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Noah Vail
Son made my Avatar
Premium
join:2004-12-10
Lorton, VA
kudos:1
Reviews:
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reply to KrK

To heck with the USGS. Gamblers pick most likely volcanoes.

said by Popular Science :

Paddy Power, Ireland's largest bookmaker, is taking bets on which volcano around the world will next blow its top to the tune of a VEI-3 eruption.
The complete odds are below, for those of you who think you can outfox mother nature.
...
3:1 Mt Unzen (Japan)
9:1 Mauna Loa (USA)
10:1 Ulawun (Papua New Guinea)
10:1 Merapi (Indonesia)
10:1 Santorini (Greece)
11:1 Colima (Mexico)
11:1 Rainier (USA)
11:1 Taal (Philippines)
11:1 Teide (Spain, Canary Islands)
...{more at the source page}
Unlike a government funded and/or politically driven natural forecasting group; I know what drives bookies and their customers. They've got one motivator and the only place it drives them is the magical land of statistical likelihood.

NV
--
In my perfect religion, a giant hole appears and sucks up all the lousy people.
I call it the Crapture.


KrK
Heavy Artillery For The Little Guy
Premium
join:2000-01-17
Tulsa, OK

It surprises me to see Mauna Loa on that list. It is a shield volcano that erupts basaltic lava and doesn't explode violently.


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