Primis1
join:2005-06-13
Coldwater, MI
| reply to Karl Bode
Re: Well...
said by Karl Bode  :Either way the traditional video model is in trouble. Indie producers will become big-time producers, and customers will drift away from traditional TV if the content is there. Aside from pure conjecture and speculation, has there been ANY evidence to back this up, Karl? What exactly is going to spark this great shift, and move people to it?
OnDemand and DVR's seem to be pretty popular with people and I don't see any crying out for a shift away from it. And your cablecos and dish providers are well in control of those already. These things have already given the end user more control over what they watch and when.
Nor do I see people spending hours and hours on YouTube -- they digets things in bite-sized 5-minute increments usually. There's really nothing stopping a cableco from offering their own YouTube-ish servcie through OnDemand, which then renders anything else irrelevant.
It seems like a pretty poor plan if you're banking on everything panning out just so, because there's simply no evidence anyone does really want it... |
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Karl Bode
News Guy
join:2000-03-02
Host:
Road Runner
PC gaming GAMES
PC gaming Tech
| quote:
Aside from pure conjecture and speculation, has there been ANY evidence to back this up, Karl?
I'm working on a time-machine to show the doubters what the future looks like, but there's some hangups with the flux capacitor.
Who can deny that broadband video poses a future threat to a closed broadcast network and traditional TV other than myopic cable industry insiders? Are you kidding?
Mountains of bandwidth and millions of broadband users? It doesn't take a prophet to figure out the traditional distribution methods will have their hands full. quote:
OnDemand and DVR's seem to be pretty popular with people and I don't see any crying out for a shift away from it.
Yes. Right now when the vast majority of Americans have 3Mbps or connections (or none), and some 45% still like dial-up....which is also the reason YouTube is only offering "bite sized" video.
This is much, much bigger than YouTube.
Are we really this incapable of seeing the big picture here and looking down the road five years? |
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