| reply to Kamus
Re: 'I'm Probably Not Going to Leave the House,' Where's my flying car? |
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Kamus
join:2011-01-27
El Paso, TX | Flying cars are not an information technology. Anything that becomes an information technology becomes susceptible to the exponential growth that has been happening very visibly for decades. (it was happening before then too, but too slowly to be that noticeable)
And at this point we don't even need to wait decades to see it. It took decades for personal computers to become mainstream. Smart phones and tablets took only a fraction of that time to become mainstream.
Prices for tablet-like technology will become so cheap in less than a decade that owning one will be about as special as owning a magazine.
I thought people here that consider themselves somewhat "geek" would understand how this works better than your average Joe. Clearly i was wrong.
We've been on the path to an era of information abundance for some time now in case you haven't noticed.
So while predicting things like flying cars, missions to Mars and things like that have proved to be very inaccurate and difficult. It's just simply not the case for information technologies.
Here's an example:
»www.youtube.com/watch?v=OIRZebE8O84
He is pretty much spot on with everything he said, except for the bit where the consoles he talks about turned out to be actually more than just monitors but full fledged computers. However, he is still right since those computers connect to much more powerful ones to get the information he talks about (he's basically predicting Google)
So, be as skeptic as you want when it comes to this. (which boggles the mind since all you have to do is look at were we were 20 years ago and how far we've come)
So i guess you're really going to be shocked when in just 2-3 years you can buy a fully featured 50 dollar tablet.
And objects are already starting to be an information technology. So who knows, that flying car might happen after all. (i won't be holding my breath on that one though) |
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 AVDRespice, Adspice, ProspicePremium
join:2003-02-06
Onion, NJ
kudos:1 | said by Kamus:So i guess you're really going to be shocked when in just 2-3 years you can buy a fully featured 50 dollar tablet.
in 2012 dollars?
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* seek help if having trouble coping
--Standard disclaimers apply.-- |
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Kamus
join:2011-01-27
El Paso, TX | said by AVD:in 2012 dollars?
Sure, here's how you do that:
Go to the bank, and if possible ask for brand new printed dollars (you have to do this before January 2013 of course) That way, you are sure you have 2012 made dollars.
Now, take the brand new 50 dollars you got from the bank and put them in a box (a safe if you have one is preferable)
You then wait 2-3 years for the 50 dollar tablet to come out, at which point you head to the safe and take the 50 dollars you put there and buy your 50 dollar tablet. (tax not included)
If you have any more questions don't hesitate to ask, because as you can see i don't mind answering them no matter how stupid they are or how stupid the person asking it is. (hard to tell which is which, most of the time it's both)
-- Kamus |
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Reviews:
 ·Hargray Cable
| Hmmmm i doubt it $50 in the next few years very well may be devalued by a lot so I wouldn't be putting down bets like that. Federal Reserve is activities trying to devalue the US dollar against world currencies and that could mean a can a coke will cost $50 in the next 5 years.
Also businesses put a floor on how cheap things can be made for, there is a point where it doesn't make sense to bother being in a certain business. $50 Tablet just becomes a generic widget but it's to complicated to get that cheap with a decent resolution, features etc. Plain Jane black and white??/ Probbaly could be done right now but no money to be made in that.
Actually here's one for $129. »www.tigerdirect.com/applications···85-70101 |
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Reviews:
·Hargray Cable
| Oh crap I did some checking real fast and I may be proving myself wrong...LOL. What do you consider a tablet because here is one for $80. »www.amazon.com/PanDigital-72-70F···97011_12
Depending on what you want the $50 tablet may be here for X-mas. |
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 C0deZer0Oc'D To Rhythm And PolicePremium
join:2001-10-03
Tempe, AZ | reply to fifty nine
Re: 'I'm Probably Not Going to Leave the House,' A good number of people on the road now haven't yet mastered two-dimensional terrestrial travel yet.
Or would you really want to witness the first mid-air collision occur? 
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Because, f*ck Sony |
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Kamus
join:2011-01-27
El Paso, TX | reply to Corehhi
Re: Hmmmm i doubt it said by Corehhi: $50 Tablet just becomes a generic widget but it's to complicated to get that cheap with a decent resolution, features etc. Plain Jane black and white??/ Probbaly could be done right now but no money to be made in that.
I did say fully featured. And i didn't say right now, but 2-3 years from now.
What i'm saying is, you can expect a tablet that is probably more powerful than the nexus 7 (or at least on par with it) 2-3 years from now at a 50 dollar price point. And it will probably be thinner and lighter too.
I actually think I'm being rather conservative with my estimate. |
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AVDRespice, Adspice, ProspicePremium
join:2003-02-06
Onion, NJ
kudos:1 | said by Kamus:said by Corehhi: $50 Tablet just becomes a generic widget but it's to complicated to get that cheap with a decent resolution, features etc. Plain Jane black and white??/ Probbaly could be done right now but no money to be made in that.
I did say fully featured. And i didn't say right now, but 2-3 years from now. What i'm saying is, you can expect a tablet that is probably more powerful than the nexus 7 (or at least on par with it) 2-3 years from now at a 50 dollar price point. And it will probably be thinner and lighter too. I actually think I'm being rather conservative with my estimate. never.... even if you factor in inflation. You will see a can of coke for $50 before you see a tablet.
Its not a calculator, after all.
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* seek help if having trouble coping
--Standard disclaimers apply.-- |
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 aaronwtPremium
join:2004-11-07
Woodbridge, VA
 ·Verizon FiOS
| reply to Corehhi
said by Corehhi:Oh crap I did some checking real fast and I may be proving myself wrong...LOL. What do you consider a tablet because here is one for $80. »www.amazon.com/PanDigital-72-70F···97011_12
Depending on what you want the $50 tablet may be here for X-mas.
I bought one of those last year. You get what you pay for. |
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| reply to AVD
Your post is so wrong on so many levels. With our production in China most of our costs are driven up by middle men/comod exchange sellers. However as more people learn to buy from from overseas and bypass the reselling fat cats general prices in the US are starting to drop fast. I bought a 8" tablet with wifi/HSPA for $49 6 months ago direct from China (Android 512k memory 8GB storage). Not super spec but browses web well and plays flash and that was 6 months ago. The estimate of 2-3 years may be even shorter than that. Hell you can get a Raspberry Pi (raspberrypi.org) for $35. Stick that in a cheap Chinese lcd tablet case you have a nice 1080p full computer for $50 now. It will happen. |
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