dadkinsCan you do Blu?Premium,MVM
|reply to dynodb |
Re: Could they be more vague?
said by dynodb:I think that was a typo... it should be Toilette & Douche!
The linked Deloitte & Touche "prediction" has about as many specifics and supporting evidence as does your daily horoscope. Their entire evidence-free arguement can be summed up in one sentence: "Bandwidth demand will increase and we don't think providers will increase capacity because it's too expensive.".
No statistics, no cost analysis, no historical examples- nothing with which to back up their prediction. If that's how they operate, I wouldn't trust Deloitte & Touche to advise me on a $2 bet at the race track much less a multi-billion dollar company.
Maybe they have a more detailed analysis elsewhere, but the linked "prediction" looked like little more than an uninformed guess.
Think outside the Fox... Opera
|reply to ronpin |
Re: You smell that?
It is simple economics and has nothing to do with fiber capacity. For X amount of bandwidth you still need X amount of silicon hardware to route and push the bits out interfaces. That hardware requires large amounts of capital investment.
The problem has more to do with the state of broadband price warfare. Carriers keep lowering their broadband prices while the cost/Mbps of data is not lowering at the same rate. The margins become so thin and non-existent that the providers cry poor. You'd think that the motto they are all living by is "He who dies with the most subscribers wins".
Ignorance is temporary...stupidity lasts forever!
|reply to kapil |
Re: Carriers are integrating for cost containment
Err... places like (South) Korea have issues like a total inability to use anything other than a Windows PC on the internet, thanks to government meddling.
Yay for government meddling!
BTW, I can and do get dialtone through Cavalier. So here's another bit of anecdotal evidence of competition. Why don't we ever hear the liberals (by the way, I'm not a "neocon" but what you might call a "conservative") complain about the small ILECs who are complete, total monopolies and who have offered totally inferior services to Verizon for decades? My dad has no choice of a phone company in central NY (I forget the company) and has always had audible noise on the line and 24K modem connections. No DSL, no ISDN for that matter.
Why is "big government" okay but "big corporations" are evil?
Network providers sell bandwidth
Why would they want to control supply and limit investment?
Simple, if you limit supply in a growing demand market, prices will skyrocket. Can you say Enron?
This is just a political ploy against net neutrality and market control at it's worst. All the telecom mergers streamlined by the FCC are are now working at full value.
Deloitte has no clue how the ISP business works.
If End User is not getting bandwidth he expects from his pipe, he will complain to his ISP. If ISP is oversold he will get another pipe to upstream provider. If upstream provider is running short on capacity, he will add capacity to the backbone. If backbone is getting congested the backbone provider will add additional pipes to peering partners.
If the providers don't add capacity they will lose business to someone who will.
There is not going to be some Fios-like expansion campaign where the upstream providers and backbones go on a building spree (they did that in the 90's) ....the growth is going to be more organic.
The capacity is added constantly as needed and will continue to be added as needed. Backbone providers are sitting on more dark fiber than God and it can be lit when the need arises.
The more serious problem will occur when the machines that route the traffic become inefficient at handling such large amounts of traffic...but I have faith in cisco, redback, juniper, nortel...they will just dream up ever more powerful routers.
Reports pertaining to technical issues shouldn't be written by bean-counters that need help signing on to AOL or can't get on the Interweb without a call to their helpful IT person at work.
that's the biggest load of crap I've heard in awhile.
backbone upgrades should be a normal part of progress, just because people actually use what is available does not = crisis, it means that there are finally services which utilize it for what it's actually worth. welcome to 2007 people, this isn't your grandpa's internet with puny text files and a few jpegs floating around.