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AB
Premium
join:2006-04-04
Leesburg, VA
kudos:3
reply to aurgathor

Re: [NFL] Week 17 Games Discussion

said by aurgathor:

Seattle has a better than 90% chance of winning, but San Francisco has a roughly 80% chance of winning,

What sort of math is that?


Rook008
Miles To Go
Premium
join:2002-02-05
Far Rockaway, NY

Arizona at San Francisco
St. Louis at Seattle


wolfy339

join:2005-04-30
Edmonds, WA
reply to AB

said by AB:

said by aurgathor:

Seattle has a better than 90% chance of winning, but San Francisco has a roughly 80% chance of winning,

What sort of math is that?

Put it to you this way, Seattle is a 12 point favorite to win at home while SF is a 16.5 point favorite to win. Bottom line is that I would say the percentages are approximately correct.
--
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capecoddah

join:2005-03-18
Yarmouth Port, MA
kudos:1

1 recommendation

reply to Moorecards

The Frozen Tundra of Foxboro, MA...

Aw, Hell just win.



aurgathor

join:2002-12-01
Lynnwood, WA
kudos:1
reply to AB

said by AB:

said by aurgathor:

Seattle has a better than 90% chance of winning, but San Francisco has a roughly 80% chance of winning,

What sort of math is that?

It's my opinion.
--
Wacky Races 2012!


Rook008
Miles To Go
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join:2002-02-05
Far Rockaway, NY
Reviews:
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·Time Warner Cable
reply to Moorecards

Well, Giants are out.
The Jets were never really in.
Who to root for now?

Right now I'm hoping AP breaks the single-season rushing record.

147 to go with 5:44 to go in the 1st quarter.
--
"Every normal man must be tempted, at times, to spit on his hands, hoist the black flag, and begin to slit throats." - H. L. Mencken



Fishead1
Premium
join:2001-05-08
Bronx, NY

1 recommendation

Redskins.



Rook008
Miles To Go
Premium
join:2002-02-05
Far Rockaway, NY

Yeah, I'd like to see them do some damage in the playoffs.
Also the Seahawks.



Fishead1
Premium
join:2001-05-08
Bronx, NY

Yes definitely the Seahawks.They have been quietly doing it with not much said about them on the sports shows.I think the can go all the way.



rockotman
...Blown On The Steel Breeze
Emerging Research
join:2000-08-06
DSotM
kudos:2
reply to aurgathor

said by aurgathor:

said by AB:

said by aurgathor:

Seattle has a better than 90% chance of winning, but San Francisco has a roughly 80% chance of winning,

What sort of math is that?

It's my opinion.

43.2% of all stats are made up.
--
Shine on you crazy diamond...


aurgathor

join:2002-12-01
Lynnwood, WA
kudos:1

I thought that was only 42.3%, but don't wanna quibble on minor details.

I wish I'd been as right as I was this time during the suicide polls.
--
Wacky Races 2012!



FFH
Premium
join:2002-03-03
Tavistock NJ
kudos:5
reply to Moorecards

Redskins finally get back in playoffs after squeezing out a win against Dallas. And Dallas goes home for the season.



aurgathor

join:2002-12-01
Lynnwood, WA
kudos:1

Too much INTs from Romo...



Harddrive
Proud American and Infidel since 1968.
Premium
join:2000-09-20
DFW
kudos:2
reply to Moorecards

I'm going with HOU, GB, IND, SEA for the win.


The_ANoN

@charter.com

...and everyone left the Skins for dead at 3-6... Their run has been crazy regardless of how far they go in the playoffs.. they have a ton of missing starters on defense..



I AM
Premium
join:2010-04-11
Ephrata, PA
kudos:4
reply to aurgathor

There are few sure things in the NFL. Peyton will make it to the Playoffs. Tom Brady will make it ot the Playoffs. Dallas WILL lose a clinching game in December.



Voxxjin
Made of Hamburger
Premium
join:2010-01-13
Dupont, WA
Reviews:
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reply to aurgathor

said by aurgathor:

Too much INTs from Romo...

Romo fails in the clutch yet again. Yet he continues to be the QB go figure.
--
Cry "Havoc!" and let slip the dogs of war


aurgathor

join:2002-12-01
Lynnwood, WA
kudos:1

1 recommendation

Because there are QBs that even worse than him.... just ask some Jet's fans.



Rook008
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Far Rockaway, NY
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Yeah. Sanchez fails all of the time, we don't worry so much about the clutch situations anymore.

Although there was that situation against the Titans. The Jets inside the Titans 25, down by 4, with about 2 minutes to go. Sanchez throws an interception. His fourth of the game. The Jets defense stops the Titans cold, they punt, badly, to their own 25.
So the Jets have the ball with 45 seconds to go at the Titans 25 yard line, still down by only 4.

