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nycnetwork
join:2000-11-12
Brooklyn, NY

nycnetwork to BiggA

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Re: Annual Rant - Ditch the SD feeds already, it's (almost) 2019

said by BiggA:

You're living in a fantasyland. Meanwhile, the adults in the room will discuss when/how Verizon should move to MPEG-4 HD and whether they should eliminate SD.

You are 7 years too late coming to a rant thread to discuss whether or not the MPEG-4 is the obvious next step. Of course it's the easiest step, but I'm not here to argue what's easy.
In the process you're trying to convince us all how a multi-billion dollar corporation doesn't have enough muscle to create a three year plan to replace all legacy boxes with HEVC capable cheap-ass FiOS One boxes.

And to top it all off, you're proposing 6-7 MPEG-4 HD channels per QAM, claiming that a 5Mbps MPEG-4 stream provides an "excellent video quality". You're either detached from reality, or the profit driven corporate machine has completely drained your senses.
nycnetwork

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said by jnv11:

I will have to object to your figure of 5 Mbps H.264/MPEG 4 providing excellent video quality with HD video because my personal experience shows that such a low bit rate with H.264 ruins the video quality. I used to despise watching TV at my parents' house after they switched from Time Warner Cable to U-Verse, which provided just under 6 Mbps H.264 per HD channel, to lower their bills. Video quality was so rotten that only the lowest action shows like news and some non-action movies looked acceptable. Sports shows became depressing artifact-filled trash. Many things that used to have details looked as smooth as a baby's skin due to losing their details. This ruined the video quality so hard that watching TV literally saddened me at the time and I complained many times, so I had to quit watching most of cable TV. My parents could not see the problem because their eyes were injured or aged in ways that damaged their vision. I hooked up my personal TV to an antenna to bypass that worthless junk. I would say that you need 7-8 Mbps H.264 for acceptable video quality and 9-10 Mbps H.264 for excellent video quality. I am just glad that a new job required me to move out to an area with Fios. I am glad that I can finally enjoy cable TV with Fios after 5 years of that rip-off known as U-Verse.

You're on point here. 5Mbps MPEG-4 looks like the absolute thrash anyway you look at it. The softness of the picture, the waxy effects, lower color profile, all of those things start creeping in. Basically all the reasons why you'd wanna watch in HD goes away.

DirecTVNow streams at 1080/60 at 8.3Mbps, and the PQ is a step above the rest of the streaming services, and head an shoulders above QAM based providers. There is a lengthy thread on PQ from a year ago where I posted some comparison: »imgur.com/a/wqKI0
bobcamp177
join:2010-06-23
Cicero, NY

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said by nycnetwork:

... I'd like to remind you that Verizon is a company that built the largest 3G network, largest LTE network, the fastest home internet network, and it's been pretty much the industry leader for more than two decades. Why should we all of a sudden expect the mediocrity from them?

Companies are allowed to offer low, medium and high tier products. I'm guessing the high end stuff will be on the 5G network. That's probably why they decided they didn't need IPTV anymore. No one knows what the real plan is or even if there is a plan. It *feels* like there is no plan....

Comcast chose to overcompress all their HD down to 720p instead of removing their SD duplicates. Verizon isn't as desperate for bandwidth as they are. I'm guessing they know something. My guess is that they have tons of perfectly working SD boxes for people who have SD TVs. Why trash them if they're still money makers?

The idea of ditching the 6416(?) DVR and switching to MPEG4 would be a good first step. Even the 7232 DVR I have supports MPEG4.
nowayout
join:2009-06-22
Allentown, PA

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Swapping out ~7 million boxes is at least a billion dollar process.

We're talking about something that achieves the same goal (better PQ, more bandwidth) for 1-2% of that.

I don't think anybody's said Verizon doesn't have the muscle to spend $1 billion. There's just straight up no point for the purposes of this discussion. I know you don't care, and "they're Richie Rich rich, so do it just because" might be good enough for you to waste a billion dollars, but shareholders will disagree.

