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 AlakarFacts do not cease to exist when ignored join:2001-03-23 Milwaukee, WI | As usual Karl cherry picks the facts.... Editorials aren't journalism Karl. If you want to be a journalist, you need to present all the facts; not just the ones that support your point of view.
First off, the article that you quote doesn't say "Many in Wisconsin aren't happy about it". Right after the section you quoted is this opposing view:
But critics say Hebl's wide-ranging bill would harm the cable industry and prove a setback to the video competition law just as it is starting to work.
"It's so mindboggling to me that just when we're starting to see some of the fruit blossom on this tree, there are some people who want to chop the thing down," said Sen. Jeff Plale, D-South Milwaukee, a co-author of the 2007 law.
In addition, the study you and the story from the The Wisconsin State Journal quote are using numbers that include a full year of price changes prior to the Wisconsin law going into effect. Since Wisconsin wasn't a subject of the study, and only used for comparative purposes we don't have numbers to show what price changes are like only since the law went into effect. The 28% quote that you use also doesn't take into account inflation, which the study does. Adjusted for inflation the increase is 19.3% overall and 17.54% on a per channel basis.
The subject of the study was 3 states: California, Texas and Michigan. It shows prices rose dramatically in California, moderately in Michigan and dropped in Texas. The study also shows price changes for all states that have passed this type of reform (including Wisconsin) to compare to Minnesota (which hasn't passed a statewide franchise law). Minnesota ranks 5th in price increases, well ahead of Wisconsin at 13th. There are also 12 states listed that show prices drops after passing statewide franchise laws.
Here is the conclusion from the report:
»www.hhh.umn.edu/centers/stpp/pdf···port.pdf
Table 3 reports the results of this procedure. It is clear from these calculations that SVF does not necessarily lead to increased competition, which in turn is expected to lead to lower prices. This is the conclusion that the newly published FCC report reaches as well. California and Michigan both experienced nominal and real price increases in video services even while statewide franchising was available. Real prices (corrected for core inflation) grew by 69 percent and approximately 22 percent for California and Michigan, respectively, over a twoyear period. Commodity bundling by telecommunications companies and expensive infrastructure build-outs by telecommunications companies (particularly Verizon) can lead to higher prices even when there is increased rivalry. In this environment, the incumbent (cable) providers do not have an incentive to lower their prices, since their rivals are raising theirs. Escalating prices can be the result of this type of oligopolistic competition. In the case of Texas, real prices fell by 7.4 percent over the three-year period that state-issued franchises had been attainable. There are several cable companies vying for market share in Texas. The FCC report shows that overbuild by cable companies was the main correlative factor in the reduction of video service prices. In addition, it is possible that the longer time horizon for competition to take hold in Texas allows prices to eventually fall as competition heats up. Nevertheless, there is no one outcome in the data; the presence of SVF is not necessarily correlated with lower video service prices.
Real prices do not correct for all of the systemic changes in the market for video. It is possible that higher prices reflect higher quality services. That is, video service customers might be paying higher prices and getting access to more programmingmore channels. The price data were, therefore, corrected for changes in the number of channels provided. The second page of Table 3 shows nominal and real changes of video service prices, based on a rate-per-channel calculation. Interestingly, all three states see prices increase, with Texas now presenting the most dramatic increase in prices. That would be the case if there was little movement in the number of channels offered, while prices escalated. It should be noted that if changes in prices and the number of channels in Texas are calculated from 2006 instead of from 2005, then the dramatic increase in quality adjusted prices vanishes.
This quality-adjusted price calculation tells an interesting story about the markets in only three states. Yet, what happened in the other states that have SVF? How do price changes in Minnesotawhich does not have SVFmatch up with those in other states that passed statewide franchising laws? Table 4 presents a cross section of pricing calculations from December 2006 to January 2009, even for those states that initiated SVF in 2005. For comparisons sake, calculations for price changes are included with those for states that have SVF and Minnesota. The states are rank ordered from largest to smallest change in real prices on a rate per chanel basis.
Interestingly, Minnesotas real price increases during the two-year time period rank near the top.22 Yet there are two statesCalifornia and North Carolinathat have even higher increases in video service prices. This begs the question: Would statewide video franchising lead to downward pressure on prices in Minnesota? Based on the analysis in this report, the answer to this question depends on which companies would enter the market, the nature of technology utilized by the companies and the type of products offered.
It looks to me from this report that there is no solid conclusion that SVF lead to lower or higher prices. In some states prices have gone up, in others they've gone down. In some cases the laws haven't been in place long enough to show what the final result will be. -- "Necessity is the plea for every infringement of human freedom; it is the argument of tyrants; it is the creed of slaves." William Pitt the Younger | |  Reviews:
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| It is hard to draw conclusions, but I've been following the comments of Barry Orton for years and I don't see a lot of evidence to contradict his points.
It was disappointing to see grass-roots regulation usurped by politicians hungry for campaign donations. There are issues affecting one's domain where there is a big difference between one-size-fits-all and local control. Yes, there are fiefdoms but they're still more democratic fiefdoms to most people than the state legislature.
A carrier is going to benefit from having to answer to fewer regulators. But citizens benefit more from local control than they would from lower prices: Even as video sources continue to diversify, 'lower prices' still just means smaller increases.
The HHH report discusses "higher quality" possibly being a factor in prices not dropping. Well, once they've tackled the barriers to entry, any gravy they can ladle on to retain market share will pay off grandly as opposed to an actual drop in revenues.
My point is that increasingly providers push cheap bastards like me from saying "Who's got a better deal?" to "The cost-per-channel-I-actually-want is ridiculous" when you add in all the bells and whistles. But on the other hand, the key factor working in providers' favor is that most TV fans are too lazy to get off their butts and unplug.
So yeah, regulate them until they bleed. If their accountants tell them it's not worth it to make money here, they can go somewhere else. It's pretty much a reverse sewer anyway; I pay a princely $17 a month to have mostly sh*t pumped into my house. -- USNG: 16TDN2870 Find your Lat-Long: Geocoder | |  | reply to Alakar That's why BBR and Savethecap.com and other sites of such are NOTHING but a BLOG | |  | reply to ArgMeMatey Of course, Barry Orton used to get paid to negotiate contracts for cities. No wonder he hates the change that took his business away. Oh for the good old days when cable rates went up and Barry got paid. The cable companies may be money grubbing whores, but Barry is a money grubbing whore too. The difference is the Barry tries to hide it. | |  VanPremium join:2009-07-08 New Orleans, LA | reply to hottboiinnc Blogs that have employees of these companies on here posting | |  marigoldsGainfully employed, finallyPremium,MVM join:2002-05-13 Saint Louis, MO kudos:1 | reply to Alakar said by Alakar:There are also 12 states listed that show prices drops after passing statewide franchise laws. ... It looks to me from this report that there is no solid conclusion that SVF lead to lower or higher prices. In some states prices have gone up, in others they've gone down. In some cases the laws haven't been in place long enough to show what the final result will be. You misread the table. That table has all 50 states, not just the 28 that passed statewide franchising. Of those 28 states, the only state that say a real value decrease in the price of expanded basic was Florida (-1.84%). More telling, of the 18 states that had less than a 10% real value increase, only Florida, Virginia, Texas, Iowa and Kansas had state wide franchising. 5 of 28 with statewide franchise; 13 of 22 that did not. -- ISCABBS - the oldest and largest BBS on the Internet telnet://bbs.iscabbs.com Professional Geographer Geographic Information Science researcher | |
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