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AVD
Respice, Adspice, Prospice
Premium
join:2003-02-06
Onion, NJ
kudos:1

1 edit

1 recommendation

She's coming



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Annmarie
Lillian
join:2000-11-11
kudos:5

Re: She's comming

Frankenstorm
»io9.com/5955145/[draft]-what-you···cialflow

On my way to the supermarket for this and that.
If I am not back in a couple of hours I was most likely attacked in the milk/bread/egg department.
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Expecting the world to treat you fairly because you are good is like expecting the bull not to charge because you are a vegetarian.



AVD
Respice, Adspice, Prospice
Premium
join:2003-02-06
Onion, NJ
kudos:1

The doomsday senario for NYC is a direct hit on Atlantic City
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lilhurricane
Crunchin' For Cures
Premium,Mod
join:2003-01-11
Purple Zone
kudos:57

1 recommendation

reply to AVD

I don't like the way she looks...

Please take care you guys, don't underestimate..be prepared



Archivis
Your Daddy
Premium
join:2001-11-26
Earth
kudos:19
reply to AVD

My house is sitting right in the path. Tuesday is going to be a fun day.



TrainBuff
The New Haven Railroad
Premium
join:2003-05-01
Buffalo, NY
kudos:4
reply to AVD

Even we are in it's path. But downstate will get it worse.
Please be safe everyone.



DC DSL
There's a reason I'm Command.
Premium
join:2000-07-30
Washington, DC
kudos:2
reply to AVD

All y'all probably can breathe a little easier.

»Re: Sandy / Frankenstorm



Packeteers
Premium
join:2005-06-18
Forest Hills, NY
kudos:1
Reviews:
·Time Warner Cable

1 edit
reply to AVD

a cool tracking map i just found that updates in realtime so you can
keep it loaded on your screen to keep scaring the crap out of you

»www.weather.com/weather/hurrican···er/sandy

my building is really nervous cause we are a low lying valley of the
Yellowstone blvd riverbed, and have scaffolding on many buildings.

even though the hurricane may make landfall well south of NYC,
it's the convergence of 2 other storms that has many worried.



AVD
Respice, Adspice, Prospice
Premium
join:2003-02-06
Onion, NJ
kudos:1
reply to DC DSL

said by DC DSL:

All y'all probably can breathe a little easier.

»Re: Sandy / Frankenstorm

we would if we lived in DC. A hit near Atlantic city will cause a tremendous storm surge. This would inundate Manhattan
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DC DSL
There's a reason I'm Command.
Premium
join:2000-07-30
Washington, DC
kudos:2

A strong Cat 2 or Cat 3 could cause a "tremendous" storm surge. Not a moderate to weak Cat 1 that Sandy's expected to be at landfall. And if you look at my graphic, landfall is presently favored in central to southern Delaware, or Maryland from Ocean City to the VA line.
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Straphanger
Express is Back
Premium,Mod
join:2001-12-08
Whitestone, NY
kudos:2

The issue is that we'll be in the NE quadrant with a southern landfall. This would lead to gale force winds out of the SE, pushing a lot of water directly towards the Jersey Shore and the south shore of LI. Coupled with the astronomical high tide, Sandy has a much higher storm surge potential than 4-5' we saw with Irene. It may not be the the 10-14' that some news outlets predict but it'll still be higher and in my estimation, will cause greater coastal flooding than what we saw last year.
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DC DSL
There's a reason I'm Command.
Premium
join:2000-07-30
Washington, DC
kudos:2

The 6PM forecasts here were saying it may well be a TS by the time it clears Hatteras. If it remains on or close the currently preferred track (landfall along the central Delmarva) y'all up there likely won't get more than a 4-6' surge into Delaware Bay and western LI...if that. The front that's approaching from the west will drag the storm and the attendant wind field westward before it can stoke the sea sufficiently for serious flooding up there.

Of course, this all goes out the window if the track changes back to the earlier predictions for more northerly landfall.
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"Dance like the photo isn't being tagged; love like you've never been unfriended; and tweet like nobody is following."



AVD
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Onion, NJ
kudos:1

said by DC DSL:

Of course, this all goes out the window if the track changes back to the earlier predictions for more northerly landfall.

The last I heard is landfall on the Jersey Shore. The NY Harbor basin will amplify the storm surge. It can be higher than predicted. Last year Manhattan was spared by inches, a foot higher than last time will be disastrous for the City and Wall Street.
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AVD
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Premium
join:2003-02-06
Onion, NJ
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I think this is public (image is in realtime)




how to read: »www.nws.noaa.gov/mdl/etsurge/

(your tax dollars at work)
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AVD
Respice, Adspice, Prospice
Premium
join:2003-02-06
Onion, NJ
kudos:1

»www.nhc.noaa.gov/refresh/graphic···contents

latest update is landfall in Cape May sometime Monday (if I read it right)
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DC DSL
There's a reason I'm Command.
Premium
join:2000-07-30
Washington, DC
kudos:2
reply to AVD

Re: She's coming

OK. Now all y'all need to start really panicking.



Packeteers
Premium
join:2005-06-18
Forest Hills, NY
kudos:1
Reviews:
·Time Warner Cable

4 edits

seems over at reddit posters love to stir the pot;
»www.reddit.com/r/sysadmin/commen···/c6s6gye
again, it's not Sandy but those other storms and
where and how they will converge that matters

Honestly I don't care about this storm - only my electricity.
i purposely moved to an urban area with underground power,
so when the juice fails, I'm like; WTF is wrong with this city.
one of the many things that sucks about apartment living,
you can't use your own gas powered electric generator



Archivis
Your Daddy
Premium
join:2001-11-26
Earth
kudos:19

Is this guy for real?