These discussions aren't even in the same zip code. You can cheerlead the dream, but it's not a viable alternative to the discussion here. When they map out their IP plan, then we can talk about mass box swaps and romanticize the latest technology.

As for bitrates, I'm in the camp that MPEG4 should be 8-9mbps (4:1 stat mux) to best retain the look of 16-18mbps 2:1 MPEG2 QAMs.

aaronwt
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join:2004-11-07
Woodbridge, VA
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said by bull3964:

said by TonyD79:

Comcast has a bandwidth crunch. Fios does not.

Then FiOS needs to put up or shut up. I'm cancelling my TV service in June when my contract runs out for a single reason. Quality. I can throw a dart at the wall and hit an OTT provider with higher video quality on EVERY SINGLE CHANNEL. Right now I only use my FiOS sub to log into TV provider apps to watch shows that way because linear is simply too much of an eyesore. I have hundreds of dollars of TiVO equipment sitting more or less idle right now because I can't stomach watching a DVR recording from FiOS.

FiOS has been steadily backsliding, reducing quality, for the past 10 years I've had it. That's the wrong trend. Things in this industry are supposed to be improving and not getting worse and FiOS doesn't even have infrastructure to blame at this point. There's been no significant innovation in video delivery services since they launched MPEG4, but they are all so bit starved at this point that they look worse than the MPEG2 channels.

I just did this a few months ago. Although I just dropped down to Custom TV. And kept Gigabit INternet and Phone service. So my monthly cost after all taxes, fees, and cable cards is now $96.

nycnetwork
join:2000-11-12
Brooklyn, NY

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said by nowayout:

As for bitrates, I'm in the camp that MPEG4 should be 8-9mbps (4:1 stat mux) to best retain the look of 16-18mbps 2:1 MPEG2 QAMs.

I can agree with that. 9Mbps MPEG-4 would look really good. Now does Verizon have enough capacity and interest to run 4 channels per QAM? In reality only with more efficient codec you could achieve comparable PQ with 7-8 channels crammed per qam.
BiggA
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Central CT
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said by JPL:

I'm guessing (and that's all I'm doing here) is that they're trying to figure out how to converge those two strategies. IP is IP. Whether you feed the data over a 5G wireless network or over fiber is really a distinction without a difference in my opinion. I'm guessing they've realized that it would make more sense to converge the two and that that's why they're retrenching. In the meantime, like we agree, they need a bridge to prevent them from losing business until they can develop that architecture.

I think you're right, but they've been too slow and indecisive. They did some MPEG-4 conversion and then stopped dead in their tracked, trialed an IPTV system and then killed it and now they're doing what? If they had just finished converting to MPEG-4 several years ago, they could increase VQ and bandwidth efficiency simply by moving to newer generations of MPEG-4 encoders for what amounts to almost no cost for a company like Verizon. They need to do MPEG-4 as the last push for QAM and then look at how they want to handle FiOS in the future, and if they is a converged IPTV platform.
said by JPL:

As for cord-cutting - here's the thing. The market-place IS changing. But I think these MSOs are going to adjust just fine.

The MSOs will be fine. They have the physical pipes. If they get hit on the consumer side, they will look at business fiber or cell site backhaul, which they are already strong in. They can also drop prices a lot to compete with 5G and still make a fortune. Some of the MVPDs like DISH will be hurting badly, although there will still be a rural market. I think DirecTV and AT&T will be fine, as DirecTV is widely used for commercial and hospitality.

I'm not sure where you are going with the banking analogy, and how that translates to the cord cutting market, but the OTA/streaming model is where things are headed.
BiggA

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said by TonyD79:

For all this death, why is everyone (and I mean everyone except Netflix) getting into the subscription business? I guess every business in this country is stupid.

They all want to be one of the few services that survives, but in the end, only a few will, and those will be running razor-thin margins. As it is, YouTube TV and a few others are losing money.

Cord cutting is not going to stop, if anything it will continue to accelerate as people wake up and realize the economic reality of paying $100/mo or more for trash on TV.
BiggA

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said by nycnetwork:

You are 7 years too late coming to a rant thread to discuss whether or not the MPEG-4 is the obvious next step. Of course it's the easiest step, but I'm not here to argue what's easy.
In the process you're trying to convince us all how a multi-billion dollar corporation doesn't have enough muscle to create a three year plan to replace all legacy boxes with HEVC capable cheap-ass FiOS One boxes.

