ghostpainter
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4 edits | Hurricane Warning Issued Pascagoula Mississippi to Florida
Please go to last entries for latest advisories, maps and updates.
Tropical Depression Eleven Intermediate Advisory Number 1A
Nws Tpc/National Hurricane Center Miami Fl Al112009
100 Pm Est Wed Nov 04 2009
...Tropical Depression Close To Tropical Storm Strength...Air Force
Plane Is En Route...
A Tropical Storm Warning Remains In Effect For The Entire Eastern
Coast Of Nicaragua And For The Islands Of San Andres And
Providencia. A Tropical Storm Warning Means That Tropical Storm
Conditions Are Expected Somewhere Within The Warning Area Within 24
Hours.
For Storm Information Specific To Your Area...Please Monitor
Products Issued By Your National Meteorological Service.
At 100 Pm Est...1800 Utc...The Center Of Tropical Depression Eleven
Was Located Near Latitude 11.8 North...Longitude 82.3 West Or About
65 Miles...105 Km...Southwest Of San Andres Island And About
100 Miles...160 Km...East Of Bluefields Nicaragua.
The Depression Has Been Moving Toward The West-Northwest Near 7
Mph...11 Km/Hr...But A Slower Motion Is Expected Later Today With A
Turn Toward The Northwest. On The Forecast Track The Center Of The
Depression Will Be Near The East Coast Of Nicaragua This Evening.
Maximum Sustained Winds Are Near 35 Mph...55 Km/Hr...With Higher
Gusts. The Depression Is Expected To Become A Tropical Storm Later
This Afternoon And Further Strengthening Is Expected Until Landfall.
The Estimated Minimum Central Pressure Is 1006 Mb...29.71 Inches.
The Depression Is Expected To Produce Total Rainfall Accumulations
Of 5 To 7 Inches Over San Andres Island With Maximum Amounts Of 12
Inches Possible. Rainfall Accumulations Of 15 To 20 Inches Are
Expected Over Eastern Nicaragua And Eastern Honduras With Maximum
Amounts Of 25 Inches Possible. These Rains Could Produce
Life-Threatening Flash Flood And Mud Slides.
...Summary Of 100 Pm Est Information...
Location...11.8N 82.3W
Maximum Sustained Winds...35 Mph
Present Movement...West-Northwest Or 300 Degrees At 7 Mph
Minimum Central Pressure...1006 Mb
The Next Advisory Will Be Issued By The National Hurricane Center At
400 Pm Est.
$$
Forecaster Blake/Franklin --
»www.insidetheie.com/
»earthlogii.blogspot.com/
»vietaffairsvets.blogspot.com/
Why is it that people who never pay attention to the weather are always the first to complain.
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wth
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join:2002-02-20
Iowa City, IA
 ·Mediacom
| Tropical Storm Ida
»www.nhc.noaa.gov/graphics_at1.sh···contents
»www.wunderground.com/tropical/tr···911.html
Statement as of 4:00 PM EST on November 04, 2009
satellite images show that...although convection has weakened this
afternoon...the overall cloud pattern continues to be well-organized
with strong bands in the northern semicircle of the system. An Air
Force Reserve reconnaissance plane found maximum flight-level winds
of 53 kt...SFMR winds of 48 kt...and a falling minimum central
pressure of 996 mb. These data support an initial wind speed of
about 50 kt...and thus the system has been named Ida.
The initial motion appears to have turned slightly to the left...and
is now 300/5. Ida is moving through an area of light steering
between a ridge over the north-central Caribbean Sea and a weak
trough over the southwestern Gulf of Mexico. There is better
agreement in the models this afternoon on the storm slowly moving
to the northwest...then to the north around the western part of the
Caribbean ridge. Only the UKMET model now keeps the system over
water without significant land interaction. The official NHC
forecast is shifted westward and is faster than the previous one.
