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<title>Weather forum - dslreports.com community</title>
<link>http://www.dslreports.com/forum/weather</link>
<description>Weather forum current topics</description>
<language>en</language>
<copyright>Copyright 2007, dslreports.com</copyright>
<pubDate>Wed, 15 Oct 2008 21:03:22 EDT</pubDate>
<lastBuildDate>Wed, 15 Oct 2008 21:03:22 EDT</lastBuildDate>

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<item>
<title>Hurricane Omar</title>
<link>http://www.dslreports.com/forum/remark,21265481</link>
<description><![CDATA[ &#9; &#9;
&#9;  &#9;
 
Statement as of 11:00 am EDT on October 14, 2008

 
satellite and radar data indicate the depression has continued to
become better organized and cloud tops have cooled significantly
with some tops to -86c near the center. Outflow has also improved
in all quadrants and is less restricted to the northwest now. The
initial advisory of 35 kt is based on a consensus t2.5/35 kt
satellite estimate from TAFB and SAB for the past 12 hours...plus
several believable 30-34 kt Quikscat wind vectors noted in the
northwest quadrant around 1036z this morning. Thus...Tropical
Depression Fifteen has been upgraded to Tropical Storm Omar.

The initial motion estimate is 115/02. Omar has been drifting south
to southeastward the past 12 hours...and currently shows no sign of
changing that motion. However...all of the available model guidance
indicates that a broad deep mid-latitude trough over the central
and western Atlantic will continue to drop southward and gradually
pick up Omar and nudge it to the east during the next 12 hours...
and then accelerate it to the northeast after that. The latest
trend in water vapor imagery supports this scenario as a piece of
shortwave energy along 70w longitude can be seen digging due south.
NHC model guidance is tightly clustered cross-wise...but there are
significant differences in the forward speed and just how soon Omar
gets picked up by the aforementioned trough. The official forecast
track has been shifted to the east or right of the previous track
...Mainly due to the more eastward initial position...but not as far
east or as fast as the model consensus.

Recent development of a CDO-like area of central deep convection
suggests that Omar may be starting a period of rapid strengthening.
In addition...a large mass of convection in the eastern semicircle
that has been disrupting inflow into the circulation center has
weakened considerably...which should allow for more convective
forcing to occur near the low-level center. The improving outflow
pattern and a forecast of decreasing vertical wind shear of less
than 10 kt for the next 24 hours further supports a forecast of
steady intensification of at least one T-number per day for the
next 24 hours. After that...southwesterly vertical wind shear ahead
of the large mid-latitude trough is expected to increase to greater
than 20 kt...so the intensification trend should slow down by day 2
and beyond. The official intensity forecast is similar to the
previous advisory and is a blend of the SHIPS...GFDL...and HWRF
models.
--
http://www.insidetheie.com/ 
http://earthlogii.blogspot.com/
http://vietaffairsvets.blogspot.com/
http://earthlogwxlinks-theghostpainter.blogspot.com/
Why is it that people who never pay attention to the weather are always the first to complain.
]]></description>
<guid isPermaLink="true">http://www.dslreports.com/forum/remark,21265481</guid>
<pubDate>2008-10-14 15:19:51</pubDate>
</item>

<item>
<title>Space Weather Alert: Sunspot Alert</title>
<link>http://www.dslreports.com/forum/remark,21254955</link>
<description><![CDATA[NEW SUNSPOT:  A  "new-cycle" sunspot belonging to Solar Cycle 24 is emerging near the sun's northeastern limb. This is the third time in as many weeks that a new-cycle sunspot has interrupted the year's remarkable run of blank suns.  The accelerating pace of new-cycle sunspot production is an encouraging sign that, while solar activity remains very low, the sunspot cycle is unfolding more or less normally.  We are not stuck in a permanent solar minimum.  Readers with solar telescopes should train them on the sun this weekend to observe sunspot genesis in action.

AURORA WATCH:  Sky watchers from Alaska to Scandinavia should be alert for auroras tonight.  A solar wind stream is buffeting Earth's magnetic field and causing high-latitude geomagnetic storms.