At this point, you either fundamentally don't understand basic business logic, or you are trolling. There is no other way you could be making statements like this when the facts are obvious.

I said 5.4mbps AVERAGE in a stat mux. You need to read and COMPREHEND. MPEG-2 looks great at 12mbps stat mux and OK at about 8mbps stat mux, so if Verizon wanted to, they could get really good looking HD at 5-7mbps MPEG-4 AVERAGE bitrates with stat muxing.
BiggA

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said by nycnetwork:

DirecTVNow streams at 1080/60 at 8.3Mbps, and the PQ is a step above the rest of the streaming services, and head an shoulders above QAM based providers. There is a lengthy thread on PQ from a year ago where I posted some comparison: »imgur.com/a/wqKI0

That's either CBR or has a capped bitrate. With 6-7 channels per QAM and a powerful stat muxer, Verizon could deliver excellent VQ. It would be absolutely stunning if they put some of the top sports channels into a 5 channel per QAM stat mux.
BiggA

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said by nowayout:

I don't think anybody's said Verizon doesn't have the muscle to spend $1 billion. There's just straight up no point for the purposes of this discussion. I know you don't care, and "they're Richie Rich rich, so do it just because" might be good enough for you to waste a billion dollars, but shareholders will disagree.

These discussions aren't even in the same zip code. You can cheerlead the dream, but it's not a viable alternative to the discussion here. When they map out their IP plan, then we can talk about mass box swaps and romanticize the latest technology.

As for bitrates, I'm in the camp that MPEG4 should be 8-9mbps (4:1 stat mux) to best retain the look of 16-18mbps 2:1 MPEG2 QAMs.

Right on point on the financial side of things. I would note, however, that encoder technology has gotten WAY better. Comcast's 3.8mbps CBR is actually fine for MSNBC, CNN, etc, it looks like baby puke for sports, however. Stat muxers can crank out stunning MPEG-2 at 12mbps and acceptable but slightly flat and lacking detail MPEG-2 at 8mbps. If they can do that, putting 6-7 HDs on a QAM, similar to how DirecTV is compressing today, shouldn't be an issue.

nycnetwork
join:2000-11-12
Brooklyn, NY

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said by BiggA:

MPEG-2 looks great at 12mbps stat mux and OK at about 8mbps stat mux, so if Verizon wanted to, they could get really good looking HD at 5-7mbps MPEG-4 AVERAGE bitrates with stat muxing.

No it doesn't. Right this very second I'm looking at ~12Mbps MPEG-2 stat mux, and it looks average on a 1080p TV, and it looks even worse on a 4K OLED. A ton of macroblocking, soft. Calling this "great" is a monumental stretch by all means.

So at this point we can agree to disagree.
BiggA
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join:2005-11-23
Central CT
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BiggA

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said by nycnetwork:

No it doesn't. Right this very second I'm looking at ~12Mbps MPEG-2 stat mux, and it looks average on a 1080p TV, and it looks even worse on a 4K OLED. A ton of macroblocking, soft. Calling this "great" is a monumental stretch by all means.

Then the station you are watching needs a better encoder. 12mbps isn't 12mbps, older encoders will look like crap, newer ones look great.

nycnetwork
join:2000-11-12
Brooklyn, NY

nycnetwork

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said by BiggA:

Then the station you are watching needs a better encoder. 12mbps isn't 12mbps, older encoders will look like crap, newer ones look great.

Cool.
bull3964
join:2014-09-27
Pittsburgh, PA

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said by aaronwt:

I just did this a few months ago. Although I just dropped down to Custom TV. And kept Gigabit INternet and Phone service. So my monthly cost after all taxes, fees, and cable cards is now $96.

Yeah, that's what I got things down to awhile ago. My monthly cost with FiOS (internet and TV) after all taxes and fees including cable card is $90.25. Though that doesn't include TiVO service cost.

