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AVD
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1 edit

She's coming



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Annmarie
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Re: She's comming

Frankenstorm
»io9.com/5955145/[draft]-what-you···cialflow

On my way to the supermarket for this and that.
If I am not back in a couple of hours I was most likely attacked in the milk/bread/egg department.
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AVD
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The doomsday senario for NYC is a direct hit on Atlantic City
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lilhurricane
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reply to AVD
I don't like the way she looks...

Please take care you guys, don't underestimate..be prepared



Archivis
Your Daddy
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Earth
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reply to AVD
My house is sitting right in the path. Tuesday is going to be a fun day.



TrainBuff
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reply to AVD
Even we are in it's path. But downstate will get it worse.
Please be safe everyone.



DC DSL
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reply to AVD
All y'all probably can breathe a little easier.

»Re: Sandy / Frankenstorm



Packeteers
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1 edit

reply to AVD
a cool tracking map i just found that updates in realtime so you can
keep it loaded on your screen to keep scaring the crap out of you

»www.weather.com/weather/hurrican···er/sandy

my building is really nervous cause we are a low lying valley of the
Yellowstone blvd riverbed, and have scaffolding on many buildings.

even though the hurricane may make landfall well south of NYC,
it's the convergence of 2 other storms that has many worried.



AVD
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reply to DC DSL

said by DC DSL:

All y'all probably can breathe a little easier.

»Re: Sandy / Frankenstorm

we would if we lived in DC. A hit near Atlantic city will cause a tremendous storm surge. This would inundate Manhattan
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DC DSL
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A strong Cat 2 or Cat 3 could cause a "tremendous" storm surge. Not a moderate to weak Cat 1 that Sandy's expected to be at landfall. And if you look at my graphic, landfall is presently favored in central to southern Delaware, or Maryland from Ocean City to the VA line.
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Straphanger
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The issue is that we'll be in the NE quadrant with a southern landfall. This would lead to gale force winds out of the SE, pushing a lot of water directly towards the Jersey Shore and the south shore of LI. Coupled with the astronomical high tide, Sandy has a much higher storm surge potential than 4-5' we saw with Irene. It may not be the the 10-14' that some news outlets predict but it'll still be higher and in my estimation, will cause greater coastal flooding than what we saw last year.
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DC DSL
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The 6PM forecasts here were saying it may well be a TS by the time it clears Hatteras. If it remains on or close the currently preferred track (landfall along the central Delmarva) y'all up there likely won't get more than a 4-6' surge into Delaware Bay and western LI...if that. The front that's approaching from the west will drag the storm and the attendant wind field westward before it can stoke the sea sufficiently for serious flooding up there.

Of course, this all goes out the window if the track changes back to the earlier predictions for more northerly landfall.
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AVD
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said by DC DSL:

Of course, this all goes out the window if the track changes back to the earlier predictions for more northerly landfall.

The last I heard is landfall on the Jersey Shore. The NY Harbor basin will amplify the storm surge. It can be higher than predicted. Last year Manhattan was spared by inches, a foot higher than last time will be disastrous for the City and Wall Street.
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AVD
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I think this is public (image is in realtime)




how to read: »www.nws.noaa.gov/mdl/etsurge/

(your tax dollars at work)
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AVD
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»www.nhc.noaa.gov/refresh/graphic···contents

latest update is landfall in Cape May sometime Monday (if I read it right)
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DC DSL
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reply to AVD

Re: She's coming

OK. Now all y'all need to start really panicking.


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4 edits

seems over at reddit posters love to stir the pot;
»www.reddit.com/r/sysadmin/commen···/c6s6gye
again, it's not Sandy but those other storms and
where and how they will converge that matters

Honestly I don't care about this storm - only my electricity.
i purposely moved to an urban area with underground power,
so when the juice fails, I'm like; WTF is wrong with this city.
one of the many things that sucks about apartment living,
you can't use your own gas powered electric generator



Archivis
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Is this guy for real?



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reply to AVD

Re: She's coming

We still have the old fashioned mechanical booths here !
LOL!

I worry about the trees.
Huge oak trees all around my home.

I was told by the man who trims the dead wood for me that they will be here long after we are gone but I am still concerned not so much for flooding.

We are very high up on a hill in the almost dead center of the Island.

Large branches falling on the wires - that will be an issue.
And stupid neighbors who do not secure things on their property.

How hard is it to bring in a patio chair so it does not smash a window?

I lived on the south shore of LI one home off the water during Hurricane Gloria and we lost all our trees.

THey were weeping willows which are known for shallow roots though.

9 days no electric and seaweed on the lawn.

The lawns all died from the saltwater but no one was hurt.

The National Guard came with bull horns and we had to evacuate which we had already planned to do.

Not a drop of water in the house.
That was the days of LILCo.
I remember crews came up from Georgia to help restore electric to some places.
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