Regional Talk → Southeast > [Serious] Tropical Storm Karen Aiming for Gulf Coast

[Serious] Tropical Storm Karen Aiming for Gulf Coast

Wet Weekend?

Re: [Info] Invest 97 in the Caribbean (again)

Just as long as the weather is nice on 10/12, the day I officially come down & become a Southerner!

Also on 10/13, my brother in law is driving down with me & then flying home that day.

It's looking quite impressive for a TD this morning. Very strong convection developing.

Re: [Serious] Tropical Storm Karen Aiming for Gulf Coast

Karen shot the gap this morning and has moved into the Gulf. Conditions along the northern Gulf Coast can be expected to deteriorate today.
As of this moment she is a decent tropical storm. It's hard to tell what she will be as she moves closer to the coast, sat images indicate at the moment her convection is being blown off the center of circulation. If that continues, all the bad weather may end up in the big bend area of Florida while "storm center" hits in Alabama almost unnoticed.

Here a direct link to the sat loop, since is changes twice an hour what you see depends on when you look. As of when I'm typing this it shows Karen taking a beating from the shear out of the South West.
»www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/floater···ong.html

Being on the bad side of it passing we saw very little rain from it. just a few short intense showers.
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Karen still split

As of 9:30 PM Eastern, Karen is still missing her head ( or convection) which is well to the East of the circulation center. If this continues Karen likely will not make much of an impact. Most of the rain will be to the East of the center.

I plan to keep watching, but I don't expect Karen to cause any big problems.

One thing that can happen is for the circulation center to fall apart and reform under the convection area. If that happen the storm could cause some trouble, but that would be to the East (or Right) of the forecasted track.

Karen Ripped apart..

Center of circulation circled in yellow