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AT&T Could Get T-Mobile For Less Than $39 Billion
If They Have to Divest Markets to Please Regulators
by Karl Bode Wednesday 07-Sep-2011 tags: business · wireless · consumers · AT&T · wireless
Someone who has seen the AT&T T-Mobile merger contract has been leaking a lot of information to the press this week. Earlier in the week someone told Reuters AT&T likely won't have to pay the $7 billion penalty to T-Mobile owner Deutsche Telekom, if the deal doesn't close within a certain window and/or T-Mobile's value falls below a certain market. Another source (or the same source) tells Bloomberg that AT&T may also get away with paying considerably less than $39 billion if they have to shed more than 20% of that deal value to appease regulators:

AT&T would be able to pay less than the deal’s original $39 billion value if regulators demand asset sales that surpass 20 percent of that figure, or about $7.8 billion, said the people, who declined to be identified because this clause of the contract isn’t public. AT&T could walk away from the deal and pay T-Mobile owner Deutsche Telekom AG a breakup fee if the concessions requested top 40 percent of that value, they said.

AT&T is cooking up a number of concessions that could include divesting 25% of T-Mobile post deal. While that sounds like a big deal, it doesn't mean much to AT&T -- since a lot of T-Mobile assets would be redundant. It also doesn't mean much to AT&T since the company appears to be acquiring T-Mobile in large part to reduce competitors in the sector by eliminating T-Mobile and weakening Sprint. As we noted yesterday it's still very possible the deal gets approved, but if not -- the worst that happens is that AT&T spent millions on lobbying and lawyers just to leave T-Mobile in a weaker position than when they found them.

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axiomatic

join:2006-08-23
Tomball, TX

No sir...

...I don't like it.



jseymour

join:2009-12-11
Waterford, MI

Deliberate Leaks?

One is inclined to wonder if the "leaks" in this deal, including the ostensibly mistakenly posted document, haven't been carefully orchestrated by SBC. Look at what's happening. Near as I can tell, SBC can't lose--for even if they lose, they win.

Jim

DataRiker
Premium
join:2002-05-19
00000

The toilet saga continues.

How long will people keep putting up with this putrid festering toilet?

ATT is the epitome of corporatism over capitalism.
pandora
Premium
join:2001-06-01
Outland
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Re: The toilet saga continues.

said by DataRiker:

How long will people keep putting up with this putrid festering toilet?

ATT is the epitome of corporatism over capitalism.

AT&T will probably be around in one form or another after every person living today is long dead.

Some companies are so large, and have sufficient political influence, that they will be propped up by their supposed regulators as necessary.
--
"People demand freedom of speech as a compensation for the freedom of thought which they seldom use."
RDC17

join:2011-05-15
Baltimore, MD
Reviews:
·Verizon FiOS

Surprised? Shouldn't be.

AT&T's got money.

$39 billion for T-Mobile USA
Still have enough money to give out to the best lawyers, lobbyists, and accountants.

They covered their asses while DT assumed the deal would go through. Now DT is AT&T's puppet, because DT has no contingency plan.

Love them or hate them AT&T knows how to play their cards every time.

DataRiker
Premium
join:2002-05-19
00000

Re: Surprised? Shouldn't be.

Absolutely. ATT is the queen bee when it come to corporatism.

No arguments there.
hottboiinnc
ME

join:2003-10-15
Cleveland, OH
Reviews:
·WOW Internet and..
DT has a plan either way. They can spin TMO off as an IPO and let it go on by itself or they can start buying up smaller regional players and keep going on their rock bottom prices and better over all network than most others. DT can also put the breakup fee into TMO USA and help them with that.
sparc

join:2006-05-06

Re: Surprised? Shouldn't be.

DT's only plan is to sell to AT&T. It's their only way out of this mess.

Any other outcome costs DT and their shareholders probably $10 to $20 billion in value. That's not a plan... that's a disaster

buddahbless

join:2005-03-21
Premium
Reviews:
·Comcast
·T-Mobile US

Re: Surprised? Shouldn't be.

DT has other plans you can bet the bank on that, unfortunately for DT ATT was the biggest payday.

what everyone does not hear is the out the country (overseas) talks such as DT in talks with Vodaphone ( if DT can get out of there 45% share in Verizon in the positive) or the Canadian big boy Rogers ( who use to be rogers/ATT) whos been eying Tmobile since this ATT deal fell through.

