Comcast Wireless Rumors Dragging Company StockWill Comcast bid on upcoming 700Mhz spectrum?
(
old news - 06:33PM Monday Sep 24 2007)
tags: competition · business · wireless · alternatives · ComcastWhile Fios's impact on Comcast
is negligible so far and the cable operator is taking the industry lead on
getting DOCSIS 3.0 deployed, the company's stock has taken a beating this quarter -- down 16%.
Barron's notes that investors seem to think satellite & telcoTV are going to win the war, though one noteable Wall Street analyst says investors have been
seriously over-estimating the telcoTV impact on the cable industry's bottom line.
Investors also seem to be ignoring Comcast's domination of the VoIP sector, and the fact they've added three million VoIP customers in just two years. One possible explanation for investor nerves (aside from the possibility investors often don't know what they're talking about) is buried in Barron's analysis:
Moffett says another factor weighing on the stock was a rumor that the company might bid in the upcoming FCC auction for 700-megahertz wireless radio spectrum. The theory is that Comcast would like to add a fourth service to its current triple play package of cable, broadband and voice services -- wireless -- and that the costs of building out a new wireless network would be huge, chewing up most of Comcast's free cash flow for years to come.
We've noticed that both Comcast and Sprint have been grumbling about their co-branded Pivot wireless service -- which for $15-$25 on top of a traditional Sprint mobile phone plan will net cable customers mobile video content, email access and web browsing. Comcast's CEO has hinted that there's
limited consumer interest, while Sprint has complained that the cable operators
aren't pushing the service very hard.
Will Comcast bid on the precious upcoming 700Mhz spectrum and create their own wireless broadband offering? Moffett notes that the cable industry may not need more, since (with Sprint) they just acquired $2.4 billion worth of spectrum -- enough to become the industry's fifth largest wireless carrier. But it seems like
somebody (Sprint, Comcast, aunt Ethel) needs to team up with the
highly interested Google and create a wireless supersystem to do battle with incumbent 3G offerings.