EnasYorl
Thieves World
join:2001-12-02
West
 ·Verizon Online DSL
| BS numbers
$45 million over 10 years. No way.
Okay lets break it down. Most markets are lucky to get %50 percent penetration.
So 20,000 homes/2= 10,000 customers let say they get these all in the 1st year.
Most people will be in the lower two tiers so lets say Average cash per month per sub is $40 bucks a month or $480/yr.
10,000x $480= $4,800,000 and we've not taken out ANY operating costs yet.
So we are at $48 million in cash over 10 years. Now lets start taking out costs.
A OC-3 (155mbps) to a peer point averages $5000.00/mon or $60,000 a year.
I'm assuming they'll need something allot larger. We'll say they might get buy with a OC-12 (622Mbps) for $18,000/month or $216,000 a year which is $2.16 million for 10 years.
Let say it takes 40 employee's to run this
a low ball on cost per hour with benefits, vehicles etc is about $50/hr so 2000 man hours x 2080 work hr a year no OverTime in this figure.
we get $4.1 million a year
So $4.8 Million - 2.16 million in circuits -$4.1 laber/benefits comes to a LOSS of 2.8 Million a year for 10 years.
We didn't even talk about building space, power costs, vehicle maint, splicing damage fibers from being dug up, etc etc.
Bottom line the numbers are crap. |
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squid7
Premium
join:2006-09-02 | You're shocked that the gov't lies about exaggerates the greatness of a gov't program? |
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GOLFnSUN
Enjoy the sun
Premium
join:2002-03-03
Avalon, NJ
 ·Sprint Mobile Broa..
 ·Comcast
1 edit | reply to EnasYorl
said by EnasYorl  :$45 million over 10 years. No way. So $4.8 Million - 2.16 million in circuits -$4.1 laber/benefits comes to a LOSS of 2.8 Million a year for 10 years. We didn't even talk about building space, power costs, vehicle maint, splicing damage fibers from being dug up, etc etc. Bottom line the numbers are crap. Nice analysis. 
But don't worry, the city taxpayers will pick up the difference when the bonds come due and the city has to raise taxes to pay them off or replace them with new bond offerings.
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squid7
Premium
join:2006-09-02
1 edit | If the OCTA can double the toll rate in just 3 years what took the previous private toll operator 10 years to get to, certainly Loma Linda can do the same with their charges.
Or they could just mandate that every resident and company buy it, just as they're planning to have every builder paying for installing it. |
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bmn
? ? ?
Premium,ExMod 2003-06
join:2001-03-15
hiatus
| reply to EnasYorl
said by EnasYorl :Bottom line the numbers are crap. Sounds like a play right out of a telco playbook...
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