IF DT wants out so bad they will take a offer from any bidder, weather they lose profits or not does not matter if they really want out. Its similar to a strategical default.
hottboiinnc
ME

join:2003-10-15
Cleveland, OH
Reviews:
·WOW Internet and..

Re: Surprised? Shouldn't be.

It actually could be a good thing for VodoFone or even Rogers. Even WIND (of Canada) could be a good fit. After all WIND is a roaming partner of TMO and if they could bring the same unlimited prices to TMO here in the States and create a HUGE NA network it'd be money in the bank.

But I agree with Budda DT has plans; they're just not going to give up and if they'd have to; i'm sure they'd do the low cost flat rate plan as they're pushing that now with ads on TV, radio, and signs up at stores and dealers. DT knows what they want to do with TMO-USA if the T deals fall through.
chgo_man99

join:2010-01-01
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Re: Surprised? Shouldn't be.

Remember though, that Rogers has one of the most restrictive caps and throttling practices in wireline (cable) industry. Although Canadian wireless providers are more expensive than in the U.S, they do built and upgrade network everywhere except northern parts of provinces obviously. Take route from Chicago to Cleveland on i-90 and u loose 3g in the middle of trip. Take a trip from Sarnia or Windsor/Detroit to Toronto and u have 3G coverage all the time. They actually have whole southern Ontario covered with HSPA+ already while in the U.S so far only larger metropolitan areas are upgraded to this new standard.

But on good side the U.S has started rolling out LTE earlier though and right now its already ahead forward. Well the grass on both sides is just as green.

buddahbless

join:2005-03-21
Premium
Reviews:
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Re: Surprised? Shouldn't be.

Theres always the grass greener on both sides as long as its not in ATT's yard..LOL

I agree Hottboi It would be better for US customers if Wind was to take over Tmobile and keep the low priced data plans and come out with some of the wind plans as well such as the $45 unlimited talk txt and data ( similar to TMO $50 plan but no stupid throttle @ 2GB) Alas Wind just does not have the capitol to make an offer for TMO however Winds new Russian parent company VimpelCom may have the financial power for such a deal, If not we all know Rogers canada definitively does Just hope if it goes that way they actually compete with ATT and not mimic them, ( for those who dont know Rogers Canada use to Be Rogers/ATT canada)

With Wind or TMO Id happily stay on hspa+ data @ full duplex of up to 84mbps with no throttle or cap ( compete with Sprint unlimited ) vs. going to ATT LTE and 2gb cap and $10 per GB overage for version 1 LTE which is only up top 100mbps. Honestly the only reason I could see A need over 6mbps on current smartphones is for Tethering multiple devices. Theres realy nothing else on todays smart phones that utalize a need for speeds higher than that. I dont currently need up to 24mbps TMO ID be happy with a (TMO) wireless plan of 5mbps uncaped/unthrottled/ unlimited data vs. (ATT) LTE a any speed with only 2GB of data.

I travel to Toronto a lot as well from Chicago or Florida at any given time and Im amazed how I get superior GSM coverage all over southern ontario and not just on the major highways but while traveling by VIA Rail train in more rural areas as well.

ih8tt

@clearwire-wmx.net

scummy even BEFORE the merger

even before they plan to merge with T-Mobile, ATT is already doing anticompetitive acts that hurt consumers.

just in the last month they got rid of the sms option in fear of iMessage and killed off A-List feature. imagine what they'll do when they have killed off another competitor? that kind of power is crazy!
hottboiinnc
ME

join:2003-10-15
Cleveland, OH
Reviews:
·WOW Internet and..

Re: scummy even BEFORE the merger

killing off A-List is nothing. It was a value added feature they could kill at anytime- just like anything else. and they can do anything of that as they see fit. Even drop SMS/Text/Picture messages and move them to higher plans or even start taking them out of monthly minutes as companies did before.
tmc8080

join:2004-04-24
Brooklyn, NY

concessions?

such as?

give up bell south and cingular?
is tmobile worth all that?
maybe they should have tried 10 years ago, then maybe they woul've had a shot..
hottboiinnc
ME

join:2003-10-15
Cleveland, OH

Re: concessions?

if they gave up Cingular the entire T Mobility, LLC company would be shit. They wouldn't have anything and giving up BellSouth? what would that due? More like making them SPIN OFF THE ENTIRE Wireless company and make it separate. Just as VZW.
biochemistry

join:2003-05-09
92361

Re: concessions?