Visit http://spaceweather.com for images and updates.
--
http://www.insidetheie.com/ 
http://earthlogii.blogspot.com/
http://vietaffairsvets.blogspot.com/
http://earthlogwxlinks-theghostpainter.blogspot.com/
Why is it that people who never pay attention to the weather are always the first to complain.
]]></description>
<guid isPermaLink="true">http://www.dslreports.com/forum/remark,21254955</guid>
<pubDate>2008-10-12 14:18:43</pubDate>
</item>

<item>
<title>First Santa Ana Wind Event Declared by OWS</title>
<link>http://www.dslreports.com/forum/remark,21223403</link>
<description><![CDATA[CORONA, CA - October 6, 2008 (OWSweather.com) The Santa Ana Winds are regional dry offshore winds that bring fire dangers, gusty conditions, and very dry air into the populated areas of Southern California.

Forecasters at the Ontario Weather Service in Southern California are forecasting a potent Santa Ana Wind event this weekend.  If everything falls into place, this event would reach the magnitude of last years October Santa Ana event.  Meteorologist Kevin Martin of OWSweather opened a Santa Ana Wind forecast center.  It is the first and only official center for the regional winds.  Hundreds of fire officials from all over are quickly understanding the center's use and supplying their departments advanced warning.

Since September 24, 2008, Martin has been emailing, and chatting on the phone with officials about the coming Santa Ana condition.  "Now is the time to prepare if you live in these prone areas, "Martin said.  "and we have been warning ones who listen to OWSweather since September 24th this was coming at this time.  We do not do this for our health.  We expect to be taken seriously when wording is out on the event."

The OWS also has a Heat Advisory out for Tuesday and Wednesday of this week for the Ventura County Valleys.  Temperatures are expected to be back in heatwave levels with near or at triple digit temperatures being recorded.

Martin sees this as major problem.  "A heat wave before the Santa Ana Wind event is never helpful, "Martin explained.  "The hot and dry air will further dry out the brush, thus elevating fire dangers when the Santa Ana arrives this weekend.  We aren't looking too good if this pattern continues.  In my rainy season forecast I did mention two strong offshore flow events.  This is just one of them.  We will have to deal with another on a similar scale before the above average rainfall pattern finally debarks."

Martin will be on more emails and calls to try to get this word out.  It would severely help if a reporter or official in fire to get a hold of OWSweather and take action to talk with and publish the OWSweather forecast to a larger number of people.  The word must get out.  The service is working with FireInformation.com, a resource for fire information in Southern California, in getting the word out.

The Santa Ana Wind Forecast Center (SAWFC) will be open for the event.  OWSweather has new watches out this year.  Those watches aren't wind advisory watches like other weather agencies.  OWSweather has coined the new watches after the winds they derive from.  Santa Ana Wind watches and warnings will be issued for this event if the pattern stays this way.

OWSweather.com Staff

More information: www.OWSweather.com
Press Release Static URL: http://www.owsweather.com/pr100608a.html]]></description>
<guid isPermaLink="true">http://www.dslreports.com/forum/remark,21223403</guid>
<pubDate>2008-10-06 13:56:33</pubDate>
</item>

<item>
<title>Invest 90 forms in Eastern Atlantic</title>
<link>http://www.dslreports.com/forum/remark,21265511</link>
<description><![CDATA[Invest 90...]]></description>
<guid isPermaLink="true">http://www.dslreports.com/forum/remark,21265511</guid>
<pubDate>2008-10-14 15:24:12</pubDate>
</item>

<item>
<title>Tropical Depression 15</title>
<link>http://www.dslreports.com/forum/remark,21258525</link>
<description><![CDATA[WTNT35 KNHC 131440
TCPAT5
BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIFTEEN ADVISORY NUMBER   1
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL152008
1100 AM AST MON OCT 13 2008
...NEW TROPICAL DEPRESSION FORMS OVER THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN SEA...