Although environmental conditions favor strengthening...Ida does not
have much more time left before it moves over Nicaragua. The
intensity forecast is close to previous one in the short-term...
showing some strengthening of Ida...and then reduced thereafter due
to the effects of land. In a few days...the atmospheric environment
could allow for some reintensification of the system over the
northwestern Caribbean Sea. However... it is entirely possible that
the tropical cyclone could dissipate over the higher terrain of
Central America.
Life-threatening flash floods and mud slides from extremely heavy
rains are expected to be the biggest threat from Ida.
Forecast positions and Max winds
initial 04/2100z 12.0n 82.7w 50 kt
12hr VT 05/0600z 12.4n 83.3w 55 kt
24hr VT 05/1800z 13.0n 84.1w 40 kt...inland
36hr VT 06/0600z 13.7n 84.6w 30 kt...inland
48hr VT 06/1800z 14.5n 85.0w 25 kt...inland
72hr VT 07/1800z 16.0n 85.5w 25 kt...over water
96hr VT 08/1800z 18.0n 86.0w 35 kt
120hr VT 09/1800z 20.5n 86.5w 40 kt
$$
forecaster Blake/Pasch
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ghostpainter
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| Tropical Storm Ida: Hurricane Watch Issued for Nicaraga
TROPICAL STORM IDA TROPICAL CYCLONE UPDATE
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL112009
530 PM EST WED NOV 04 2009
...IDA A LITTLE STRONGER...HURRICANE WATCH ISSUED...
AT 530 PM EST...2230 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF NICARAGUA HAS ISSUED A
HURRICANE WATCH FOR THE EASTERN COAST OF NICARAGUA FROM BLUEFIELDS
NORTHWARD TO THE HONDURAS/NICARAGUA BORDER. A TROPICAL STORM
WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE ENTIRE EASTERN COAST OF NICARAGUA
AND FOR THE ISLANDS OF SAN ANDRES AND PROVIDENCIA.
REPORTS FROM AN AIR FORCE RESERVE RECONNAISSANCE PLANE INVESTIGATING
IDA INDICATE THAT THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO
NEAR 65 MPH...100 KM/HR.
FORECASTER PASCH/ROBERTS
--
»www.insidetheie.com/
»earthlogii.blogspot.com/
»vietaffairsvets.blogspot.com/
Why is it that people who never pay attention to the weather are always the first to complain.
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wth
Premium
join:2002-02-20
Iowa City, IA
·Mediacom
| reply to ghostpainter
Hurricane IDA
»www.nhc.noaa.gov/graphics_at1.sh···contents
BULLETIN
HURRICANE IDA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 4A
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL112009
700 AM EST THU NOV 05 2009
...IDA BECOMES A HURRICANE AS IT NEARS THE COAST OF NICARAGUA...
SATELLITE IMAGES INDICATE THAT IDA HAS STRENGTHENED TO A
HURRICANE.
AT 700 AM...1200 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF NICARAGUA HAS ISSUED A
HURRICANE WARNING FOR THE EAST COAST OF NICARAGUA FROM BLUEFIELDS
NORTHWARD TO PUERTO CABEZAS. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED
SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA DURING THE NEXT SEVERAL HOURS.
A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE EASTERN COAST OF
NICARAGUA FROM NORTH OF PUERTO CABEZAS TO THE HONDURAS/NICARAGUA
BORDER. A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA.
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE NICARAGUA/COSTA
RICA BORDER NORTHWARD TO BLUEFIELDS AND FROM NORTH OF PUERTO
CABEZAS TO THE HONDURAS/NICARAGUA BORDER. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING
MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN
THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS
ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.
