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story category Comcast Wireless Rumors Dragging Company Stock
Will Comcast bid on upcoming 700Mhz spectrum?
(old news - 06:33PM Monday Sep 24 2007)
tags: competition · business · wireless · alternatives · Comcast
While Fios's impact on Comcast is negligible so far and the cable operator is taking the industry lead on getting DOCSIS 3.0 deployed, the company's stock has taken a beating this quarter -- down 16%. Barron's notes that investors seem to think satellite & telcoTV are going to win the war, though one noteable Wall Street analyst says investors have been seriously over-estimating the telcoTV impact on the cable industry's bottom line.

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Investors also seem to be ignoring Comcast's domination of the VoIP sector, and the fact they've added three million VoIP customers in just two years. One possible explanation for investor nerves (aside from the possibility investors often don't know what they're talking about) is buried in Barron's analysis:
Moffett says another factor weighing on the stock was a rumor that the company might bid in the upcoming FCC auction for 700-megahertz wireless radio spectrum. The theory is that Comcast would like to add a fourth service to its current triple play package of cable, broadband and voice services -- wireless -- and that the costs of building out a new wireless network would be huge, chewing up most of Comcast's free cash flow for years to come.
We've noticed that both Comcast and Sprint have been grumbling about their co-branded Pivot wireless service -- which for $15-$25 on top of a traditional Sprint mobile phone plan will net cable customers mobile video content, email access and web browsing. Comcast's CEO has hinted that there's limited consumer interest, while Sprint has complained that the cable operators aren't pushing the service very hard.

Will Comcast bid on the precious upcoming 700Mhz spectrum and create their own wireless broadband offering? Moffett notes that the cable industry may not need more, since (with Sprint) they just acquired $2.4 billion worth of spectrum -- enough to become the industry's fifth largest wireless carrier. But it seems like somebody (Sprint, Comcast, aunt Ethel) needs to team up with the highly interested Google and create a wireless supersystem to do battle with incumbent 3G offerings.

Related:
  1. Cox Will Bid In 700Mhz Auction
  2. Cable Industry Jumps Into White Space Fight
  3. Should Comcast Just Buy Sprint?
  4. AT&T Network Can't Handle Slingbox For iPhone?
  5. Clearwire: We're Not Aiming To Unseat Telcos
  6. Motorola Androids To Hit T-Mobile, Verizon
  7. Comcast Unveils Mobile WiMax Service
  8. Verizon: Cut Your Landline To Save Money
Forums » Comcast Wireless Rumors Dragging Company Stock
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en102
Canadian, eh?

join:2001-01-26
Valencia, CA
·RoadRunner Cable
·DSL EXTREME


1 edit

Only on price

quote:
Barron's notes that investors seem to think satellite & telcoTV are going to win the war, though one noteable Wall Street analyst says investors have been seriously over-estimating the telcoTV impact on the cable industry's bottom line.
The only place where Telco is going to impact Comcast is on price. Comcast has traditionally been too expensive, IMO.
While some argue that their cost/mbps is cheap... their overall packages are expensive.

On a 'good' news portion
quote:
Moffett also notes that Comcast's broadband service continues to rapidly gain ground at the expenses of the Bell's: cable's share of residential broadband net subscriber additions is up to 54%, from 49% a year ago.
--
Canada = Hollywood North

S_engineer

join:2007-05-16
Chicago, IL
·Comcast

Re: Only on price

but the bad news......
most markets are saturated, people who want it have it. Comcast has expanded their Voip and will continue to do so, but their arrogance with pricing is a big turn off. They need something to compete for the future. It's a gamble that may or may not pay off, but it won't make any investors happy!

disclaimer: I have comcast, and I hate it. Speeds are great when they work, but I lost alot of time making comcast do what I was actually paying for!
--
Burn a tire, but make sure you buy that carbon offset!

Wake up

@verizon.net

Missed the boat!!!

Wow you now sell something that no one has a use for(dial tone),just like the cable company day late and a buck short..
Adding dial tone and all the other debt that Comast is carrying around no wonder their stock is down.And now it's time for another upgrade,( only in areas where there is fios)wow they are on a one way trip to the bottom.
By the way comcast went out and bought up cable systems around the country.Verizon is replacing it's network big difference.
Tim2
Premium
join:2006-06-19

Interesting

Landlines will be around for a long time to come. You can't build a company on them any more, but as part of a triple play, they're okay.

Google and Comcast together... I hold a relatively small amount of Comcast stock, but that pairing would make me rich. Alas, the Roberts' family won't let that happen unless they have to... they don't own a lot of Comcast stock, but they've spent their lives building the company and running it as a family business. They have a history of not playing well with the other children -- does anyone remember the "merger" that created ATT Comcast for broadband? That's one reason why the Sprint deal isn't working out. I don't think there's a person in the world who wants Comcast to buy Sprint, but I still fear it's going to happen, just to give Comcast complete control of a quadruple play.

KoolMoe
Aw Man
Premium
join:2001-02-14
Annapolis, MD
clubs:

1 edit

Re: Interesting


KoolMoe
Aw Man
Premium
join:2001-02-14
Annapolis, MD
clubs:
·Verizon FIOS
·Speakeasy

I absolutely think Sprint is a prime takeover target. I absolutely hope it's not a cable company that grabs 'em, but believe it will be. If nothing else, it'll be an interesting bidding war once it starts.

It would be too smart for Sprint to partner with Google on the 700mhz spectrum. Google's pockets and ingenuity and Sprint's infrastructure... Delicious.

I'd love to see Covad in there too - a bit of networking expertise and a decent client base...

Covad, Google, and Sprint offering most all digital services, except TV (and personally, I think that's the most endangered service), would be a great equalizer in the Tel/CableCo world.
KM

supergirl

join:2007-03-20
Pensacola, FL

Re: Interesting

Covad? Considering how outrageously expensive this already bankrupt once company is, why would Goog want them?

KoolMoe
Aw Man
Premium
join:2001-02-14
Annapolis, MD
clubs:
·Verizon FIOS
·Speakeasy

Re: Interesting

Expensive? In what way? Work has their voice/data ("integrated") T1 through Covad because it was one of the cheapest options. Their VOIP service is certainly competitive on price too, IMO.

And price for the company? Not at their current stockmarket value!

Why would they want them - is mentioned in the previous reply, "a bit of networking expertise and a decent client base", in addition to the wired infrastructure they could offer.

Of course, the Biggest Reason I'd like to see it happen is I like Covad for their services and their slight disruption of the Telco monopoly. I think they're going to burn up if they don't merge with someone, and that would be a shame.
KM
rody_44
Premium
join:2004-02-20
Quakertown, PA

big deal

so they lost for one quarter. they are still way ahead of any of the others in the last three years.
iluv2fish

join:2007-03-04
Cape Coral, FL
·Comcast

Comcast Business Phone Service

I don't know if anyone has noticed but Comcast "Business"
phone service is crushing the competition. Not only does
Comcast offer "Free long distance" for Business the cost is
less than the competition.

A Triple Play for Business Class.....One phone + one TV + one High Speed Internet connection for $109.95.....and again
I say....this is for Business!!!

For so long the Telco's have raped the business man with
high price phone Service and no competition. I for one and
delighted to see some competition in the Phone world.

The expensive slow T1's are becoming a speed of the past.
Imagine....a 1.5MB x 1.5MB speed selling for $400 - $600 a month.

Comcast can now offer speeds at 8MB x 1MB at a fraction of
the cost.

So let the games begin and to be quite honest I think for
once...at least for a little while...it is the customers
that are winning this war.
Forums » Comcast Wireless Rumors Dragging Company Stock


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