 SmokChsrWho let the magic smoke out?Premium
join:2006-03-17
Saint Augustine, FL
 ·Clearwire Wireless
| Tropical things.. Before the storm.. I was thinking rather than tie up a new topic each time something is thinking about developing out in the Atlantic, perhaps just one topic to cover all the different happenings until they turn into something more exciting.
Once they have a name, threaten a US mainland strike, or for whatever reason they warrant a separate topic then by all means they get one. |
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SmokChsrWho let the magic smoke out?Premium
join:2006-03-17
Saint Augustine, FL Reviews:
·Clearwire Wireless
| Invest 99 9/18/11
Chugging along |
It's near 17N 52W. While all the focus is currently on invest 98 (a bit south and further East) this one looks like a little storm that is really determined. It had all of it's convection ripped off the top over night, yet the low lever circulation is really getting it's act together even without a top hat on.
As of now it's trying to redevelop some convection, it's heading due West into a more favorable environment. We may not have heard the last from this little system. |
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 Hayward K A R - 1 2 0 CPremium
join:2000-07-13
Key West, FL
kudos:1 | Where and size it is unless takes a very unusual dive south will be a mid Atlantic thing MAYBE impacting Bermuda.
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SmokChsrWho let the magic smoke out?Premium
join:2006-03-17
Saint Augustine, FL Reviews:
·Clearwire Wireless
| said by Hayward:Where and size it is unless takes a very unusual dive south will be a mid Atlantic thing MAYBE impacting Bermuda.
That's the most likely course. 99 has been able to get a bit of cover this morning. I'm guessing that the NHC will recognize it again later today. |
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SmokChsrWho let the magic smoke out?Premium
join:2006-03-17
Saint Augustine, FL | reply to SmokChsr
Now a bit about 98.. It's getting a good amount of rotation in it this morning and has improved it's chances to 70%. I'd expect it to make it to TD status in the next 24 hours. It looks like the rotation is setting up at about 13N 37W. |
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SmokChsrWho let the magic smoke out?Premium
join:2006-03-17
Saint Augustine, FL | 98 is now Ophelia Now that 98 is Ophelia, I guess her own thread is in order. As of now no one is expecting Ophelia to make it to hurricane status. |
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SmokChsrWho let the magic smoke out?Premium
join:2006-03-17
Saint Augustine, FL | reply to SmokChsr
Invest 99 is back.. This little one is determined.. Now recognized again by the NHC it has been given a 0% chance of development, yet it's still buzzing along due West. It should pass by / over Guadeloupe in the next 24 hours. |
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| reply to SmokChsr
Re: Tropical things.. Before the storm.. said by SmokChsr:I was thinking rather than tie up a new topic each time something is thinking about developing out in the Atlantic, perhaps just one topic to cover all the different happenings until they turn into something more exciting. ..... Seems reasonable, but as per The Law of Unintended Consequences, even this below-the-fold approach might still provide sufficient encouragement to otherwise underachievers way way out there ... ... |
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SmokChsrWho let the magic smoke out?Premium
join:2006-03-17
Saint Augustine, FL
1 edit | Well, we ignored Ophelia long enough and she went away..
or at least dissipated for now, still quite a bit of activity in her remains.
Philippe looks like he want to turn around and go back to Africa.. |
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Hayward K A R - 1 2 0 CPremium
join:2000-07-13
Key West, FL
kudos:1 | Pretty much the forecasts from the git go for both.
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SmokChsrWho let the magic smoke out?Premium
join:2006-03-17
Saint Augustine, FL | reply to SmokChsr
It's her again... Guess who's back?? Yep, they are issuing advisory's on Ophelia again. At 5 PM Tuesday Evening the NHC said she's again a tropical depression and expected to be back up to storm status by morning. |
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SmokChsrWho let the magic smoke out?Premium
join:2006-03-17
Saint Augustine, FL Reviews:
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| reply to SmokChsr
Philippe, still ignoring predictions. While I'm at it.. I might mention that Philippe didn't turn around, and is still moving WNW way out in the Atlantic. Currently none of the models have projected that he will come anywhere close to the US, then again he has ignored all model projections thus far. |
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Hayward K A R - 1 2 0 CPremium
join:2000-07-13
Key West, FL
kudos:1 | reply to SmokChsr
Re: It's her again... said by SmokChsr:Guess who's back?? Yep, they are issuing advisory's on Ophelia again. At 5 PM Tuesday Evening the NHC said she's again a tropical depression and expected to be back up to storm status by morning.
And now even pedicted to be hurricane well north... not issue for us but for step family in NF might be.
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SmokChsrWho let the magic smoke out?Premium
join:2006-03-17
Saint Augustine, FL Reviews:
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| reply to SmokChsr
Philippe,, What are you doing?
Nahh this can't be Philippe! |
So that brings the question, so we think they may be right when they are showing a continued Westward movement? |
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Hayward K A R - 1 2 0 CPremium
join:2000-07-13
Key West, FL
kudos:1
1 edit | Remember when Ophielia was dead and gone... no not looking like a nice time in New Founland not far off now predicted to still be minimal hurricane.
But at least P not yet even 5 day predicted beyond TS yet
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SmokChsrWho let the magic smoke out?Premium
join:2006-03-17
Saint Augustine, FL Reviews:
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| reply to SmokChsr
Philippe, now a strong tropical storm.
They think he'll go this way, maybe he will maybe he won't |
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Hayward K A R - 1 2 0 CPremium
join:2000-07-13
Key West, FL
kudos:1
2 edits | And knocking on wood... there is nothing more trivial to talk about unless you know a fishing boat in the mid Atlantic....
Phillippe must be getting dizzy by now  And spent
Thankfully itss been another So FL quiet seasom and much not even worthy of discussion.
Now Irene was but nothing since then. (BTW on that sig threatened us in KW a few years ago this time she didn't... for the laconic NE.
And big BOO to the meddia paying so much attention to NYC when OBVIOUSLY the didasters would be far more north but never a THOUGHT until NYC was a dud and far too lat for them.
Not there long enough to know what a major rain event in moutains might be.
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SmokChsrWho let the magic smoke out?Premium
join:2006-03-17
Saint Augustine, FL Reviews:
·Clearwire Wireless
| said by Hayward:AThankfully itss been another So FL quiet seasom and much not even worthy of discussion.
Shhhhh!! Don't say the Q word... It's not December yet!
At least now if something blows up in the Caribbean we know what caused it.. |
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SmokChsrWho let the magic smoke out?Premium
join:2006-03-17
Saint Augustine, FL Reviews:
·Clearwire Wireless
| reply to SmokChsr
Tropical Storm Rina Now we have Rina, look like she's going to impale herself into the Yucatan and not cause any troubles further North..
Still there's always a chance she could escape from down there and come up this way.
As of now I'd consider her as "ignore for now" |
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Hayward K A R - 1 2 0 CPremium
join:2000-07-13
Key West, FL
kudos:1 | For a second I thought it was another recent rerun storm (like Irene) but its Rina not Rita.
Hope that one northern hook shot is an annomoley.
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»haywardm.com (Hayward's Key West)
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