Mindy is Close to Tallahassee as I'm writing this. I don't know if anyone has seen Mork. I don't expect a great deal of damage from this one.
Tropical Storm Mindy Discussion Number 2
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL132021
1100 PM EDT Wed Sep 08 2021
Doppler radar data and surface observations indicate that the
center of Mindy made landfall over St. Vincent Island, Florida,
near 0115 UTC. Since that time, the center has been moving along
the shoreline of Apalachee Bay. The intensity is held at 40 kt
based on continuity from earlier buoy data and a 43-kt wind at an
elevated tower south of Apalachicola. The central pressure has
been lowered to 1002 mb based on surface obs from the Apalachicola
area. It should be noted that while Mindy is not well organized in
satellite imagery, but it has a good radar presentation.
The initial motion is 055/17. A general east-northeastward motion
should continue for the next 24 h or so as Mindy moves along the
southern edge of a deep-layer mid-latitude trough moving across the
eastern United States. After that, a decrease in forward speed and
a more eastward motion are expected as the aforementioned trough
moves away from Mindy and the cyclone becomes vertically shallow.
The forecast track keeps the center along the Gulf coast for a few
more hours, followed by a motion across northern Florida and
southeastern Georgia into the Atlantic. The new forecast track is
a little faster than the previous forecast.
Little change in strength is likely during the next few hours while
the center of Mindy straddles the coast. Weakening should occur as
the center moves farther inland later tonight, aided by an increase
in westerly vertical wind shear. By the time the cyclone reaches
the Atlantic, the shear should be strong enough to make the system
continue to weaken. The new intensity forecast is a little
stronger than the previous forecast during the first 12 h, then is
similar to the previous forecast in calling for the cyclone to
dissipate after 72 h.