But, like I said, it's not about money. I've been cycling through the OTT providers (bouncing between DTVN, Hulu with Live, and YTV) and I'm just so impressed at the rate they are improving and they have leapfrogged FiOS in quality about 18 months ago.

In all truth, I actually just prefer purchasing shows outright from Amazon and Vudu and I may not even have a live TV service after I cancel FiOS TV service (or might for just a few months out of the year). No commercials, no network bugs, only a slight step below blu-ray, and I own them forever.

I also agree that it's not just bitrate that's the issue here. Their encoders are JUNK or they are configured wrong. I've been saying all along that it looks like they are applying a heavy dose of DNR followed by a sharpening pass, likely in an attempt to lower bandwidth requirements and reduce macroblocking.
crgauth
join:2004-05-18
Glen Burnie, MD

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said by bull3964:

I'm cancelling my TV service in June when my contract runs out for a single reason. Quality. I can throw a dart at the wall and hit an OTT provider with higher video quality on EVERY SINGLE CHANNEL

I remember when FIOS had the video quality everyone wanted. Then as people wanted more and more channels, they had to started packing them in.
It would not surprise me for OTT providers to have similar issues. As people want more and more channels from a single provider (as JPL stated, there will need to be an aggregator. Or providers will need to expand their offerings.) Who wants to have to sign up with multiple services to get the channels they want. Or the content providers will start imposing the same sorts of contracts on OTT as they do cable providers. All of this additional content will consume more bandwidth (I know that its not the same as streaming only is on when someone is watching. But as you add more channels, you will have more simultaneous data streams). They will either have to raise their prices or skip on video quality.
My $.02

nycnetwork
join:2000-11-12
Brooklyn, NY

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said by bull3964:

Yeah, that's what I got things down to awhile ago. My monthly cost with FiOS (internet and TV) after all taxes and fees including cable card is $90.25. Though that doesn't include TiVO service cost.

But, like I said, it's not about money. I've been cycling through the OTT providers (bouncing between DTVN, Hulu with Live, and YTV) and I'm just so impressed at the rate they are improving and they have leapfrogged FiOS in quality about 18 months ago.

In all truth, I actually just prefer purchasing shows outright from Amazon and Vudu and I may not even have a live TV service after I cancel FiOS TV service (or might for just a few months out of the year). No commercials, no network bugs, only a slight step below blu-ray, and I own them forever.

I also agree that it's not just bitrate that's the issue here. Their encoders are JUNK or they are configured wrong. I've been saying all along that it looks like they are applying a heavy dose of DNR followed by a sharpening pass, likely in an attempt to lower bandwidth requirements and reduce macroblocking.

I've been doing the same, scaled down to Custom TV and will be dropping TV when the contract is up later this year.
Holding onto DirecTVNow grandfathered $40/mo deal, supplementing that with Sling World Sports package which used to be $80/year and now it's just $45! Not sure why they offered that rate, but happy to have BeIN Sports channels and a few other, for $3.75/month.

I think you're absolutely right about FiOS' aggressive digital noise reduction filter + sharpening, which creates ghosting, waxiness and overall creates a terrible experience.

But on the other hand, the 11Mbps MPEG-2 NBC OTA feed doesn't look too hot when compared to DirecTVNow stream, so there is only so much the MPEG-2 encoder can do.
bull3964
join:2014-09-27
Pittsburgh, PA

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said by crgauth:

said by bull3964:

I'm cancelling my TV service in June when my contract runs out for a single reason. Quality. I can throw a dart at the wall and hit an OTT provider with higher video quality on EVERY SINGLE CHANNEL

I remember when FIOS had the video quality everyone wanted. Then as people wanted more and more channels, they had to started packing them in.
It would not surprise me for OTT providers to have similar issues. As people want more and more channels from a single provider (as JPL stated, there will need to be an aggregator. Or providers will need to expand their offerings.) Who wants to have to sign up with multiple services to get the channels they want. Or the content providers will start imposing the same sorts of contracts on OTT as they do cable providers. All of this additional content will consume more bandwidth (I know that its not the same as streaming only is on when someone is watching. But as you add more channels, you will have more simultaneous data streams). They will either have to raise their prices or skip on video quality.
My $.02

Prices may go up, but that's going to be due to licensing agreements and what providers think their content is worth. Bandwidth at that level is so so so so so dirt cheap that it's a drop in the ocean compared to licensing costs. There's never going to be a reason to downgrade quality for cost reasons as traffic scales up.

