 SmokChsrWho let the magic smoke out?Premium
join:2006-03-17
Saint Augustine, FL
2 edits | Sub Tropical Storm Beryl
Already heading away |
Here's the special statement issued earlier this afternoon.
SATELLITE AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS INDICATE THAT THE AREA OF LOW
PRESSURE...CURRENTLY LOCATED OVER THE MIDDLE FLORIDA KEYS AND
FLORIDA BAY...HAS BECOME BETTER DEFINED OVER THE PAST FEW HOURS.
THIS SYSTEM IS PRODUCING SUSTAINED WINDS OF AROUND 30 MPH AND WIND
GUSTS OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE...MAINLY TO THE EAST OF THE CENTER
OVER WATER. CURRENTLY...THE LARGE AREA OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
ASSOCIATED WITH THE LOW REMAINS DISORGANIZED DUE TO STRONG
UPPER-LEVEL WINDS. HOWEVER...ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
TO BECOME MORE CONDUCIVE FOR THE FORMATION OF A SUBTROPICAL OR
TROPICAL CYCLONE BY SATURDAY AS THIS SYSTEM MOVES NORTHEASTWARD AT
10 TO 15 MPH INTO THE SOUTHWESTERN ATLANTIC OCEAN. THIS SYSTEM HAS
A MEDIUM CHANCE...40 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL OR
SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.
REGARDLESS OF ANY DEVELOPMENT...LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL...
FLOODING...AND GUSTY WINDS ARE POSSIBLE OVER SOUTH FLORIDA...THE
FLORIDA KEYS...PORTIONS OF CUBA...AND THE BAHAMAS. ANOTHER SPECIAL
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR THIS SYSTEM WILL BE ISSUED ON FRIDAY.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM...PLEASE SEE HIGH SEAS
FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE...AND PRODUCTS
FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. |
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 DrStrangeTechnically feasiblePremium
join:2001-07-23
West Hartford, CT
kudos:1 | Re: Special tropical Statement in the Florida Keys Looks like it's wetter in the Bahamas.
Better luck next time. |
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SmokChsrWho let the magic smoke out?Premium
join:2006-03-17
Saint Augustine, FL | reply to SmokChsr
Invest 94 Now in the Bahamas
Spagetti time! |
As of now the system has moved over to the Bahamas. It's hard to see the low level circulation due to fairly decent high level cover. It looks like there might be a center about 100 miles east of Ft Lauderdale. The models indicate that this may not be over for the mainland, although the system is far to weak to have much faith in the models as of now. |
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SmokChsrWho let the magic smoke out?Premium
join:2006-03-17
Saint Augustine, FL | reply to SmokChsr
Tropical Storm Warnings up!
Turing around! |
United States coast...from the Volusia/Brevard County line in
northeast Florida northward to Edisto Beach South Carolina.
Location...32.5n 74.8w
about 305 mi...490 km E of Charleston South Carolina
maximum sustained winds...45 mph...75 km/h
present movement...N or 10 degrees at 9 mph...15 km/h
minimum central pressure...1001 mb...29.56 inches |
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SmokChsrWho let the magic smoke out?Premium
join:2006-03-17
Saint Augustine, FL | reply to SmokChsr
Sub Tropical Storm Beryl Heads for the First Coast.
Sat image from Early this (sat) morning | 
Models are shifting South. |
PS I did a nice update earlier this morning but it seems to have gotten lost.
From the NHC...
at 1100 am EDT...1500 UTC...the center of subtropical storm Beryl
was located near latitude 31.6 north...longitude 76.3 west. Beryl is
moving toward the southwest near 9 mph...15 km/h. This general
motion is forecast to continue through early Sunday...with a turn
toward the west expected late Sunday. On the forecast track the
center of Beryl will be near the coast within the warning area by
late Sunday.
Maximum sustained winds remain near 45 mph...75 km/h...with higher
gusts. A little strengthening is possible during the next day or
so.
Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 115 miles...185 km
from the center.
Estimated minimum central pressure is 1001 mb...29.56 inches. |
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SmokChsrWho let the magic smoke out?Premium
join:2006-03-17
Saint Augustine, FL | reply to SmokChsr
Subtropical Storm Beryl 0130
Might be a bit North of these projections |
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SmokChsrWho let the magic smoke out?Premium
join:2006-03-17
Saint Augustine, FL | reply to SmokChsr
Sunday 5AM stats summary of 500 am EDT...0900 UTC...information
----------------------------------------------
location...30.5n 78.8w
about 175 mi...280 km se of Savannah Georgia
about 175 mi...280 km E of Jacksonville Florida
maximum sustained winds...50 mph...85 km/h
present movement...WSW or 255 degrees at 10 mph...17 km/h
minimum central pressure...998 mb...29.47 inches |
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 charrog Life In The Golden IslesPremium
join:2002-03-10
Brunswick, GA | reply to SmokChsr
Re: Sub Tropical Storm Beryl Looks like we are going to take a hit here in Brunswick already lost power once while a feeder band was coming through. Just saw upgraded to 65 miles an hour, hopefully it won't get any worse....
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Pray for our troops!!God Bless the USA!! |
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 DragasoniWe're All Mad HerePremium
join:2001-12-14
Palm Bay, FL | reply to SmokChsr
We just got hit with the first squall from TS Beryl down here. Winds are getting gusty and I think it's going to be a nasty night, but it looks like it's going to be a lot worse to our north.
Take care and be safe!
-Dragasoni- |
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SmokChsrWho let the magic smoke out?Premium
join:2006-03-17
Saint Augustine, FL | reply to SmokChsr
The Barometer is dropping like a rock here in St. Augustine, currently 1008mb. Biggest problem so far has been brush fires started by down power lines. No rain yet here. Now let me go see what this critter is doing. |
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DrStrangeTechnically feasiblePremium
join:2001-07-23
West Hartford, CT
kudos:1 | Looks increasingly 'healthy' on radar.
I say even money that it makes landfall as a minimal hurricane.
I hope you folks get at least 5" of rain with as little damage as possible. |
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SmokChsrWho let the magic smoke out?Premium
join:2006-03-17
Saint Augustine, FL | 
5PM |
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SmokChsrWho let the magic smoke out?Premium
join:2006-03-17
Saint Augustine, FL | reply to SmokChsr
In St. Augustine it made it down to 999.5mb. Plenty of trees down, winds not too bad, up to about 35 mph. |
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