Sanchez fumbles the snap, Titans recover, game over, Jets out of the playoffs (which was inevitable, but still).

Things could be worse in Dallas.
--
"Every normal man must be tempted, at times, to spit on his hands, hoist the black flag, and begin to slit throats." - H. L. Mencken



fatness
subtle
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fishing
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reply to Moorecards

Redskins are in the playoffs, and send Dallas home. This is pretty sweet.

By the way, Alfred Morris is pretty good.
--
my pants are parched and thirsty



Harddrive
Proud American and Infidel since 1968.
Premium
join:2000-09-20
DFW
kudos:2

Don't worry. From the Redskins to Philly, the NFC East sucks ass. A once dominating Division of the NFC and of the NFL can barely have any teams with a winning season. If playoffs were based solely on records, they (Washington) would be tied with 4 other shitty teams for the #9 spot.

The Redskins suck.
The Cowboys suck.
The Giants don't know they suck but they do. (How do you screw up the end of the season so bad?)
Philly has always sucked and they know it.
--
"The level of sacrifice that you give is beyond my comprehension. If the rest of us in the Country showed the level sacrifice that you do on a daily basis, we wouldn't have any of the problems we have." – Comedian Lewis Black speaking to the US troops.



fatness
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When did the NFC East steal your toys?

You're not going to find too many people agreeing that the Redskins suck by the way. And the Giants won the Super Bowl last year so there's that.
--
my pants are parched and thirsty



aurgathor

join:2002-12-01
Lynnwood, WA
kudos:1
reply to Harddrive

At least they had teams with winning records. The NFC West set the suck record a little while ago, which may be a little hard to eclipse.
--
Wacky Races 2012!



Harddrive
Proud American and Infidel since 1968.
Premium
join:2000-09-20
DFW
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reply to fatness

I remember when a team played any NFC East team, it was expected that they (the opposing team) were going to lose. Nowadays, lol.

Go Cowboys. (Jerry should fire Romo and sell the team.)



fatness
subtle
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join:2000-11-17
fishing
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reply to aurgathor

said by aurgathor:

At least they had teams with winning records. The NFC West set the suck record a little while ago, which may be a little hard to eclipse.

You mean 2010.



--
my pants are parched and thirsty


FFH
Premium
join:2002-03-03
Tavistock NJ
kudos:5
reply to Harddrive

said by Harddrive:

I remember when a team played any NFC East team, it was expected that they (the opposing team) were going to lose. Nowadays, lol.

»www.nfl.com/standings

Outside the NFC, the NFC East is 8-8 against AFC teams.
Outside the NFC East but within the NFC, the NFC East record is 11-13

So, playing teams outside the NFC East, the NFC East teams record is 19-21.

I don't want to take the effort to check out other divisions, but feel free to see what division did best when playing teams outside their division.
--
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Rook008
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reply to fatness

said by fatness:

Redskins are in the playoffs, and send Dallas home. This is pretty sweet.

By the way, Alfred Morris is pretty good.

Yeah.
Alfred Morris... who?
Alfred Morris 335 rushes for 1600+ yards in his rookie season.
Oh, that Alfred Morris. He's pretty good.
--
"Every normal man must be tempted, at times, to spit on his hands, hoist the black flag, and begin to slit throats." - H. L. Mencken


Rook008
Miles To Go
Premium
join:2002-02-05
Far Rockaway, NY
reply to Harddrive

I disagree with the Redskins and Giants sucking, but I agree about the other two. Mostly because I don't like them at all.



Harddrive
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DFW
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2 edits

1 recommendation

I disagree with your disagreement but still agree with your agreement.




I even predicted their failure back in Sept.




Rook008
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I'll admit, it took me a few seconds to parse that post.

The Giants had a tough schedule and lost 2 of their last 3 games to division-winning teams. I'm not sure why they played like shit (the secondary was always bad, but still) and got blown out both times, but I can understand the losses.
Earlier, the Redskins beat them by 1 point, the Steelers by 4, and Cinci by a bunch (another play-off team).
The Giants also beat up on the 49'ers, Packers, and Saints, so they don't suck.

But screw it, they won it all last season and that's good enough for me. They don't suck. Next season we'll be back.

The 'Skins are in the play-offs and that for me says they don't suck.
Romo's been choking at the end of the year for a while now. It's expected. They suck.
Eagles just suck.

That's my NFC East breakdown.
--
"Every normal man must be tempted, at times, to spit on his hands, hoist the black flag, and begin to slit throats." - H. L. Mencken