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bright_eyes
Premium
join:2003-10-06
Cursed Army

reply to ThirdShifter

Re: [OT] General election

for me...
i think PAS is not as strong as they were in 1999.
but i could be wrong....


teh
Gekke Kraai
Premium
join:2003-03-21
Malaysia

Hope you're right, as the government change of old guards to newer "untested" ones I believe this is the chance PAS is waiting for.
--
乌鸦团体



jolmy
The Spring 2004

join:2003-03-20
Malaysia

reply to bright_eyes

said by bright_eyes:
for me...
i think PAS is not as strong as they were in 1999.
but i could be wrong....

My predictions:
Parliament: BN will win 2/3 majority.
Kelantan: PAS will win (question remains whether they can get 2/3)
Terengganu: BN will capture it.
Kedah: BN regains 2/3 majority
All other states: BN retains 2/3 majority.


unitron

join:2003-11-27
Malaysia

Anybody know the population breakdown of Kedah ?



teh
Gekke Kraai
Premium
join:2003-03-21
Malaysia

Rough estimates since I am not sure how old the data is in this details...

quote:

The rice bowl state. The majority of the people are Malay (72%), followed by Chinese (19%) and Indians (8%) with a million plus population. Kedah is Malaysia's oldest state. The ruling family traces its origins to Hindu times, and is the only state that still has ruins from that period.

Full article Here

While the attached picture is from another site with newer info however not breakdown of race.
--
乌鸦团体


unitron

join:2003-11-27
Malaysia

Assuming all in Kedah are eligible to vote and 100% voters turn out.

Most probably the 27% (19+8%) of non-bumis won't vote for PAS. Assuming they vote for BN, then the BN only need to convince 50 % of the Malay to get 2/3 majority.



teh
Gekke Kraai
Premium
join:2003-03-21
Malaysia

What was the countrywide turn out for last election? 60 something percent? or less or heck even higher?
--
乌鸦团体



zeone
Me
Premium
join:2003-04-24
Msia

1 edit

Yup..turnout last election abt 60 over percent only...

Problem is NOT non-bumis voting for PAS but for any other opposition party....eg DAP!
That way, BN lose votes & in consequence mayb seats...:(

Re Kedah State election outcome...doesn't matter as long as PAS NOT get majority!!
We'll all be living in the times of Prophet Mohd (mayb even back 2the Stone Age lo...) should PAS gain ctrl of any state!!:(:(:(
--
Every day is a New Beginning...



soul2soul
Insidious

join:2003-01-13
98100

reply to teh
if majority of people of Kedah wants PAS,i guess we cant stop them right? this is democracy, people cast their ballots... they speak in election.

if PAS gets Kedah, then it's theirs.... but as a malaysian citizen i want a guarantee that the Constitution of Malaysia will be uphold.that if PAS captures the Parliament, they WILL NOT change the constitution.IF they do i tell u Sabah, sarawak will exit the federation of malaysia.



teh
Gekke Kraai
Premium
join:2003-03-21
Malaysia

LOL soul2soul, PAS wants equality among all races under the Islamic teaching and law. They would change the Constitution to show it.
--
乌鸦团体



soul2soul
Insidious

join:2003-01-13
98100

it's begun... the nomination day today...



jolmy
The Spring 2004

join:2003-03-20
Malaysia

1 edit

said by soul2soul:
it's begun... the nomination day today...

Latest news received ...
BN unopposed in:
- 6 parliamentary seats in Sarawak
- 7 parliamentary seats in Sabah
- 1 parliamentary seat in Johor
- 1 state seat in Sabah
- 1 state seat in Perak


madblue
Premium
join:2003-04-19
Malaysia

reply to ThirdShifter
aiya, i still dun have the chance to vote


waryon

join:2003-03-27

reply to ThirdShifter
The 60% turnout ratio is already a quite satisfactory figure. There are lots of people can't vote due to working/studying in other states/overseas. Imaging that your hometown is at Penang but working at KL now, few people will purposely take one day off just to go back and vote, not to mention those at overseas.



jolmy
The Spring 2004

join:2003-03-20
Malaysia

reply to teh

said by teh:
I am sure they do something for the area they won, you seen how bad Jelutong was, it was deteriorating for all the years Kapal was there. The people must have felt betrayed.

Karpal Singh = Titanic (Kapal Sink)


teh
Gekke Kraai
Premium
join:2003-03-21
Malaysia

I seen a lot less Rocket flags this election. I did see some Kapal Singh pics with some Yeoh guy in Farlim.
--
乌鸦团体



bright_eyes
Premium
join:2003-10-06
Cursed Army

reply to ThirdShifter
in my place got lots of BN n PAS flag n poster...
anyway im interested to watch the battle of cheras parliament seat...
DAP conquer it for a long time.....
and this year BN candidate said he will do a lot for cheras people if he win....
one of his promise is to solve the traffic problem in cheras.
i would love to see he win....n fullfill all his promises..
im sick of traffic jam in cheras
--
- I see in your eyes,the same fear that take the heart out of me * a day may come,when the courage of man fails * when we forsake our frens,and break all bond of fellowship but it is not this day * this day,we fight - Aragorn



Zola6
Where Is The Love?

join:2003-11-07

reply to ThirdShifter
I dun think DAP has any chances to win most of the seats. They even fight among themselves, disagree with their own member..... how can't they win if they r not standing together.

Disappointing ler.... DAP these days is not like the DAP BN afraided of 5 or 10 yrs ago ....

--
-- You should do the best, GOD will do the rest. --



teh
Gekke Kraai
Premium
join:2003-03-21
Malaysia

Erm DAP 2 elections ago was looking strong but since last election I seen less & even less DAP flags so I am guess money problems, nobody wants to donate to their cause.
--
乌鸦团体



zeone
Me
Premium
join:2003-04-24
Msia

reply to teh

said by teh:
LOL soul2soul, PAS wants equality among all races under the Islamic teaching and law. They would change the Constitution to show it.

EQUALITY among all races? By PAS?

Guess the Dictionary definition of EQUALITY needs changing /re-defining first!:D
--
Every day is a New Beginning...
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