AT 700 AM EST...1200 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE IDA WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 12.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 83.4 WEST OR ABOUT 60
MILES...100 KM...NORTH-NORTHEAST OF BLUEFIELDS NICARAGUA AND ABOUT
85 MILES...135 KM...SOUTH OF PUERTO CABEZAS NICARAGUA.
IDA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 7 MPH...11 KM/HR...AND A
GRADUAL TURN TO THE NORTH-NORTHWEST WITH A SLIGHT DECREASE IN
FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. ON THE
FORECAST TRACK...IDA WILL MAKE LANDFALL ALONG THE EASTERN COAST OF
NICARAGUA THIS MORNING AND MOVE ACROSS PORTIONS OF EASTERN
NICARAGUA AND EASTERN HONDURAS DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 75 MPH...120 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. IDA IS A CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON
HURRICANE SCALE. WEAKENING IS EXPECTED AS IDA MOVES INLAND OVER
NICARAGUA TODAY.
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 50 MILES...85 KM
FROM THE CENTER.
THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 987 MB...29.15 INCHES.
IDA IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 5 TO 7
INCHES OVER THE ISLANDS OFF THE COAST OF NICARAGUA WITH MAXIMUM
AMOUNTS OF 12 INCHES POSSIBLE. RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 15 TO 20
INCHES ARE EXPECTED OVER EASTERN NICARAGUA AND EASTERN HONDURAS
WITH MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 25 INCHES POSSIBLE. THESE RAINS COULD
PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOOD AND MUD SLIDES.
A STORM SURGE COULD RAISE WATER LEVELS BY AS MUCH AS 3 FEET ABOVE
GROUND LEVEL ALONG THE EAST COAST OF NICARAGUA...WITH LARGE AND
DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...NEAR AND TO THE NORTH OF WHERE THE
CENTER OF IDA MAKES LANDFALL. WATER LEVELS SHOULD BEGIN TO SUBSIDE
LATER TODAY.
...SUMMARY OF 700 AM EST INFORMATION...
LOCATION...12.8N 83.4W
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...75 MPH
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT 7 MPH
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...987 MB
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
1000 AM EST.
$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN/BROWN/BLAKE |
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ropeguru
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Bridgeport, WV
clubs: | Well, there go gas prices... |
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ghostpainter
I Write for the Apocalypse
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Rancho Cucamonga, CA
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| Hurricane IDA Heads for Southern Gulf of Mexico
Hurricane Ida Discussion Number 5
Nws Tpc/National Hurricane Center Miami Fl Al112009
1000 Am Est Thu Nov 05 2009
The Satellite Presentation Of Ida Continued To Improve Up Until
Landfall...Which Occurred Near Tasbapauni Nicaragua...Or About
60 Miles North-Northeast Of Bluefields. An 1117 Utc Ssmi Microwave
Image Showed A Well-Defined Eye That Was Located Just Inland At That
Time. A Blend Of Subjective And Objective Dvorak Classifications
Around The Time Of Landfall Supported An Intensity Of 65 Kt. Since
The Satellite Presentation Has Not Significantly Degraded...The
Advisory Intensity Will Remain 65 Kt. Ida Is Expected To Weaken
As It Moves Farther Inland During The Next Day Or So. The Forecast
Track Brings The Center Back Over The Northwestern Caribbean Sea In
A Couple Of Days...And The Intensity Forecast Shows Some
Strengthening After That Time. Upper-Level Southwesterly Winds Are
Expected To Produce Moderate Shear Over The System And Only Modest
Strengthening Is Forecast After Ida Emerges Over Water. There
Remains A Large Degree Of Uncertainty In The Longer Range
Forecast...Since Ida May Not Survive Its Passage Over Land.
The Initial Motion Estimate Is 315/05. Ida Is Expected To Turn
Northward Between A Mid-Level Ridge Over The Central Caribbean And
A Weak Trough Over The Southwestern Gulf Of Mexico. The Track
Guidance Is In Good Agreement On This Scenario...And The New
Official Forecast Is Similar To The Previous Advisory During The
First 36 To 48 Hour Of The Forecast Period. Thereafter...The Track
Models Move Ida In A General North To North-Northwest Direction
Into The Southern Gulf Of Mexico. The New Nhc Track Is Slightly
Right Of...And A Little Faster Than The Previous Forecast. The Nhc
Track Is A Little Slower Than The Model Consensus...In Best
Agreement With The Ecmwf.
