 | reply to Kristopher
Re: [game] Dethy 15 That's what I do 
And I did post, no? lol. I posted results. What else is there in a deathy?  -- Get in here! Pub Games |
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 KristopherI got a 4Premium join:2002-10-11 Tyrinaria kudos:4 | 50/50
I should have been right, double mafia...........  -- Play DSLr Mafia: »Pub Games |
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 drewAutomaticPremium join:2002-07-10 Port Orchard, WA kudos:6 | I have to say Kris...
WORST META EVER
Please, for the love of all that is good and holy, stop trying to meta "random" events. I recommend the wiki article on the gambler's falacy. -- flickr | 'Cause I've been waiting, all my life just waiting For you to shine, shine your light on me |
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 KristopherI got a 4Premium join:2002-10-11 Tyrinaria kudos:4 | It was better than guessing on no information. Men gave investigation result first would be another one. There's nothing other than a 50/50 chance. One choice was as good as the other. Did you see something that would have made you vote Men over Jobbie? -- Play DSLr Mafia: »Pub Games |
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 drewAutomaticPremium join:2002-07-10 Port Orchard, WA kudos:6 | I can't answer your last question. I have the problem of omnipotency here.
But weighing the fact that he "was mafia last time" at all is a bad idea. The events are independent and therefore it's a 20% every time. -- flickr | 'Cause I've been waiting, all my life just waiting For you to shine, shine your light on me |
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 | reply to Kristopher said by Kristopher: Men gave investigation result first would be another one. That was the plan. I figured that was all that could give me an edge.  -- Get in here! Pub Games |
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 KristopherI got a 4Premium join:2002-10-11 Tyrinaria kudos:4 | reply to drew said by drew:I can't answer your last question. I have the problem of omnipotency here.
But weighing the fact that he "was mafia last time" at all is a bad idea. The events are independent and therefore it's a 20% every time. Meh, it was something. I could have weighed it in and hoped that he was mafia again this game, playing the odds for a bigger gloat if correct.
My point is, nothing pointed to either. So it was a blind pick regardless. Figured I'd use something rather than nothing.
@Men: It was a good move. You knew what you had to do, based on who you killed, and got it in first. Which actually makes choosing based on that a worse chance of being right than if you were mafia last game, based on percentages........
 -- Play DSLr Mafia: »Pub Games |
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 KristopherI got a 4Premium join:2002-10-11 Tyrinaria kudos:4 | reply to drew said by drew:I have the problem of omnipotency here.
"Created The World" Problems -- Play DSLr Mafia: »Pub Games |
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 drewAutomaticPremium join:2002-07-10 Port Orchard, WA kudos:6 | reply to Kristopher But that something will never be correct  |
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 KristopherI got a 4Premium join:2002-10-11 Tyrinaria kudos:4 | I just have the luck of a dead leprechaun on Friday the 13th. That's all.  -- Play DSLr Mafia: »Pub Games |
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 ArchivisYour DaddyPremium join:2001-11-26 Earth kudos:18 | reply to drew You guys are retarded.
That is all. |
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