Hayward K A R - 1 2 0 CPremium
Key West, FL
said by IIIBradIII: You left out the strongest storm to ever hit the US, the 1935 storm the hit the Keys and wiped out Henry Flagler's Oversea Railroad. (though only all the land stuff, the incredibly well built bridges all stand to this day, they are only deteriorating now because they have not been maintained in 30 years since they built the new highway)
Makes you wonder what kind of dire predictions were made from catastrophic events such as Galveston in 1900 or the Long Island Express in 1938. I'll bet they came up with some good ones then too.
But as to you hypothesis, not they didn't because they didn't really have the historical statistics to draw one. In 1900 official records had only been kept for 25 years (and Galveston not heavily populated much longer), and even in 35 and 38 still fairly little to base things on, especially path history and development, just boom there it was, possibly a record from a ship or two at sea, that was only reported later.