Expand your moderator at work


Annmarie
Lillian
join:2000-11-11
kudos:5
reply to AVD

Re: She's coming

We still have the old fashioned mechanical booths here !
LOL!

I worry about the trees.
Huge oak trees all around my home.

I was told by the man who trims the dead wood for me that they will be here long after we are gone but I am still concerned not so much for flooding.

We are very high up on a hill in the almost dead center of the Island.

Large branches falling on the wires - that will be an issue.
And stupid neighbors who do not secure things on their property.

How hard is it to bring in a patio chair so it does not smash a window?

I lived on the south shore of LI one home off the water during Hurricane Gloria and we lost all our trees.

THey were weeping willows which are known for shallow roots though.

9 days no electric and seaweed on the lawn.

The lawns all died from the saltwater but no one was hurt.

The National Guard came with bull horns and we had to evacuate which we had already planned to do.

Not a drop of water in the house.
That was the days of LILCo.
I remember crews came up from Georgia to help restore electric to some places.
--
Expecting the world to treat you fairly because you are good is like expecting the bull not to charge because you are a vegetarian.



Packeteers
Premium
join:2005-06-18
Forest Hills, NY
kudos:1
Reviews:
·Time Warner Cable

4 edits

I feel you... thankfully here in Northern Queens, whatever trees survived the Tornado we had 2 years ago, aren't going anywhere now I'm nervous about all the temporary scaffolding the brick masons use when refacing a building - like every other block around here has one, and they can easily blow loose and go right through a window. i'm less concerned with this storms intensity as i am of it's duration - we could see a long 36 hours of heavy rain and wind considering all the warm vs cold air energy and humidity factors the convergence of these 3 storms may bring with them as they collide.



DC DSL
There's a reason I'm Command.
Premium
join:2000-07-30
Washington, DC
kudos:2
reply to Annmarie

said by Annmarie:

I lived on the south shore of LI one home off the water during Hurricane Gloria and we lost all our trees.

THey were weeping willows which are known for shallow roots though.

9 days no electric and seaweed on the lawn.

The lawns all died from the saltwater but no one was hurt.

The National Guard came with bull horns and we had to evacuate which we had already planned to do.

Not a drop of water in the house.
That was the days of LILCo.
I remember crews came up from Georgia to help restore electric to some places.

I lived in Stamford when Gloria came through. About 1/2 mile in from the Sound but there was hill between me and there. Everyone kept calling me to get out because it was a low-lying area and they were evacuating that part of town. I stayed put because I doubted that a storm of Gloria's strength could force the Sound up and over a hill. 3 hours or so of strong wind and rain was pretty much all that happened south of the Merritt Parkway from the NY line to just west of Norwalk. Remarkably, the power which was notorious for going out on beautiful, sunny days, stayed on. My friends north of there, though, got clobbered with gazillions of trees and power lines down. A bunch of them emptied their refrigerators and came down to my place that afternoon and we had the mac daddy of all cookouts. Some of them didn't get their power back for 2 weeks. Unfortunately, it didn't thin the ranks of the trillion or so geese that owned Cummings Park.
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"Dance like the photo isn't being tagged; love like you've never been unfriended; and tweet like nobody is following."


Straphanger
Express is Back
Premium,Mod
join:2001-12-08
Whitestone, NY
kudos:2
reply to AVD

The MTA has announced they will be considering another full shut down of service starting 7PM Sunday. They will make a final decision tomorrow but it seems more than likely based on the track of the storm and the long duration nature of it.
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La Luna
RIP Lisa
Premium
join:2001-07-12
Warwick, NY
kudos:3
reply to AVD

I hate this. That is all.



Jackarino
YacCity
Premium
join:2006-12-28
Allendale, NJ
kudos:1
reply to AVD

Prepared for the worst here in North Jersey
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Network Guy
Premium
join:2000-08-25
New York
kudos:2
reply to AVD

Great. I need to drive down to downtown Brooklyn tonight then to move my job's backup hard drive array to a secure location before it hits tomorrow.

Storm day off! Woohooo!!!



squirrel83
cheers

join:2005-05-02
Honolulu, HI
reply to AVD

Just went to see how my local supermarkets were doing and found Key Foods in Astoria to be the lowest on water supplies but other than that Trade Fair and Rite Aid and most others were the norm.. . .




Current east river view




Packeteers
Premium
join:2005-06-18
Forest Hills, NY
kudos:1
reply to AVD

am i the only one who thinks closing the subways is idiotic.

the worst of the storm is monday night into tuesday, and

this storm has not yet turned back inland. damn lawyers.



Annmarie
Lillian
join:2000-11-11
kudos:5

What I find odd is the Mayor is not calling for any evacuation but is shutting mass transit.

And on the other end - I hope Dune Road survives.
I love Dune Road.
And Robert Moses.

There was a time that I would have been stupid enough to head to the beach and watch the waves when I lived near the bridge.
Pretty cool actually. Or so it felt back when I was a teen.
--
Expecting the world to treat you fairly because you are good is like expecting the bull not to charge because you are a vegetarian.



tmpchaos
Requiescat in pace
Co-Lead Mod
join:2000-04-28
Hoboken, NJ
Reviews:
·Optimum Online

1 recommendation

Actually, there is a zone a mandatory evac in place at this point. Here's the map: »project.wnyc.org/news-maps/hurri···nes.html
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