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH COULD BE REQUIRED FOR PUERTO RICO AND THE
U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS LATER TODAY.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AT 1100 AM AST...1500Z...THE CENTER OF NEWLY FORMED TROPICAL
DEPRESSION FIFTEEN WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 14.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE
69.6 WEST OR ABOUT 340 MILES...545 KM...SOUTHWEST OF SAN JUAN
PUERTO RICO AND ABOUT 175 MILES...285 KM...NORTH-NORTHWEST OF
CURACAO.

THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 2 MPH...3 KM/HR.
LITTLE SIGNIFICANT MOTION IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 24 TO 36
HOURS...HOWEVER...A NORTHEASTWARD MOTION IS FORECAST TO BEGIN ON
WEDNESDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST AND THE DEPRESSION COULD
BECOME A TROPICAL STORM LATER TODAY. AN AIR FORCE PLANE IS
SCHEDULED TO REACH THE DEPRESSION LATER TODAY.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1005 MB...29.68 INCHES.
THIS IS A LARGE DEPRESSION AND BANDS OF HEAVY RAINS WILL LIKELY
SPREAD OVER PUERTO RICO AND THE VIRGIN ISLANDS TODAY.

REPEATING THE 1100 AM AST POSITION...14.8 N...69.6 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTHWEST NEAR 2 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
500 PM AST.

$$
FORECASTER AVILA
--
Sriram Satish
Comcast of NJ II sucks. Period.
25 HD channels compared to the average 32 or so.]]></description>
<guid isPermaLink="true">http://www.dslreports.com/forum/remark,21258525</guid>
<pubDate>2008-10-13 11:21:59</pubDate>
</item>

<item>
<title>Tropical Depression Nana</title>
<link>http://www.dslreports.com/forum/remark,21255564</link>
<description><![CDATA[WTNT34 KNHC 122047
TCPAT4
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM NANA ADVISORY NUMBER   1
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL142008
500 PM EDT SUN OCT 12 2008
...NEW TROPICAL STORM FORMS IN THE EASTERN ATLANTIC...

AT 500 PM EDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM NANA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 16.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 37.9 WEST OR ABOUT 925
MILES...1485 KM...WEST OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS.

NANA IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 7 MPH...11 KM/HR...AND
THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 40 MPH...65 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  WEAKENING IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO...AND NANA
IS FORECAST TO BECOME A TROPICAL DEPRESSION TONIGHT OR MONDAY.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 85 MILES...140 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1005 MB...29.68 INCHES.

REPEATING THE 500 PM EDT POSITION...16.4 N...37.9 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 7 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40
MPH.  MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
1100 PM EDT.

$$
FORECASTER BROWN
--
Sriram Satish
Comcast of NJ II sucks. Period.
25 HD channels compared to the average 32 or so.]]></description>
<guid isPermaLink="true">http://www.dslreports.com/forum/remark,21255564</guid>
<pubDate>2008-10-12 17:15:20</pubDate>
</item>

<item>
<title>Major Snow Storm Heads for Colorado Rockies</title>
<link>http://www.dslreports.com/forum/remark,21241573</link>
<description><![CDATA[A clash of air masses and powerful jet stream winds will trigger a massive storm over the West Friday and Saturday. The storm will contain all the usual nasty elements including a cold rain, heavy snow and very strong winds. The impacts of this storm will be far reaching extending from the Southwest all the way to the Prairies of Canada. An interesting sidelight is that Hurricane Norbert's moisture is likely to get involved later in the forecast period which could produce a band of heavy rain from eastern New Mexico into the central Plains.
--
http://www.insidetheie.com/ 
http://earthlogii.blogspot.com/
http://vietaffairsvets.blogspot.com/
http://earthlogwxlinks-theghostpainter.blogspot.com/
Why is it that people who never pay attention to the weather are always the first to complain.
]]></description>
<guid isPermaLink="true">http://www.dslreports.com/forum/remark,21241573</guid>
<pubDate>2008-10-09 16:18:22</pubDate>
</item>