The Biggest Impact Of This Slow-Moving System During The Next Few
Days Will Likely Be Life-Threatening Flash Floods And Mud Slides
Caused By Extremely Heavy Rain Over Portions Of Nicaragua And
Honduras.
--
»www.insidetheie.com/
»earthlogii.blogspot.com/
»vietaffairsvets.blogspot.com/
Why is it that people who never pay attention to the weather are always the first to complain.
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ghostpainter
I Write for the Apocalypse
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| reply to ghostpainter
TD IDA Public Advisory 7
TROPICAL DEPRESSION IDA ADVISORY NUMBER 7
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL112009
1000 PM EST THU NOV 05 2009
...IDA WEAKENS TO A DEPRESSION...FLOOD THREAT CONTINUES...
AT 1000 PM EST...0300 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF NICARAGUA HAS
DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE EAST COAST OF
NICARAGUA FROM BLUEFIELDS NORTHWARD TO THE HONDURAS/NICARAGUA
BORDER.
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE NORTHEAST COAST OF
HONDURAS FROM LIMON EASTWARD TO THE HONDURAS/NICARAGUA BORDER. A
TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.
INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN HONDURAS SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF IDA.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.
AT 1000 PM EST...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION IDA
WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 13.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 84.1 WEST OR ABOUT
50 MILES... 80 KM...WEST-SOUTHWEST OF PUERTO CABEZAS NICARAGUA.
THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 5 MPH. A
TURN TOWARD THE NORTH AT A SLIGHTLY FASTER FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED
ON FRIDAY. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF IDA WILL MOVE
ACROSS NORTHEASTERN NICARAGUA AND EASTERN HONDURAS DURING THE
NEXT DAY OR SO. THE TROPICAL CYCLONE IS FORECAST TO EMERGE OVER
THE NORTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA EARLY SATURDAY.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 35 MPH...55
KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. ADDITIONAL WEAKENING IS EXPECTED
TONIGHT AND FRIDAY AS IDA MOVES OVER LAND. SOME RESTRENGTHENING IS
LIKELY AFTER IDA EMERGES OVER THE NORTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA ON
SATURDAY.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1004 MB...29.65 INCHES.
IDA IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 5 TO 7
INCHES ALONG THE COASTS OF EASTERN HONDURAS AND NICARAGUA...AND THE
ISLANDS OFF THE COAST OF NICARAGUA WITH MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 12
INCHES POSSIBLE. MAXIMUM RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 15 TO 20 INCHES
ARE POSSIBLE OVER REGIONS OF ELEVATED TERRAIN IN HONDURAS AND
NICARAGUA. THESE RAINS COULD PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS
AND MUD SLIDES.
...SUMMARY OF 1000 PM EST INFORMATION...
LOCATION...13.8N 84.1W
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 330 DEGREES AT 5 MPH
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1004 MB
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 100 AM EST FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 400
AM EST.
$$
FORECASTER PASCH/ROBERTS
--
»www.insidetheie.com/
»earthlogii.blogspot.com/
»vietaffairsvets.blogspot.com/
Why is it that people who never pay attention to the weather are always the first to complain.
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pcdebb
RIP dadkins
Premium
join:2000-12-03
Tampa, FL
clubs:
| reply to ghostpainter
Re: Hurricane Ida Could Impact Florida, New Oreleans Warnings
wtf?  last thing i expected to see |
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ghostpainter
I Write for the Apocalypse
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Rancho Cucamonga, CA
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| The Hurricane season doesnt end until November 30th, so this storm is not unusual.
