 espaethDigital PlumberPremium,MVM
join:2001-04-21
Minneapolis, MN
kudos:2
 ·Clear Wireless
| Let's take an honest look at the numbers The OECD places US wired broadband connections at 83,344,927. (Source: »www.oecd.org/document/54/0,3746,···,00.html) Netflix has 23 million subscribers across the US and Canada (Source: »ir.netflix.com/).
Even if all 23 million Netflix subscribers were from the US, and 100% of them were streaming on a regular basis, and all of that streaming only occurred over fixed broadband connections.. that's still only about 28% of broadband users streaming Netflix video content. The real numbers are obviously much lower than that.
So we're going to say that south of 30% of connections constitutes "average" now?
The article Wired put out a few months ago when Netflix accounted for 20% of consumption is even more telling:
Streaming media — real-time entertainment — accounts for 43% of peak period traffic in the U.S., according to Sandvine, which helps ISPs manage their networks and thus has access to buckets of information about usage patterns.
But Netflix alone accounts for nearly half of that between 8 and 10 p.m., and that usage comes from only 1.8 percent of the service’s subscribers. Source:»www.wired.com/epicenter/2010/10/···with-use
Yes, some people are going to pay more under a cap + overage system. Perhaps even a couple hundred thousand people will -- but right now the numbers are still on the tiny end of the 80/20 rule. At this juncture I'd even argue less than 10% of AT&T's subscribers will face additional costs with the caps in place. |
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 r81984Fair and BalancedPremium
join:2001-11-14
Katy, TX
 ·AT&T U-Verse
 ·AT&T DSL Service
·row44
| said by espaeth:So we're going to say that south of 30% of connections constitutes "average" now?
You cannot average future usage only past usage.
Each person has their own usage that has no bearing on anyone else so it makes no sense to try and say there is an average that can tell you what people will do in the future.
You cannot just group unlike usage together and say there is an average.
ISP must build their networks based on peak usage for the speeds they offer.
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Your behavior is inconsistent with your desire to be treated like everyone else. |
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 BF69Premium
join:2004-07-28
Camden, TN | reply to espaeth
Funny thing about numbers. You can make them say what you want. For example.
If I have a water pipe delivering water to 100 homes and I say just 5 homes are using 30% of the water going through the pipe, well it sounds like those 5 houses are water hogs. However if you also knew that the amount of water going through the pipes is only 15% of what the pipes could actually handle then they aren't using that much after all are they?
All these ISPs have the attitude that because 50% of thier customers CHOOSE to underuse their connection that the rest of the people must be hogs. If 50% of the people choose to only eat 1000 calories a day it doesn't make me a "hog" if I'm eating 2000 calories a day. |
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