Honestly, the last few times we upgraded to a higher bandwidth tier for our hosting at work, our total bandwidth cost dropped because the cost per unit went down more than our increase consumed.

Verizon is making a conscious choice of "good enough" when they could be so much more. All for keeping 15 year old STBs in the field that have been depreciated and off the books for over a decade, succeeded 3x over by newer equipment.
TonyD79
join:2010-04-08
Ellicott City, MD

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said by BiggA:

said by TonyD79:

For all this death, why is everyone (and I mean everyone except Netflix) getting into the subscription business? I guess every business in this country is stupid.

They all want to be one of the few services that survives, but in the end, only a few will, and those will be running razor-thin margins. As it is, YouTube TV and a few others are losing money.

Cord cutting is not going to stop, if anything it will continue to accelerate as people wake up and realize the economic reality of paying $100/mo or more for trash on TV.

You are confusing technology with pricing and quantity. You think the technology matters to the end user. It only does when it can’t deliver. Fios has smaller bundles.

Meanwhile, the streaming services are growing bigger and bigger bundles. If course, they are all wrong again.
JPL
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The banking analogy is this. In banking technology made it possible for companies and many investors to bypass the commercial banks. That's similar to what's happening today with content providers connecting to consumers bypassing the cable companies. The banks adjusted by becoming part of the equation, providing the connection between company and investor. I see the same thing with these msos. The have the ability to provide the connection between the content providers and consumers. They can provide a comprehensive viewing experience. And the predictions with the future of banking is the same as what we keep reading about with cable companies. And just like with banking, the obituaries are very premature. These companies won't implode. They'll adjust to work within the confines of a new paradigm.
nowayout
join:2009-06-22
Allentown, PA

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said by BiggA:

Right on point on the financial side of things. I would note, however, that encoder technology has gotten WAY better. Comcast's 3.8mbps CBR is actually fine for MSNBC, CNN, etc, it looks like baby puke for sports, however. Stat muxers can crank out stunning MPEG-2 at 12mbps and acceptable but slightly flat and lacking detail MPEG-2 at 8mbps. If they can do that, putting 6-7 HDs on a QAM, similar to how DirecTV is compressing today, shouldn't be an issue.

Verizon's 3:1 mpeg2 (12-13 mbps) stat muxing looks "ok". They're clearly removing detail and it doesn't stack up to the PQ of some alternatives. If this can be improved with newer encoders, then I'm all for it as long as nothing is taken from the picture anymore (at a detectable level). With the encoders they're using now I wouldn't want anything more aggressive than 4:1. IF they can do better, then great. All the more QAMs that could be reclaimed.
BiggA
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You should see Frontier Vantage. Their VQ is far worse than AT&T U-Verse ever was.
BiggA

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The smaer bundles don't have sports, which along with news are the only things keeping some people on pay TV, but even those aren't working that well. The MVPDs have ridiculously bloated bundles, OTT providers have much more targeted ones you YouTube TV.
BiggA

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Ok I see what you're trying to say now but I think its a stretch.
BiggA

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Apparently Verizon is using circa 2012 encoders. Comcast went from 2HDs and some SDs per qam to 3 HDs per QAM in a stat mux in 2012 I think and it looked like crap. By the time they went to MPEG-4, they were using 9mbps MPEG-2 CBR and they actually were decent looking (to be fair they were giving more bitrate to sports channels that need it). Good MPEG-2 encoders today can do 4:1, so MPEG-4 shouldn't have any issues at 7:1. The problem is, it's a really fast decline as you go from 7:1 VBR to 10:1 CBR as evidenced by DirecTV vs. Comcast.