Spinning off BellSouth would make me a happy camper. Let Verizon come to town and install FiOS. I can't even get AT&T's crappy ADSL let alone it's VDSL. AT&T: Promising the past sometime far into the future.
MTU
Premium
join:2005-02-15
San Luis Obispo, CA

Reflect on the past

Once again, spend a few minutes watching "The President's Analyst" (James Coburn 1967). All we are IS about the 'phone company'.
SauceMaster

join:2004-08-01
Kokomo, IN

DT wants out any way they can

DT wants out of the U.S. Market and that should be pretty clear. They want to take the 39 billion and get back into the game in Europe. If the deal with AT&T fails it could mean Google or someone else scoops them up much cheaper.

It's already been said DT doesn't have the money they need to make tmobile grow if this fails. They were losing customers at a steady pace before this deal and they will keep losing customers due to the fact of the deal going through.

I've seen 2 articles recently that said if this deal falls through Tmobile will die a fast death. I'm sure that DT hopes this goes through cause they know it's probably true also.
nonymous
Premium
join:2003-09-08
Glendale, AZ

Re: DT wants out any way they can

Why would Tmobile die a fast death? Not everyone wants Verizon or ATT and in their market areas Tmobile is usually a decent competitor.
hottboiinnc
ME

join:2003-10-15
Cleveland, OH

Re: DT wants out any way they can

It wouldn't and these are only "articles" and blogs that are saying this. There is no actual proof of anything of TMO-USA closing.

buddahbless

join:2005-03-21
Premium
Reviews:
·Comcast
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Re: DT wants out any way they can

exactly there's no proof of tmobile's closing they have many more options and Aces up there sleeve they just wanted to "rob the bank" sort to speak as well if ATT was willing to shell out $39B. Theres always the option of partnering with another major ( overseas/ Canadian) teleco and letting DT take the back seat in the US wireless Business.

KrK
Heavy Artillery For The Little Guy
Premium
join:2000-01-17
Tulsa, OK
Reviews:
·AT&T DSL Service

It's about eliminating competition, not expanding services.

Spend 40 billion eliminating a major competitor or spend 3 billion to roll out 4G speeds across the entire country and out compete the competitors.

We know what AT&T's agenda is just by which path they choose to follow. (Hint: It's not the cheaper one.)
--
"Fascism should more properly be called corporatism because it is the merger of state and corporate power." -- Benito Mussolini

IowaCowboy
Premium
join:2010-10-16
Indian Orchard, MA
Reviews:
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I hope Massachusetts is divested along with Maine

I would love for my mother to be unloaded onto Verizon as well as my Grandmother up in Maine. They both have AT&T and and I am always have to yell into the phone to break through the static and noise. AT&T quality is worse than a sinking ship. Divestiture would be good because they could switch without paying the ETF. I fled AT&T earlier this year after I had a 3GS drop three times and the third callback lasted 25 seconds before dropping again.
chgo_man99

join:2010-01-01
Schaumburg, IL
Reviews:
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I know no one will want probably listen to me

but in Central Europe Poland, they have a satellite provider Cyfrowy Polsat (guess partly owned by Canal+) that offers LTE with theoretical speeds up to 100mb with tiers 3, 5, 10, and 25gb. In addition between midnight-8am you can use up to 50gb at no cost. 5GB cost 30zl = $10, with highest 25gb for 100zl = $33. Wow its so cheap! And know it has been a communist country with transforming economy in 90s, rapid raise of unemployment, unstable economy and politics and rapid uneasy reforms in all spheres of life in 2000s.

here is link (sorry google translate does not work with it).

»www.cyfrowypolsat.pl/oferta/inte···anych.cp

beats by dr

@163data.com.cn

beats by dr dre

Rogers. Even WIND (of Canada) could be a good fit. After all WIND is a roaming partner of TMO and if they could bring the same unlimited prices to TMO here in the States and create a HUGE NA network it'd be money in the bank.

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