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Meningitis
Hi
Premium
join:2009-03-06
Places
kudos:1

reply to Kristopher

Re: [game] Dethy 15

That's what I do

And I did post, no? lol. I posted results. What else is there in a deathy?
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Get in here! Pub Games


Kristopher
I got a 4
Premium
join:2002-10-11
Tyrinaria
kudos:4

50/50

I should have been right, double mafia...........
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drew
Automatic
Premium
join:2002-07-10
Port Orchard, WA
kudos:6

I have to say Kris...

WORST META EVER

Please, for the love of all that is good and holy, stop trying to meta "random" events. I recommend the wiki article on the gambler's falacy.
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Kristopher
I got a 4
Premium
join:2002-10-11
Tyrinaria
kudos:4

It was better than guessing on no information. Men gave investigation result first would be another one. There's nothing other than a 50/50 chance. One choice was as good as the other. Did you see something that would have made you vote Men over Jobbie?
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drew
Automatic
Premium
join:2002-07-10
Port Orchard, WA
kudos:6

I can't answer your last question. I have the problem of omnipotency here.

But weighing the fact that he "was mafia last time" at all is a bad idea. The events are independent and therefore it's a 20% every time.
--
flickr | 'Cause I've been waiting, all my life just waiting
For you to shine, shine your light on me



Meningitis
Hi
Premium
join:2009-03-06
Places
kudos:1

reply to Kristopher

said by Kristopher:

Men gave investigation result first would be another one.

That was the plan. I figured that was all that could give me an edge.
--
Get in here! Pub Games


Kristopher
I got a 4
Premium
join:2002-10-11
Tyrinaria
kudos:4

reply to drew

said by drew:

I can't answer your last question. I have the problem of omnipotency here.

But weighing the fact that he "was mafia last time" at all is a bad idea. The events are independent and therefore it's a 20% every time.

Meh, it was something. I could have weighed it in and hoped that he was mafia again this game, playing the odds for a bigger gloat if correct.

My point is, nothing pointed to either. So it was a blind pick regardless. Figured I'd use something rather than nothing.

@Men: It was a good move. You knew what you had to do, based on who you killed, and got it in first. Which actually makes choosing based on that a worse chance of being right than if you were mafia last game, based on percentages........


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Play DSLr Mafia: »Pub Games


Kristopher
I got a 4
Premium
join:2002-10-11
Tyrinaria
kudos:4

reply to drew

said by drew:

I have the problem of omnipotency here.

"Created The World" Problems
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Play DSLr Mafia: »Pub Games


drew
Automatic
Premium
join:2002-07-10
Port Orchard, WA
kudos:6

reply to Kristopher
But that something will never be correct



Kristopher
I got a 4
Premium
join:2002-10-11
Tyrinaria
kudos:4

I just have the luck of a dead leprechaun on Friday the 13th. That's all.
--
Play DSLr Mafia: »Pub Games



Archivis
Your Daddy
Premium
join:2001-11-26
Earth
kudos:18

reply to drew
You guys are retarded.

That is all.

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