are regulated, the cost of a byte is not. Consumable electricity generation cost is also variable based on how much electricity is generated. The cost of building a network is fixed and electricity usage is basically fixed (since its price is regulated). Regardless if you are only using half the bandwidth of a strand of fiber or all of it, the cost does not change.

Everything with an ISP is a fixed cost. They pay for the internet connection, they pay for equipment, they pay for tech support, etc. It makes no sense to have a variable pricing when all the costs you have is fixed based on the number of customers you have.
They have to pay the full network costs regardless if customers use their full connections or not.

All these companies will do with pay per byte is set a high per byte price that at least give them the same amount of money they get with the fixed pricing so they can still pay all their fixed costs. Then what happens is the customers that actually use their internet connections get gouged with higher fees while very few people who barely use their internet connections actually save some money.
If they actually had a fair realistic pay per byte fee where they divided up the fixed costs by how much bandwidth they have available then we would all be paying less and they would lose money.

Why would you want customers to pay higher fees?
--
Democrats are not Socialists any more than Republicans are.

Lazlow

join:2006-08-07
Saint Louis, MO

reply to espaeth
espaeth

You know very well that ISPs do NOT pay by the gigabyte. Both their transit costs and hardware cost are solely based upon peak Mbps. So ANY GBs downloaded during off peak hours incur no additional costs (as in zero) for the ISP.



espaeth
Digital Plumber
Premium,MVM
join:2001-04-21
Minneapolis, MN
kudos:2
Reviews:
·Clear Wireless

said by Lazlow:

You know very well that ISPs do NOT pay by the gigabyte.
Please point out where I said they did.

said by Lazlow:

Both their transit costs and hardware cost are solely based upon peak Mbps.
Which is exactly what I stated.


espaeth
Digital Plumber
Premium,MVM
join:2001-04-21
Minneapolis, MN
kudos:2
Reviews:
·Clear Wireless

reply to r81984

said by r81984:

With a flat rate when they get an influx of new customers and they will make more money right away from the flat rate fees.
That only works until you saturate a market to the point that new subscriber sign-up rates drop off. Of course, the barrier for entry is huge for new providers; the cost of broadband is artificially low because existing cable plant is being leveraged in the majority of installations. Telcos and MSOs were able to leverage a vast copper cable plant already in the ground paid for by the high profit margins of other services deployed on those lines for decades. Nobody can complete to just come in and offer a data-only service offering, which is why you are seeing even in the case of muni deployments that they need to supply the triple play of phone, TV, and Internet to make the cost structure work.

said by r81984:

Also, electricity rates are regulated, the cost of a byte is not. Consumable electricity generation cost is also variable based on how much electricity is generated.
Electric utility rates are not regulated in every state, and the cost is not per byte -- it's in the percentage of infrastructure consumed by utilization. That's why it's a sliding scale at various points along the network and there isn't a fixed "per byte" cost universally.

said by r81984:

The cost of building a network is fixed and electricity usage is basically fixed (since its price is regulated). Regardless if you are only using half the bandwidth of a strand of fiber or all of it, the cost does not change.
Once you reach the capacity of your infrastructure it's forklift upgrades to provide expansion. Capacity upgrades are not linear, it's a step function. You want to improve DOCSIS cable rates, you have to replace your CMTS with one that supports DOCSIS 3.0. You want to upgrade to ADSL2+, you need to replace all of your field DSLAMs to units that support the new protocol.

said by r81984:

Everything with an ISP is a fixed cost. They pay for the internet connection, they pay for equipment, they pay for tech support, etc. It makes no sense to have a variable pricing when all the costs you have is fixed based on the number of customers you have.
They have to pay the full network costs regardless if customers use their full connections or not.
You're leaving out one massive variable: oversubscription. The sum total of all of the subscriber access connections is greater than the capacity of the ISP's network. As usage at the edge increases, elements of the network must be upgraded to support the greater capacity demand. If the network were provisioned at 1:1 even throughput you would never be able to afford your broadband connection. (look at the pricing for T1, DS3 services as a start to index on pricing)

said by r81984:

Why would you want customers to pay higher fees?
I want a model that supports growth. If I want to consume 1500GB/mo at home, I want a system in place that would both allow me to do that and provide a financial incentive for companies to grow their network to be able to sell me more bandwidth. That model has delivered massive gains to the web hosting market space over the last few years, there is no reason that it couldn't deliver the same possibilities for end-user access.


r81984
Fair and Balanced
Premium
join:2001-11-14
Katy, TX
Reviews:
·AT&T U-Verse
·AT&T DSL Service
·row44

Flat rate supports growth. They just have to set a price that is profitable for them and can fund their upgrades.
If you saturate the market and your price is set correctly then you are making so much money you don't have to worry about ripping your customers off with per byte billing.
If they oversubscribe they get more money from the extra customers to pay for upgrades.
Problem solved.

If you actually do a fair implementation of per byte billing (all the fixed costs divided by the available bandwidth) then they will not be charging enough to afford to upgrade anything unless their available bandwidth is always maxed out.

Flat rate is fair and gives them the money to hire employees, upgrade equipment, and to provide bandwidth. Fair per byte billing will put them out of business.
If there are people that do not want to use all of their bandwidth then, oh well. The fee is for a 24/7 connection, just because you do not use it 24/7 does not mean all the fixed costs to provide that connection just disappear.

A flat rate is the fairest way to pay for the network and to keep it funded for upgrades.
--
Democrats are not Socialists any more than Republicans are.



JKM

join:2009-06-08
Seymour, MO

reply to r81984
How do you figure an ISP's bandwidth is a fixed cost? And there bandwidth transportation? And their electric costs which rise with usage? And their maintenance which rises with usage? And on and on. Rent, Leases and such are fixed costs. Not most other costs. Truck rolls increase with usage and do support costs. What is your business experience?
--
Begin with the end in mind!



jmn1207
Premium
join:2000-07-19
Ashburn, VA

reply to r81984
Don't get me wrong, I love the current flat rate structure, but the ISP does not have nearly as much control under this type of system.

By offering flat rates, as the technology moves forward and the speed and latency improves, it opens the door for innovative new products to establish themselves in the market, and with these new products comes consumer demand. The ISP's want to have as much control over when and where they spend resources on improvements. A per-byte billing structure offers far greater control over this aspect, as a properly implemented billing strategy would force customers to ration their bandwidth usage, while creating the ability for the ISP's to manage their revenues more precisely.

It's the dumb pipe panic. Per-byte billing is the most logical method for keeping things under control until the ISP's comes up with their own solutions that they can provide to customers in a way that just barely skirts the anti-competitive laws, gives them nearly exclusive control, and nets the largest profit.



fAcEtIOUs
Premium
join:2002-03-03
kudos:4

reply to insomniac84

said by insomniac84:

The fact that there are stock based companies makes it illegal for them to change their billing in any way that involves the customers paying less money.
That statement is SO WRONG. Directors have a fiduciary duty(that is a civil term and not criminal, so no illegality is involved) to maximize investors return on their investments.

And maximizing profit has NOTHING to do with customers paying more or less money. All customers can pay less, but if there are many more customers as a result, then profits can still be maximized, thereby satisfying fiduciary duty requirements.
--
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