<item>
<title>[Info] 6.0 EQ in Pureto Rico</title>
<link>http://www.dslreports.com/forum/remark,21250033</link>
<description><![CDATA[At 6:40 AM Atlantic Standard Time on October 11, an earthquake with preliminary magnitude 6.0 occurred 85 miles/137 Km northeast of Fajardo, Puerto Rico. 
Latitude:  19.284 Longitude:  -64.83

Based on the earthquake location and magnitude, a widespread damaging tsunami IS NOT expected along the Puerto Rico, Virgin Islands, U.S. Atlantic, Eastern Canadian and Gulf of Mexico coasts. Some of these areas may experience non-damaging sea level changes. At coastal locations which have experienced strong ground shaking, local tsunamis are possible due to underwater landslides.]]></description>
<guid isPermaLink="true">http://www.dslreports.com/forum/remark,21250033</guid>
<pubDate>2008-10-11 07:15:54</pubDate>
</item>

<item>
<title>Red Flag Conditions in Nor Cal</title>
<link>http://www.dslreports.com/forum/remark,21240275</link>
<description><![CDATA[Red Flag Fire conditions forecast for today and tomorrow.

Locally, NW winds are gusting to 25MPH already, with 30+ MPH gusts in the forecast.

http://www.wrh.noaa.gov/sto/
--
We were taking a vote when the ground came up and hit us.]]></description>
<guid isPermaLink="true">http://www.dslreports.com/forum/remark,21240275</guid>
<pubDate>2008-10-09 12:37:51</pubDate>
</item>

<item>
<title>Cat 3 Hurricane Norbert Could Impact Southwest.</title>
<link>http://www.dslreports.com/forum/remark,21234118</link>
<description><![CDATA[[att=1,l]Hurricane Norbert Advisory Number 19
Nws Tpc/National Hurricane Center Miami Fl Ep152008
800 Am Pdt Wed Oct 08 2008

...Norbert Strengthens Even More...

Interests In The Southern Baja California Peninsula Should Monitor
The Progress Of Norbert.

For Storm Information Specific To Your Area...Including Possible
Inland Watches And Warnings...Please Monitor Products Issued
By Your Local Weather Office.

At 800 Am Pdt...1500Z...The Center Of Hurricane Norbert Was Located
Near Latitude 16.3 North...Longitude 110.6 West Or About 460 Miles
...740 Km...South Of The Southern Tip Of Baja California.

Norbert Is Moving Toward The West-Northwest Near 9 Mph...15
Km/Hr...And This General Motion Is Expected To Continue Today And
Tonight. A Turn Toward The Northwest Is Forecast Thursday Followed
By A Turn Toward The North Thursday Night And Friday. 

Maximum Sustained Winds Have Increased To Near 125 Mph...205
Km/Hr...With Higher Gusts. Norbert Is A Category Three Hurricane
On The Saffir-Simpson Scale. Fluctuations In Strength Are Possible
During The Next Day Or So But Norbert Is Expected To Remain A Major
Hurricane During The Next 48 Hours. 

Hurricane Force Winds Extend Outward Up To 30 Miles...45 Km...From
The Center...And Tropical Storm Force Winds Extend Outward Up To 115
Miles...185 Km.

The Estimated Minimum Central Pressure Is 952 Mb...28.11 Inches.

Repeating The 800 Am Pdt Position...16.3 N...110.6 W. Movement
Toward...West-Northwest Near 9 Mph. Maximum Sustained Winds...125
Mph. Minimum Central Pressure...952 Mb.

The Next Advisory Will Be Issued By The National Hurricane Center At
200 Pm Pdt.

$$
Forecaster Rhome
--
http://www.insidetheie.com/ 
http://earthlogii.blogspot.com/
http://vietaffairsvets.blogspot.com/
http://earthlogwxlinks-theghostpainter.blogspot.com/
Why is it that people who never pay attention to the weather are always the first to complain.
]]></description>
<guid isPermaLink="true">http://www.dslreports.com/forum/remark,21234118</guid>
<pubDate>2008-10-08 11:13:57</pubDate>
</item>

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