It appears that El Nino has killed the Atlantic Hurricane season, with easterly wind shears and cooler than usual waters while the Eastern and Western Pacific have been extremely active. |
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imtim83
You All Deserve The Economic Meltdown
Premium
join:2001-06-03
Kenner, LA
| reply to ghostpainter
Hurricane Ida is now a Cat. 2! That being said I highly doubt it will become a major hurricane. Now not saying it can't because stranger things have happen with mother nature just think the chances are very slim. Even if it does it won't be a very powerful one. Not to say it won't stir up the water a lot though if it does. Now a Cat. 4 or Cat. 5 is out of the question this late of the year in my opinion. Now if i am wrong ok but still I just can't see it happening. Waters are not hot enough for that powerful of a storm right now. Now if it was Aug. or Sept. that would be a different story. |
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ghostpainter
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1 edit | Hurricane Watch Issued to Miss/Alabama Along Texas Islands
HURRICANE IDA SPECIAL ADVISORY NUMBER 19
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL112009
1200 PM CST SUN NOV 08 2009
...HURRICANE WATCH EXTENDED EASTWARD ALONG THE NORTHERN GULF
COAST...IDA STRENGTHENS A LITTLE...
AT 1200 PM CST...1800 UTC...A HURRICANE WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED EAST
OF THE MISSISSIPPI/ALABAMA BORDER TO MEXICO BEACH FLORIDA. A
HURRICANE WATCH IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM GRAND ISLE LOUISIANA TO
MEXICO BEACH FLORIDA. THIS WATCH DOES NOT INCLUDE THE CITY OF NEW
ORLEANS. A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.
A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE YUCATAN PENINSULA OF
MEXICO FROM PLAYA DEL CARMEN TO CABO CATOCHE. A HURRICANE WARNING
MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE
WARNING AREA WITHIN 24 HOURS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND
PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION IN THE WARNING AREA.
A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE YUCATAN PENINSULA OF
MEXICO FROM TULUM TO PLAYA DEL CARMEN. A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT
HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA.
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE YUCATAN PENINSULA
OF MEXICO FROM PUNTA ALLEN NORTHWARD TO PLAYA DEL CARMEN AND FROM
CABO CATOCHE WESTWARD TO SAN FELIPE. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING
MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE
WARNING AREA WITHIN 24 HOURS.
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE CUBAN PROVINCE OF
PINAR DEL RIO.
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE ISLE OF YOUTH.
INTERESTS ELSEWHERE ALONG THE NORTHERN COAST OF THE GULF OF MEXICO
SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF IDA. ADDITIONAL TROPICAL CYCLONE
WATCHES OR WARNINGS MAY BE REQUIRED LATER TODAY.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA IN THE UNITED
STATES...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE
MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
FORECAST OFFICE. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA
OUTSIDE OF THE UNITED STATES...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.
AT 1200 PM CST...1800 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE IDA WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 21.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 86.1 WEST OR ABOUT 100 MILES...
155 KM...NORTH-NORTHEAST OF COZUMEL MEXICO AND ABOUT 75 MILES...
125 KM...WEST OF THE WESTERN TIP OF CUBA.
IDA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 10 MPH...17 KM/HR. A TURN
TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST AND AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED ARE
EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS...WITH A TURN TOWARD THE NORTH
LIKELY BY TUESDAY. ON THE FORECAST TRACK....THE CENTER OF IDA
SHOULD MOVE INTO THE GULF OF MEXICO THIS AFTERNOON...AND BE NEAR THE
NORTHERN GULF COAST BY TUESDAY.
REPORTS FROM AN AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT INDICATE
THAT MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 100 MPH...
160 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. IDA IS A CATEGORY TWO HURRICANE ON
THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. SOME ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS
POSSIBLE TODAY...WITH GRADUAL WEAKENING EXPECTED ON MONDAY. IDA IS
EXPECTED TO BEGIN LOSING TROPICAL CHARACTERISTICS ON TUESDAY AS IT
NEARS THE GULF COAST...BUT IT COULD REACH THE COAST AS A TROPICAL
CYCLONE.
