According to a new pay report by Parks Associates, 33 million of the nation's 300,500,000 residents will have access to 10Mbps broadband by 2012. The group also breaks down market ownership among the largest broadband providers, noting that Comcast controls 22% of the market to AT&T and Verizon's 21% and 13% respectively.
Obviously the majority of customers will be somewhere around 3-7Mbps -- and the FCC's official classification of what constitutes broadband remains a paltry 200kbps. While the report cites optimistic growth and an increase in competition among well-served areas, the group does issue a warning in their press release:
quote:"If high-bandwidth broadband services fail to reach mass-market consumers, the United States may lose its competitive edge in the next round of technology innovation," says analyst Yuanzhe Cai. "Such a scenario would be unpleasant."
Not fire ants in your trousers unpleasant, but unpleasant indeed. Many next-generation deployments are going to probably stop at between 40-50% of ISP footprints, as the providers run into the statistical wall where their number crunchers inform them it's no longer profitable to proceed (aka many third-tier cities and rural America).