 japPremium
join:2003-08-10
038xx | said by fifty nine:said by jap:said by dvd536:hulu will naturally die when they begin charging. Precisely. Though a small chance they won't still exists. They'll die either way. Do you really think that the few ads they put can pay their bills? Erm, no, I don't really think so. Such would be exhibited by my use of "Precisely" and "small chance".
The TV/PC conversion and/or convergence is just beginning and it's a fools game to play the absolutist on how it will play out. Too many variables existing on too many levels: content/distro convergence in the overIP realm, viewer's continued patience with fixed-sched broadcasting rather true on-demand, rapidly changing consumer devices for viewing (eg: TV/PC convergence, projectors over big screen, very cheap and small streamer devices marrying PCs to projectors/home theatre (now with built-in Bittorrent  )), the economy (continued badness will drive people to the bottom), and when do the funders of Hulu lose patience. Oh!, and conventional affiliate broadcasting is tremendously expensive bringing increased friction between networks and the stations who control access to market. But then what will Comcast "charge"  ?
I don't think anyone knows where's this is going. Not the heads of networks, not the ISPs, not the FCC and certainly not us. But I'll still bet against Hulu. At least under the current 3-way network + Disney ownership. As a side note, Netflix's chances go up if Disney loses Hulu as an outlet. |