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 15 MILES...30 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO
140 MILES...220 KM.
THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE JUST REPORTED BY THE HURRICANE HUNTER
IS 978 MB...28.88 INCHES.
IDA IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES
OVER PORTIONS OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA AND WESTERN CUBA...WITH
POSSIBLE ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 10 INCHES.
RAINS WILL BE INCREASING WELL IN ADVANCE OF IDA ACROSS THE CENTRAL
AND EASTERN GULF COAST...BUT WILL BECOME STEADIER AND HEAVIER BY
MONDAY INTO TUESDAY. TOTAL STORM ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES
WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM STORM TOTALS OF 8 INCHES WILL BE POSSIBLE
THROUGH TUESDAY FROM THE CENTRAL AND EASTERN GULF COAST NORTHWARD
INTO THE EASTERN PORTIONS OF THE TENNESSEE VALLEY AND THE SOUTHERN
APPALACHIANS.
A STORM SURGE COULD RAISE WATER LEVELS BY AS MUCH AS 3 TO 4 FEET
ABOVE GROUND LEVEL ALONG THE COAST OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA. NEAR
THE COAST...THE SURGE WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DESTRUCTIVE
WAVES.
...SUMMARY OF 1200 PM CST INFORMATION...
LOCATION...21.7N 86.1W
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...100 MPH
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NORTHWEST OR 325 DEGREES AT 10 MPH
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...978 MB
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 1200 PM CST FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 300
PM CST.
$$
FORECASTER BEVEN/ROBERTS
»www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refresh/MI···8.shtml?
--
»www.insidetheie.com/
»earthlogii.blogspot.com/
»vietaffairsvets.blogspot.com/
Why is it that people who never pay attention to the weather are always the first to complain.
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ghostpainter
I Write for the Apocalypse
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join:2002-05-25
Rancho Cucamonga, CA
clubs: | reply to ghostpainter
State of emergency Declared in Louisiana...
-- Louisiana Gov. Bobby Jindal declares a state of emergency as a result of the forecasted conditions of Hurricane Ida.
»cnn.com |
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ghostpainter
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Hurricane Warning Issued For Pascagoula Mississippi to Florida
Bulletin
Hurricane Ida Advisory Number 21
Nws Tpc/National Hurricane Center Miami Fl Al112009
900 Pm Cst Sun Nov 08 2009
...Ida Heading North-Northwestward....Hurricane Warning Issued
For A Portion Of The Northern Gulf Coast...
At 900 Pm Cst...0300 Utc...A Hurricane Warning Has Been Issued For
The Northern Gulf Coast From Pascagoula Mississippi Eastward To
Indian Pass Florida. A Hurricane Warning Means That Hurricane
Conditions Are Expected Somewhere Within The Warning Area Within 24
Hours. Preparations To Protect Life And Property Should Be Rushed
To Completion.
At 900 Pm Cst...0300 Utc...A Tropical Storm Warning And A Hurricane
Watch Are In Effect For The Northern Gulf Coast From Grand Isle
Louisiana Eastward To West Of Pascagoula Mississippi...Including
New Orleans And Lake Pontchartrain. A Tropical Storm Warning Means
That Tropical Storm Conditions Are Expected Somewhere Within The
Warning Area Within 24 Hours. A Hurricane Watch Means That
Hurricane Conditions Are Possible Within The Watch Area...Generally
Within 36 Hours.
At 900 Pm Cst...0300 Utc...A Tropical Storm Warning Has Been Issued
For The Northern Gulf Coast From East Of Indian Pass To Aucilla
River Florida.
At 900 Pm Cst...0300 Utc...The Government Of Cuba Has Discontinued
All Watches And Warnings For Cuba.
For Storm Information Specific To Your Area...Including Possible
Inland Watches And Warnings...Please Monitor Products Issued By
Your Local National Weather Service Forecast Office.
At 900 Pm Cst...0300 Utc...The Center Of Hurricane Ida Was Located
Near Latitude 23.7 North...Longitude 86.7 West Or About 400 Miles...
