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JPCass

join:2001-01-23
Denver, CO

reply to MacGyver
Re: wouldn't it be nice

said by MacGyver See Profile :

it's almost worse than gambling in Vegas.
With the emphasis worse than gambling.....that big winner will never be big enough to make up for all the losses along the way.

Unless you're Warren Buffet, just work hard and put the money into either an index fund, or a growth fund with a really good track record.

I find it interesting that recent research has shown that the human brain is so wired for finding patterns, that it has a slight bias towards seeing patterns where there is only randomness. And the brain is also biased towards remembering strategies and events that were successful, and slightly downplaying ones that weren't. This explains why people are likely to perceive that their stock trading strategy is getting them ahead, when it's only running average, or worse; and why they can mis-perceive that their wins aren't counterbalancing their losses.
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