sailorPremium
join:2003-10-21
Long Island
kudos:6 | Weather Experts: Why is the Northeast so warm this winter? It has been such a spring like winter here on Long Island and other areas in the Northeast.
Tomorrow we're heading into February, usually the coldest month of the year, and I just heard on the radio that New York City could hit 60 degrees.
What's the reason for such above-normal temperatures? |
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 DrStrangeTechnically feasiblePremium
join:2001-07-23
West Hartford, CT
kudos:1 | 1. It's the luck of the draw. It's very cold in eastern Europe, so it has to be warm somewhere else. Both phenomena fit scenarios attributable to 'climate change', but I can't prove that. Not going to use the G and W words here.
2. The Arctic Oscillation and North Atlantic Oscillation were strongly positive for several months. That may be due to above-normal sea-surface temps in the North Atlantic. The AO and NAO are turning negative now, should stay that way for 1-2 weeks.
3. We're heading out of an unusually deep solar minimum, headed toward maximum. It still isn't very much of a maximum, yet.
It should get a little colder in the East for the first two weeks of February, then warm up again. Forecast for the West is the reverse. Spring will probably come early. Caveat: Any long-term weather forecast beyond about ten days is an educated guess at best. |
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sailorPremium
join:2003-10-21
Long Island
kudos:6
1 edit | Very interesting and helpful.
Thank you! |
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 GemstonePremium
join:2000-12-20
Long Island
 ·Optimum Online
| said by sailor:Very interesting and helpful.
Thank you!
The longer we can go without burning excess fuel oil to keep the house warm the better! 
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Go Mark Martin! |
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 DaveDudeNo Fear
join:1999-09-01
New Jersey
kudos:1 | reply to sailor
Some are cold , some are warm. I can remenber in 1992 , we played touch football game in feb , and its was 72F. This is nothing new, or extraordinary. The weather is in a constant state of change. GW is has nothing to do with this. |
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 Hayward K A R - 1 2 0 CPremium
join:2000-07-13
Key West, FL
kudos:1 | said by DaveDude:Some are cold , some are warm. I can remenber in 1992 , we played touch football game in feb , and its was 72F. This is nothing new, or extraordinary. The weather is in a constant state of change. GW is has nothing to do with this.
Well except that 8 of 10 of the overall warmest years on 150 year record have been since 2000 and the others in the very latter 1900's.
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DaveDudeNo Fear
join:1999-09-01
New Jersey
kudos:1 Reviews:
 ·Vonage
·ViaTalk
| said by Hayward:said by DaveDude:Some are cold , some are warm. I can remenber in 1992 , we played touch football game in feb , and its was 72F. This is nothing new, or extraordinary. The weather is in a constant state of change. GW is has nothing to do with this.
Well except that 8 of 10 of the overall warmest years on 150 year record have been since 2000 and the others in the very latter 1900's. Which in the millions of years the earth has been around, a 100 years is like a day.
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They Live... We Sleep...
“Spreading the wealth around” never results in a better outcome for people. It always results in destruction.
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 burner50Helping Darwin WINPremium,VIP
join:2002-06-05
Cowtown
kudos:1 | reply to sailor
Been in the upper 70's for the last couple weeks here in North Texas. |
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| reply to sailor
According to my late father, it's because I left the front door open for a minute.
"Close the door! Are you trying to heat the outside?"  |
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sailorPremium
join:2003-10-21
Long Island
kudos:6 | The household I was raised in was on a working farm..the man of the house use to always yell out things like.."Close the goddamn door, you live in a barn??"
Or if you opened the refrigerator door and hesitated for a second or two before taking something.....
"Close the goddamn door, your letting all the cold air out!!!" |
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sailorPremium
join:2003-10-21
Long Island
kudos:6 | reply to Gemstone
said by Gemstone:The longer we can go without burning excess fuel oil to keep the house warm the better!
You got that right...I'm on automatic fuel oil delivery and during the winter months get a delivery the first week of each month..
January was $3.45 per gallon and all I can say is thank heaven its been a mild winter to date. |
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| reply to sailor
You jinxed it! (The Weather Gods will punish you[/us all] now.)  |
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sailorPremium
join:2003-10-21
Long Island
kudos:6 | said by mod_wastrel:You jinxed it! (The Weather Gods will punish you[/us all] now.)
Brrrr! It's freezing out |
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| reply to sailor
I am the last person to say word Global warming or to just that it is what is happening but got to be realistic. It might might be from global warming be as result of humans or natural occurring or it can be luck of the draw. I am not sure that we understand weather enough to really say why for sure. |
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Hayward K A R - 1 2 0 CPremium
join:2000-07-13
Key West, FL
kudos:1 | reply to DaveDude
said by DaveDude:said by Hayward:said by DaveDude:Some are cold , some are warm. I can remenber in 1992 , we played touch football game in feb , and its was 72F. This is nothing new, or extraordinary. The weather is in a constant state of change. GW is has nothing to do with this.
Well except that 8 of 10 of the overall warmest years on 150 year record have been since 2000 and the others in the very latter 1900's. Which in the millions of years the earth has been around, a 100 years is like a day. More like minutes.... but then there is the geologic record (such as gases trapped in ice and rock), which also shows it is significant and happening fast than ever has in the past.
But of course you will claim that is just coincidence.
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| said by Hayward:More like minutes.... but then there is the geologic record (such as gases trapped in ice and rock), which also shows it is significant and happening fast than ever has in the past.
But of course you will claim that is just coincidence.
How good are we at reading ice ? How accurate is it? It just seems like while we know a lot but at the same time we know nothing. |
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Hayward K A R - 1 2 0 CPremium
join:2000-07-13
Key West, FL
kudos:1 | Oh sheesh next thing your going to say probably the earth is only 5000 years old, created in 6 days, and the seventh day took a snooze
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| said by Hayward:Oh sheesh next thing your going to say probably the earth is only 5000 years old, created in 6 days, and the seventh day took a snooze
It makes no difference how long earth is, it is how good we can read the past reading through ice that makes a difference. We only been keeping records for the last 50-100 years. |
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Hayward K A R - 1 2 0 CPremium
join:2000-07-13
Key West, FL
kudos:1 | The ice records go back 100's of thousands of years, and can be read both like tree rings and radioactive half life dating.
And the gas originally between snowflakes, trapped when compressed into ice, can accurately measured as to the ratio of those atmospheric gasses
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 SmokChsrWho let the magic smoke out?Premium
join:2006-03-17
Saint Augustine, FL
 ·Clearwire Wireless
| reply to sailor
My first answer is, "well, cause it ain't got cold yet".
A more realistic answer my be The El Nino' and La Nina weather patterns, Which are established by the sea surface temps in the Pacific.
Then of course the next question that comes, is Winter just late or not coming at all this year? Of course the answer to that depends on where you are. So far this year I have not had a freeze at my house, and not likely to have one after the 2nd week of February.
All I can say is just have to wait and see what Mother Nature has in mind. |
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