EDIT: Encoding matters a LOT. I've seen mediocre 17mbps MPEG-2 and stunning 12mbps MPEG-2.
nowayout
join:2009-06-22
Allentown, PA

nowayout

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IPTV testers were reporting bitrates of 5 mbps and also claimed picture quality was better. I was pretty skeptical (still am), but it sounds like Verizon might've tried out new encoders already. Hope to see it with my own eyes sometime.
bobcamp177
join:2010-06-23
Cicero, NY

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said by bull3964:

Verizon is making a conscious choice of "good enough" when they could be so much more. All for keeping 15 year old STBs in the field that have been depreciated and off the books for over a decade, succeeded 3x over by newer equipment.

Or, Verizon can satisfy a significant number of customers using boxes that they already have. Easy money. No company should turn down easy money.

Plus, if Verizon replaced my SD box with an HD box and started charging me for it, I'd simply drop that box altogether. I'm not buying a new TV for that room. I'd rather spend the money on a tablet, as it's more portable and can go into *any* room.

No MSO wants to sink more money into its linear video service. That is slowly dying. It will take DBS down along with it. Rarely-watched channels will be dropped, which will solve the bandwidth problem (is anyone missing Fuse TV?). We are seeing stop gap measures being put in place by MSOs while they await their gradual transformation into ISPs.

Meanwhile, Verizon (Wireless) will become an ISP with its 5G service, and will probably also be the only provider of wireless video service in the country. That could become very profitable for them.

matcarl
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join:2007-03-09
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matcarl

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said by bobcamp177:

Meanwhile, Verizon (Wireless) will become an ISP with its 5G service, and will probably also be the only provider of wireless video service in the country. That could become very profitable for them.

T-Mobile will beat them. They're planning on launching mobile video this year. It was supposed to be in 2018, but got delayed.

aaronwt
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said by BiggA:

said by nowayout:

I don't think anybody's said Verizon doesn't have the muscle to spend $1 billion. There's just straight up no point for the purposes of this discussion. I know you don't care, and "they're Richie Rich rich, so do it just because" might be good enough for you to waste a billion dollars, but shareholders will disagree.

These discussions aren't even in the same zip code. You can cheerlead the dream, but it's not a viable alternative to the discussion here. When they map out their IP plan, then we can talk about mass box swaps and romanticize the latest technology.

As for bitrates, I'm in the camp that MPEG4 should be 8-9mbps (4:1 stat mux) to best retain the look of 16-18mbps 2:1 MPEG2 QAMs.

Right on point on the financial side of things. I would note, however, that encoder technology has gotten WAY better. Comcast's 3.8mbps CBR is actually fine for MSNBC, CNN, etc, it looks like baby puke for sports, however. Stat muxers can crank out stunning MPEG-2 at 12mbps and acceptable but slightly flat and lacking detail MPEG-2 at 8mbps. If they can do that, putting 6-7 HDs on a QAM, similar to how DirecTV is compressing today, shouldn't be an issue.

Not fine at all. FiOS looks like crap on CNN, MSNBC etc. but Comcast looks even worse. There is no detail from the Comcast video any more. And FiOS seems to be racing to get to the crappy level of Comcast.

nycnetwork
join:2000-11-12
Brooklyn, NY

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said by matcarl:

said by bobcamp177:

Meanwhile, Verizon (Wireless) will become an ISP with its 5G service, and will probably also be the only provider of wireless video service in the country. That could become very profitable for them.

T-Mobile will beat them. They're planning on launching mobile video this year. It was supposed to be in 2018, but got delayed.

This is exactly why T-Mobile has acquired Layer3TV linear TV provider that uses HEVC only. This saves a TON of resources in a cellular network, while delivering exceptional video quality.

And because they're building 5G nationwide and primarily for mobile (not fixed wireless) using 600 MHz, Sprint's massive 2.5 GHz and some mmWave, there will be plenty of places where the supply will exceed the demand and they'll be able to offer that excess capacity for Home Broadband + Video. The best part: home internet is fully funded in the 5G mobile strategy, so they won't be burdened by capital. This of course assumes that the merger goes through.