645 Km...South-Southeast Of The Mouth Of The Mississippi River.
Ida Is Moving Toward The North-Northwest Near 14 Mph...22 Km/Hr. A
Turn Toward The North And An Increase In Forward Speed Are Expected
During The Next 24 Hours...Followed By A Turn Toward The Northeast
On Monday Night. On The Forecast Track...Ida Is Expected To Cross
The Gulf Of Mexico Tonight And Monday...And Approach The Northern
Gulf Coast Monday Night Or Early Tuesday.
Maximum Sustained Winds Are Near 105 Mph...165 Km/Hr...With Higher
Gusts. Ida Is A Category Two Hurricane On The Saffir-Simpson Scale.
Gradual Weakening Is Forecast...But Ida Is Expected To Remain A
Hurricane As It Approaches The Northern Gulf Coast.
Hurricane Force Winds Extend Outward Up To 35 Miles...55 Km...From
The Center...And Tropical Storm Force Winds Extend Outward Up To 175
Miles...280 Km.
Estimated Minimum Central Pressure Is 979 Mb...28.91 Inches.
Ida Is Expected To Produce Additional Rain Accumulations Of 1 To 3
Inches Over Portions Of Western Cuba...With Isolated Maximum Storm
Total Amounts Of 8 Inches Possible.
Rains Will Be Increasing Well In Advance Of Ida Across The Central
And Eastern Gulf Coast...But Will Become Steadier And Heavier By
Monday Into Tuesday. Total Storm Accumulations Of 3 To 5 Inches
With Isolated Maximum Storm Totals Of 8 Inches Will Be Possible
Through Tuesday From The Central And Eastern Gulf Coast Northward
Into The Eastern Portions Of The Tennessee Valley And The Southern
Appalachians.
A Dangerous Storm Surge Will Raise Water Levels By As Much As
4 To 6 Feet Above Ground Level Along The Coast Near And To The
East Of Where The Center Makes Landfall. Near The Coast...The Surge
Will Be Accompanied By Large And Destructive Waves.
...Summary Of 900 Pm Cst Information...
Location...23.7N 86.7W
Maximum Sustained Winds...105 Mph
Present Movement...North-Northwest Or 345 Degrees At 14 Mph
Minimum Central Pressure...979 Mb
An Intermediate Advisory Will Be Issued By The National Hurricane
Center At 1200 Am Cst Followed By The Next Complete Advisory At 300
Am Cst.
$$
Forecaster Brown/Berg
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Why is it that people who never pay attention to the weather are always the first to complain.
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ghostpainter
I Write for the Apocalypse
Premium,MVM
join:2002-05-25
Rancho Cucamonga, CA
clubs:
| reply to ghostpainter
Re: Hurricane Warning Issued Pascagoula Mississippi to Florida
Down graded to a TS Ida poses a dangerous threat in the amount of rain that will fall over the area and as the storm moves north and back out into the Atlantic, it could become a Nor Easter. |
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Budster
6 Digit
Premium
join:2001-01-05
Saint Amant, LA
clubs:
·Cox HSI
 ·Eatel
| reply to ghostpainter
I been keeping track of the storm, but I have been up here in Tennessee since Thursday. I haven't really been too concerned about it due to the SSTs being in the mid 60s along the northern coastlines of the GOM. That's almost as good as being over land per sae. Vertical shear from above and the sst's below provides a certainty that this system should be knocked down a great deal before making landfall. Hopefully this system will turn east and be out the way because I have to fly into New Orleans tomorrow :-/
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Laissez le bon temps rouler, encore! |
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pcdebb
RIP dadkins
Premium
join:2000-12-03
Tampa, FL
clubs:
| reply to ghostpainter
it was overcast and windy all day yesterday here, then it started raining in the early evening. still overcast at the moment, rain here and there. one of those "stay in bed" kind of days
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